We have another new feature that is live on the site for our Sharp and Plus subs
Bet Tracker 2.0: Watch how your bets are doing live. See your projected profit/loss on the day and more.
@BookitWithTrent@pikkitsports Good luck, sir...
Oilers ML: -143.6, 58.9% to win
Cavs ML: -309.5, 75.6% to win
Hawks ML: -119.4, 54.4% to win
Rockets ML: -290.8, 74.4% to win
Bills ML: -166.5, 62.5% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 11.26%
Need odds of +788 for +EV
@nazeaster@Playbook The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig...
Pistons ML: -439.9, 81.5% to win
Cavs ML: -303.2, 75.2% to win
Rockets ML: -288.2, 74.2% to win
Spurs ML: -334.6, 77% to win
Warriors ML: -344.5, 77.5% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 27.14%
Need odds of +268 for +EV
GL!
🚨$30 off Plus Tier
Making this available for today and tomorrow only. Use code NOV30OFF and you can try out our system.
Normal price of Plus for the week in $40 so you can try us out for only $10.
@BookitWithTrent Bro - not great EV - ROI: -27.94%
CAR ML: +138, 42% to win
LAR ML: -206.3, 67.4% to win
NE ML: -159.1, 61.4% to win
DET ML: -276.9, 73.5% to win
SF ML: -417.4, 80.7% to win
CHI ML: -231.7, 69.9% to win
Odds all 6 to win: 7.21%
Need odds of +1288 for +EV
This whole “I ran 50,000 simulations” trend taking over sports betting Twitter is genuinely one of the stupidest things I’ve seen in a while. People are treating these numbers like they’ve discovered some revolutionary way to predict sports.
Running 50,000 simulations doesn’t magically make your predictions accurate. If your model is built on flawed assumptions, all you’re doing is generating the same flawed predictions with greater precision.
And the funniest part is how often these supposedly sophisticated models end up picking the overwhelming favorite. Congratulations, you’ve discovered that the team priced at -300 is more likely to win. The sportsbooks already told us that. We didn’t need 50,000 simulations and a fancy graphic to figure it out.
You’re competing against billion dollar companies with sophisticated pricing models, enormous amounts of data and professional analysts. Their odds are constantly tested by sharp bettors. What makes you think your little simulation has uncovered something they’ve all overlooked?
And the engagement farming is even worse. The moment one prediction comes close to being correct, they’re posting screenshots and celebrating like they’ve cracked some secret code. Something any ordinary sports fan could’ve predicted suddenly becomes proof of their model’s brilliance. Meanwhile, how many incorrect predictions conveniently go unmentioned?
Where’s the verified long term profitability? Where’s the evidence of consistently beating closing odds? Picking winners means nothing if the betting market has already priced them accordingly.
You’ve dressed up ordinary predictions in statistics, cherry picked your successes and convinced people you’ve discovered something groundbreaking. Shameful.
@PropJoeDFS The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig...
Kentucky +6.5: -107, 51.7% to win
SE Louisiana ML: +148.8, 40.2% to win
Georgia -3.5: -103, 50.7% to win
Oklahoma +5.5: -109, 52.2% to win
Odds all 4 to win: 5.5%
Need odds of +1718 for +EV
@OutofLineBets I can think of 5 ways...
Miami -7.5: -109, 52.2% to win
Georgia ML: -160.4, 61.6% to win
Oklahoma ML: +179.8, 35.7% to win
Hawaii ML: -282.5, 73.9% to win
Fresno St ML: -104.5, 51.1% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 4.33%
Need odds of +2207 for +EV
@Playbook The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig...
Missouri ML: +125.3, 44.4% to win
LSU ML: -201.5, 66.8% to win
Tennessee ML: -191.7, 65.7% to win
Notre Dame ML: -240, 70.6% to win
Georgia ML: -160.4, 61.6% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 8.47%
Need odds of +1080 for +EV
ROI: 6.78%
@ParlayScience Got some EV with the boost. Good luck.
Tennessee -5.5: -105, 51.2% to win
Georgia -3.5: -103, 50.7% to win
Notre Dame -6.5: -123, 55.2% to win
LSU -4.5: -113, 53.1% to win
Odds all 4 to win: 7.61%
Need odds of +1214 for +EV
ROI: 2.03%
🚨$30 off Plus Tier
Making this available for today and tomorrow only. Use code NOV30OFF and you can try out our system.
Normal price of Plus for the week in $40 so you can try us out for only $10.
@chellgod The math with our Nostradamus No-Vig...
Alabama ML: +209.6, 32.3% to win
Kentucky ML: +194.1, 34% to win
Miami FL: +241.2, 29.3% to win
Odds all 3 to win: 3.22%
Need odds of +3008 for +EV
GL!
A reminder that we have a parlay generator available to Plus subscribers.
The generator finds all the best +EV spots by filter and packages them together for you automatically.
@betbigben A few ways. Most likely LSU -
Tennessee -5.5: -104, 51% to win
Notre Dame -6.5: -121, 54.8% to win
Texas -2.5: -106, 51.5% to win
LSU -6.5: +108, 48.1% to win
Ole Miss +3.5 : +103, 49.3% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 3.41%
Need odds of +2830 for +EV
@Bigbetsbrand123 Good EV with the boost
The math...
BC ML: -221.1, 68.9% to win
Mizzou ML: -124.5, 55.5% to win
Indiana St ML: +122.2, 45% to win
UConn ML: -289.6, 74.3% to win
Portland ML: -106.7, 51.6% to win
Odds all 5 to win: 6.6%
Need odds of +1416 for +EV
ROI: 17.1%