@wizardofFiDi 100% agree. Having spent a lot of time building some of the bigger roll ups in certain specialties, it’s not great for traditional PE investing
Certainly sectors like medspas or more discretionary areas sure…but even there the multiple arbitrage is being eroded away
@BigJohn043 There is some level of professionalization that needs to occur, but not every sector needs to be rolled up
A new model needs to exist here, or a move to more infra like investing
@BigJohn043 Kinda, but same store sales growth are a key piece of the puzzle that rarely happens
People pitch a de novo strategy that rarely has a track record
Also at some point it becomes pushing more volume / pricing through to patients, which is detrimental to patient care…
@PEoperator They joined early at small, well performing funds who progressively wanted to move upmarket
However as you move upmarket you start competing with everyone else for the same assets. Only so many things you can deploy $50-100mm+ equity checks behind
@PEoperator There’s already a whole class of zombie funds. Issue is it will take time for them to blow up and the private market allows ways for them to side step / extend for years. It’s not like hedge funds
Also seeing a lot of mid / upper level PE professionals finally seeing the light
This. Theres a reason why banks look for certain types of people
Lots of folks who maybe weren’t in the inner circle / cool earlier in life, but now get to say they’re a hot shot Wall Street banker
@AJA_Cortes The issue with these gray market peptide is there’s an unknown in long-term demand
Pharma works because you have long-term contracts with good visibility to payback of capex. Not the same with these sort of peptides
@AJA_Cortes There’s also liquid-phase synthesis which is newer but has promises.
There’s been some large scale investments in the West / US in peptide manufacturing, but majority have been in support of GLP-1s which are peptide derived
@NightOwlCapital If they force the high earners to flee with higher taxes, at least they can get their share from the middle / low income folk gambling their savings away
@BowTiedBull This is definitely where things are headed
Though not sure how well these guys will do pushing up market
Big component of winning mandates is trust and the old guys in charge aren’t going to trust AI. But can bet 100% that all banks will be pushing this in the background
@BowTiedBull One of the best spots is being a mid-level at an EB. If you play it right, can be a pass-through entity for all the work while still clipping coupons
Just make sure you have an escape plan because the music will stop at some point…