Ghost in Mirror

Lose? I don’t lose! I win! That’s my job. That’s what I do!

• Alfa hunter • Polymarket trader

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@msvetov CIA весь гугл трафик мониторит. Это достаточно известная информация

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@MEPPonPM @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket Ahaha. Tell him someone

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@DidiTrading @Lighter_xyz Congrats, used your ref link on both lighter and extended 0xd677c1F753f97Cb8F98A86acCBcC948d7C0D0E1e

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@spectatorindex London ahahha

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@AWice Woke shit in comments

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@etherealdex Can someone send me a code?

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@NamikMuduroglu Clown

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@ArchiveExplorer gm you lost 4%

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@0x_Kun Fuck democracy

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

"just google it"
"just polymarket it"

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@Polymarket @Google Huge

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

On a day like today, a golden window opens to farm @Polymarket drop hard

Tons of election-related markets close today. Guaranteed-bond opportunities with 1–4% depth

Insane volatility.Super comfy to farm real volume without the usual spread-sniping risk.

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

just use @Polymarket

[Shayne Coplan 🦅 @shayne_coplan]

The “Polymarket is rigged” crowd is awfully quiet tonight.

5/5 today.

Welcome to the future.

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

Its very clear that the amount of dumb money opportunities are going down in number over the years That said, if you’re driven and committed crypto is still one of the best spots to make money as a solo hungry guy Let the quitters quit, but dont let them believe its all over

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@Polymarket First Day of the Month strategy

You can make risk-free bets on stock prices on the first day of the month. There is an abundance of markets for betting on what price a particular asset will reach during the month.

We will be placing bets on the first day of the month on events that have already occurred, capturing the remaining liquidity from the order book.

The essence of the strategy is extremely simple: We track the stock price on the last day of the month. We fix the closing price and select bets that will be settled if the opening on the next day occurs around the closing price (that is, we wait for the market to open on the first day of the month).

As soon as we see the opening price, we load up on the event that stock X will reach price Y in this month (it has already reached it).

This way, we get the opportunity to instantly capture up to 5% (recent example with Meta stock) of the order book volume or our own deposit (depending on which is larger).

[Moses @holy_moses7]

📢 Polymarket NYC Elections odds are not rigged, they are a reflection of reality!

I'm seeing a wave of people dismissing the odds for Zohran Mamdani on prediction markets, crying "rigged" or "manipulated". This narrative is a fundamental misunderstanding of how prediction markets operate.

The only scenario where Andrew Cuomo had a realistic chance was a head to head race against Mamdani. The presence of Curtis Sliwa drains off crucial votes, as he will get 10-20% votes that were essential for Cuomo to win. Cuomo simply cannot win a three way race where the opposition vote is split between him and Sliwa.

The strongest proof against the "rigging" claim is where the smart money is flowing. When you analyze the largest holders in the market, you see names that are OG political bettors. You can only see those names on the side of Mamdani. These individuals have long-term records of winning 6 and 7 figures across dozens of elections on this platform.

These are professional traders, not activists. Their motivation is simple: earning money. They would never put millions on a 95% if they believed the true probability was lower. The only reason they keep holding at 95% is they believe the odds are even higher, in fact, most of them believe this race is already over.

To argue the market is rigged is to argue that the most successful political traders in the world have suddenly decided to become unprofitable activists. That makes zero financial sense. The odds are high for Mamdani because the risk for any other outcome is nearly non-existent.

Link to NYC Mayoral Elections Dashboard in @Polymarket ---> https://t.co/XbsakuTsUE

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

I made several bets on Polymarket

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
YES (85%)

There have been several confirmations from the team. Plus, a recent Bloomberg news story states that Polymarket will launch in the US within a few weeks.
I see this as free money.

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
The Witcher: Season 4, YES (75%)

The Witcher consistently delivers high ratings. Even though the series has become much weaker overall, a one-day show like “Nobody Wants This” won’t be able to surpass it.
The result will be available on November 4. I think it’s easy to flip 25% in a day.

Monad market cap (FDV) one day after launch
$2B, YES (91%)

Premarket valuation is around $4B. The bet on FDV >$2B looks very reliable.

New York City Mayoral Election
Zohran Mamdani, YES (94%)

You often come across arguments that the difference between him and Cuomo is only 6% in polls and that the odds are exaggerated. But keep in mind that these are elections, and a 6% lead one day before voting is a massive advantage.
I also see this as an easy, safe bet.

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

@KyleDeWriter 6% difference for elections is a lot

[Ghost in Mirror @Ghost_In_Mirror]

Stop overthinking what to tweet and start stealing tweets

Even this one I stole it