@haider1 I love the example of 1980 where McKinsey estimated the market of smartphones to be 900,000 in 2000.
They were off two order of magnitudes.
This is the scary thing. We are just so bad at predicting exponentials. AI is developing way faster than we expect.
@sebastemp@curiouswavefn Fair enough. But one of the reasons why he went into AI was that biology is extremely complex and difficult. Hence, he is aware of it.
@5_utr Dude of course it is going to be logistic of the upper bound is a one. There is nowhere up to go. How should this even grow exponentially after one?
You need to use an index that has no upper bound to argue your point