Returns of 19 quarters of small cap investing:
26YTD: 10%
2025 : 123%
2024 : 27%
2023 : 42%
2022 : 66%
A fall from grace as I reported a first negative quarter in my latest post... 🟥🫠
Returns of 17 consecutive positive quarters of small cap investing:
26Q1: +9%
2025: +123%
2024: +27%
2023: +42%
2022: +66%
A new update shares thoughts on the current market, the full portfolio with detailed changes and rationale.
Happy Saturday everyone 🍻
My November update is now available:
- Anthropic is extremely profitable under IFRS
- October results, portfolio changes, rationale
If you had to choose, what would you give up ?
1/ Google and use Bing instead
2/ Claude and use ChatGPT instead
3/ iPhone and use Samsung + Android instead
4/ Coke and drink Pepsi instead
If you had to choose, what would you give up ?
1/ Google and use Bing instead
2/ Claude and use ChatGPT instead
3/ iPhone and use Samsung + Android instead
4/ Coke and drink Pepsi instead
@evfcfaddict@ngspartnership The issue I also have with AI is I keep fine tuning the overall process using the limitless possibilities... this removes time from grinding through companies and adds less direct value-added tool-building time...
My Claude asked me to please stfu while he's working...
Seriously though, I think I have now made the perfect machine to go 3 levels deep on a 1000 companies at the same time. It reads all their filings in 2-3 hours and projects forward growth and earnings.
Doing this makes it clear though, that this is not where the alpha sits. This is like screening. The real alpha sits 12 levels deep... Like when your thoughts wonder and you think "Interesting, so they are building cycling paths in Singapore, I wonder what their transport strategy is... and then find that it includes building thousands of kilometers of cycling path..."
That kind of wandering mind is where I tend to find alpha... Not having an AI brute force through 1000s of reports, unfortunately.
There's also some things that are constantly changing. Like how investors view companies.
If $EVC knocks Q3 out of the park, investors will be open to Microcap adtech again... pay attention to Zoomd.
If not, they will be too scared and will take longer to appreciate other adtech companies, which could explain some opportunities...
Those kind of shifts which change the probability of something being overlooked/forgotten, versus you missing things... change all the time and are hard to measure imho
@Goncc01 So far they are not making much progress, which is unusual in Para for mines.
You can follow the case here (it's complicated)
https://t.co/bstaMgV8i5
case number 1117637-61.2026.4.01.3400
Hey man, I sold gold related stocks mostly in Q1 and some in Q2.
I think gold exposure should be taken when gold makes new all time highs, and cut when it stops making highs for 3 months.
Specifically on Serabi, I do think they are very undervalued right now, but I don't like the gold exposure.
If the future is anything like the past, gold will make a new all time high in 2030-35 ... and then 6 months later break $7000 and then 8000... To do nothing again for 5-10 years.
That's not my opinion, its just how it has tended to act in the past