As a historic heatwave bakes Europe on land, a strong marine heatwave is emerging in the Mediterranean Sea.
Water temperatures have reached up to 5.5°C above normal off the coast of Italy with peak water temperatures exceeding 28°C (82°F).
This will further enhance heatwaves on land through increased humidity and also have major impacts on marine ecosystems.
This marks the 5th straight summer of a severe marine heatwave in the Mediterranean Sea, a run that has driven mass die-offs of critical species across the basin.
Tonight’s Climate and Nature film showing and discussion in @GoringStreatley has been cancelled due to the extreme heat….
Sorry about that! We will be back in the autumn…
In the meantime please stay cool!
Today's Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature update, data care of OISST v2.1.
The records continue, now at 19 consecutive new record daily highs, with the temperature on June 17th more than 0.58°C above the previous record daily high.
The Climate 8-Ball has gone into its bunker.
I’ll be posting more details later today — but I will say this for now:
This upcoming heatwave is going to be nothing short of historic and potentially dangerous. Not just in terms of intensity… but duration. We could be talking about over 40°C in France for multiple days in a row.
We no longer live in a stable climate.
El Niño development is currently more advanced than at the same stage of previous super El Niño events in 2015, 1997 and 1982.
But the oceans are much warmer now, and that means the atmospheric response to El Niño this year will be different from the past.
This is the best depiction of the Cold Blob I’ve seen. It’s from @ed_hawkins, but it’s a little different, so follow along…
There’s a peculiar and eerie blue cold blob in a sea of red warming. It sticks out like a sore thumb. It’s a canary in the climate coal mine because it signals the system is breaking down. It’s been there for years and was predicted by climate models. It never goes away. It’s called the North Atlantic “Warming Hole”. It was the basis for the Sci-Fi movie The Day After Tomorrow, a wildly exaggerated depiction, but the concept is real.
The map below is a little different than most maps you see: the blues are where the planet is warming more slowly than the average - but keep in mind that the whole planet - even most of the blues are still warming - except one place - the North Atlantic near Greenland. That area is actually eerily cooling - because of fresh water from melting Greenland ice, less sea ice, and more rain is less salty and doesn’t sink as fast. That is slowing the whole Atlantic circulation (AMOC) which is arguably the most important circulation on Earth, responsible for 25% of northward heat transfer from the tropics to the Arctic. Since the AMOC is slowing - due to Global Warming - less heat from the tropics is getting to the North Atlantic and creating the Cold Blob/ Warming Hole. It’s a sign of danger because it signals that humanity may be approaching a tipping point in the climate which could eventually collapse the #AMOC and that would trigger worldwide consequences. I wrote and article and made a video. I’ll post the link in the comments… #climatechange #climate #STEM #science
#Trees
The world-famous Major Oak tree has died.
The human footprint has finally killed this treasured tree.
Soil compaction from excessive tourism and increasing heat and drought proved too much for this ancient, mighty oak.
Below: 2026: no leaves appeared for the first time in over a thousand years.
(Report in thread).
This week France won’t need to torch the Creme brûlée. The scorching apocalypse will take care of it 🔥🍜🔥
This #climatecrisis is brought to you by necrocapitalism, brain rot, and CO2-farting civilisations that should have died centuries ago
“What’re you in for mate?”
“Cleaning a river without a permit. What about you?”
@EnvAgency is really plumbing new depths of malevolent uselessness here.
Europe is about to be engulfed by one of its worst June heatwaves on record.
Peak forecast temperature next 7 days:
Amsterdam: 34°C, June record
Milan: 39°C, June record
Paris: 38°C, June record
Rome: 39°C, ties June record
Western France could hit 43°C (~110°F) on Monday.
We are still pre-solstice and millions of people across Europe are about to endure another brutal heatwave. Sadly, this is just the beginning of what could potentially become one of the worst heatwaves in modern history for this region.
The UKV has 38°C relatively widely on Monday.
For context, the all time June temperature record is 35.6°C.
The UK has never set two temperature records in two consecutive months before. This would be, as is becoming all too frequent, unprecedented levels of heat.
Your porch light is killing the night shift pollinators by the hundreds. The fix is a $5 light bulb swap.
Insects navigate by celestial light from the moon and stars. They're especially sensitive to UV and blue wavelengths, which is what cool-white and standard white bulbs put out. Cool-white and standard white light bulbs are short-wavelength and disrupt that navigation.
Moths circle the bulb until they die of exhaustion. Beetles, midges, fireflies, mayflies, lacewings, and small predatory wasps are pulled out of their habitat the same way, all summer, every night the light is on.
The result, if your porch light has been white for years, is a steady local depletion of the nocturnal pollinators, predators, and decomposers your local ecosystem runs on. Moths alone pollinate dozens of native plants no day insect visits.
Warm amber bulbs (2700K or lower on the package) attract a fraction of the insects. Red bulbs attract almost none.
Either one costs about $5 and lasts a decade if you get an LED.
You get the same visibility with a fraction of the dead insects.
Oxford, the longest running continuous weather station in UK history, with temperature observations stretching back to 1815, has preliminarily broken its maximum temperature record for May yesterday by OVER 3ºC with a temperature of 33.7ºC. Unprecedented in its 211-year history.
The earliest 35°C ever recorded in the UK is currently June 28th, 1976.
It’s highly likely we will reach 35°C today, beating the previous record by more than an entire month.
If that isn’t unprecedented / extreme then I don’t know what is.
40°C en mai en France
C'est ce que modélise (à nouveau) le modèle ICON 6z ce matin pour vendredi prochain.
Statiquement, une telle valeur se situe à environ +3 à +4σ de la normale locale.
S'éloigner autant de la normale se produit une fois par millénaire(s) en moyenne.
Voilà.