My Footy loving friends, think I might just do a crazy World cup package for you lot to get discord access. ๐
๐ 20-30 followers will get FREE access
๐ฅ 50+ will get access for Just a price of โ๏ธ
Just want to enjoy the tournament with my OGs ๐ซถ
Will you guys be interested? ๐
Post-Season Bet #1 ๐
1.35u๐ฐ
Lamelo Ball Assists ๐ช
8+ @ 2.1 (1u)
10+ @ 3.5 (0.35u)
Data provide by @statyxio ๐
- Fast-paced match-up against the Heat in a do-or-die situation, can see LaMelo playing 35+ minutes if this stays close.
- Heโs heavily involved as both a primary ball handler and facilitator, giving him strong assist upside. The ball is in his hands every possession, and heโs cleared 7.5 assists in 7 of his last 10, averaging 11 potential assists per game.
- Miami allow plenty to PGs, especially in terms of assists ranking #28 in the league in assists allowed to the position and with the pace in this game, the opportunities should be there again. Heโs recorded 9, 13, and 5 assists in his last three matchups vs Miami.
NBA First Half Recap ๐
NBA SZN: 152 Bets (+63.8u) (59% ROI)
January was the best month yet, and February is already on track to be even bigger ๐๐ฅ
Join here *FREE* - https://t.co/6WNpB4ZSyM
NBA All Star Break is here, so is the breakdown of the numbers from my cord. FYI, I only started posting from Dec this season.
As always, I ensure my results aren't based on one big winner from a lotto then losing the rest of the month. It's all about sustainability.
โ Only straights and ladders.
โ Every bet comes with staking and is tracked.
โ No lottos or 10 parlays per night.
โ No profit boosts used.
๐๏ธNBA Saturday Play #1๐
Anfernee Simmons u7.5 RA
(@ 1.89 | 1.12u)
Data via @statyxio ๐
- The offence does run through Simons, but the key is how it runs through him. Heโs looking to score first, not facilitate. Most of his passes come off simple reads or handoffs rather than true playmaking, which keeps his assist upside capped.
- In his only game with Chicago this season, he finished with 5 RA and 0 potential assists, despite seeing the ball a ton. Thatโs a clear sign of a shoot-first role.
- Even with 29โ33 minutes, rebounding isnโt a strength, and heโs primarily defending on the perimeter, which further limits his board chances.
- The way heโs used just doesnโt create many rebound or assist opportunities, and if this game tilts lopsided, his minutes and late-game peripheral upside only get thinner.
Data from @statyxio belowโฌ
๐NBA Wednesday Play #1๐ช
Jaden McDaniel's o1.5 Made 3's
(@ 2.1 | 1u)
๐ช3+ (0.5)
Data Provided by @Oddsupio
- McDaniel's has cleared o1.5 threes in 7 of his last 10 games, and his role continues to give him steady perimeter looks. Heโs playing 33โ35 minutes a game, and nearly 46% of his scoring comes on spot-ups, keeping him involved even without being a primary option.
- Toronto doesnโt do much to take that away, ranking around league average vs spot-ups and near the bottom vs pull-up threes, which fits McDaniel'sโ shot profile well.
- The zones line up too, heโs shooting 41% from the right corner and 32% above the break, both areas Toronto allows at a high rate. With recent games in the 5โ7 attempt range, getting to 2 made threes feels very achievable.
- Spot-up Players vs Toronto:
โข Luguentz Dort - 4/8
โข Svi Mykhailiuk - 2/6
โข OG Anunoby - 2/6
โข Jerami Grant - 0/5
โข Malik Monk - 3/4
โข Rui Hachimura - 2/6
Data from @Oddsupio belowโฌ
๐NBA Tuesday Play #1 ๐งโ๐ณ
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 1Q points
(@ 1.95 | 1u)
๐ช10+ (0.5u)
Data Provided by @Oddsupio ๐
- A system play here. Orlando plays heavy 1-on-1 defence and is one of the teams allowing the highest ISO frequency, most points, and most FGAs in the league. Nearly 50% of SGAโs points come from isolation, and the Magic allow the 4th most points from ISO while also struggling in the restricted area and the paint, where SGA does most of his damage.
- Orlando rarely sends doubles, setting SGA up to cook in the mid-range and get to the line. 21% of his scoring comes at the FT line, where the Magic allow the 8th most points, and 57% of his shots come on pull-ups, a play type where Orlando allows the 3rd most PPG. If he comes out aggressive, this spot lines up well. SGA has cleared his 1Q 6.5 line in 13 of 20 games vs top-10 ISO frequency defences.
- Against top 8โ15 pull-up defences and top 15โ26 <10 FT defences, he has cleared this line in 14 of 20 games.
- SGA leads the team in ISO freq% at 26.5% (3rd highest in the NBA). High-ISO team leaders vs Orlando in the 1Q:
โข Brandon Ingram โ 7 pts (3/6) | 8 mins
โข Donovan Mitchell โ 10 pts (3/5) | 7 mins
โข Donovan Mitchell โ 9 pts (4/8) | 9 mins
โข LaMelo Ball โ 8 pts (3/3) | 7 mins
โข Ja Morant โ 5 pts (1/1) | 6 mins
Data from @Oddsupio in the comments โฌ
Sabonis Replacement ๐คก
๐ฐ1.75u
- Going to 10+ for the culture here. If Hayes got 8 points, he can get 4 at least right?
- loved the Sabonis read so I need to go again with a bum that will probably end on 0 and make me look like a twat but here we are.
His DD is @ 3.10 on Bet365, I'm taking it with 0.75u.
- There's no way in hell this guy doesn't get a DD in this matchup right?