GDP Dynamics

Macroeconomic forecasts using classical Keynesian models modernized through System Dynamics.

[Alicia Gerardo @TheEconRebel]

@TheMaineWonk You should check out @GDPDynamics they do better economic forecast than the Atlanta Fed
https://t.co/ZzuYt8J9w3

[Relearning Economics @RelearningEcon]

This forecast is fairly conditional on what develops with the situation in the middle east, but the downside risks outweigh any upsides to a quick resolution in Iran.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

US job numbers released today suggest the long term forecasts from GDP Dynamics are probably going to hold.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

https://t.co/YN36EMcWx3

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Initial forecasts for Personal consumption growth shows signs of slowing throughout 2026.

For a full analysis of the latest projections see next post below👇🏻

[Lars Outzen @larsoutzen]

@matthewstoller don't worry, it is on its way https://t.co/LdbjqBUyNd

[Lars Outzen @larsoutzen]

@georgegalloway that will just make it easier for Trump to explain the upcoming slump https://t.co/LdbjqBUyNd @ProfSteveKeen

[Relearning Economics @RelearningEcon]

Latest update from the GDP Dynamics model.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Full report article:
https://t.co/oqa9DV3AFn

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Latest extended forecast for Real GDP in the US. The Q1 2026 forecast estimate (first) sits at 2.89% and remains week in the following quarters. To see full report see next post👇

Next update is 2026-03-11.

[Relearning Economics @RelearningEcon]

This model is getting dialed in to such a degree now with multi variable macro output forecasts. The goal was to have one model produce a very wide range of variables, and be fully automated. Always more work to be done on it though.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Forecasts from the model suggests 3 Month Treasury Yields to decline throughout 2026.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

RealGDP comes in below expectations of the Fed models & industry blue chip consensus. Our model, still above the first print at 2.9% (Q4) had anticipated a lower than consensus view (3.5% range). Long term forecasts of our model suggesting a weaker first half for 2026 and beyond.

[Douglas Padgett @MMTmacrotrader]

@0xgalileu PulseGDP has been deprecated and is being replaced by @RelearningEcon 's GDP Dynamics model. I'd use that instead, sorry for the confusion.

https://t.co/bTenVfO6Ca

[Relearning Economics @RelearningEcon]

Latest updates to the model, it's now machine learning how to parameterize based on empirical initial state variable conditions, then forecasts endogenous outputs with one year forecast horizons. It also has the ability to output text theoretical reasoning articles.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Find full article breakdowns of all the components the contribute to GDP on Patreon:
https://t.co/09M4U00FUJ

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

I just launched SDNE v 1.0.0 RC2. This release candidate for a possible official release of Version 1 now includes "Real" GDP forecasts vs just Nominal ones, so they are inflation adjusted.

[mark @capital_vmv]

All these phenomena, financial crises, debt cycles, inflation, asset markets, crypto and banking systems, are feedback systems rather than static equilibria. Their behaviour is determined by the continuous interaction of elements, where a change in one parameter affects others through chains of interconnections, creating cycles of amplification or stabilisation. Using system dynamics combined with machine learning and logical post-Keynesian theory to produce explanatory output allows us to model these interactions more effectively. And over the coming months this will only get better.

[Relearning Economics @RelearningEcon]

System Dynamics with machine learning and logical post-Keynesian theory explanatory output. It's only going to get better over the coming months.

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

For a full compensate article report consider joining my Patreon.
https://t.co/vxqE8KBdCE

[GDP Dynamics @GDPDynamics]

Third Estimate Forecast for Q4 2025 to Q3 2026 for US Nominal GDP.