Greg Dunc∩n @GregDuncan_ - Twitter Profile

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8 months ago

this is my equity curve between my margin + IRA accounts since I started trading (5.5 years) it's taken me a lot of time to improve and feel like I can be a profitable trader, and I think one more full cycle under my belt and I'll feel pretty confident in my ability to trade any type of market tons of thoughts shared below as I reflect on today's action: — what i'm proud of when looking at equity curve (EC): - during bad markets (we haven't had a ton of them) I'm pretty decent at getting out of the way and not trading, so outperformance is pretty easy there - I haven't withdrawn any money from margin account whatsoever, and have only added to it to get above the 25k mark when I first started (shout out to my parents for helping me with this) - I used to have horrible FOMO or be super emotional with PnL swings, heart would beat fast etc - don't have FOMO and don't have a single trade in 2025 that I've labelled as a FOMO trade. in relation to heart beating fast - this has gotten much better even as size / account has grown, huge positive as I continue to scale what I can improve on: - everything else (position sizing, edge identification, sorting between high EV setups and lower EV setups, situational awareness, psychology) — some other thoughts on the shape of the PnL Curve below: -basically from end of 2022 to this year, I wasn't fully locked in on trading because I was spread too thin, focused on my training for qualification to Olympics - which is where the dormant years come from. I felt like it was better to not trade and just watch rather than be split emotionally - every big jump on the curve is an IRA contribution, which I've maxed out every year. compounding should work wonders by the time I can withdraw (I'm 26) - boom and bust cycles are real - this has been one of the hardest things to overcome personally - thinking every move is going to be a huge winner & then giving it all back, or simply just overtrading after good periods - it's definitely hard to be profitable if you're focused on too many inputs at once - work, school, training, family, life, etc so learning how to prioritize is almost as important as locking in your strategy — even if I made no more progress for the rest of the year, I would consider 2025 to be a big success because I've: - made it out of multi-year drawdown - got comfortable trading more size relative to acct balance - understand my own strategy better than every before - listened to the ruleset I've created for myself to trade in 2025 - have added new tools (sentiment, futures, etc) to the toolbox and will continue to improve — if I traded the April bottom like I just traded this period I would be close to a double on the year, but of course it's never that easy so yes - all this to say trading is hard. it's a weird combination of being engaged, but not overly aggressive, or too passive, to make a difference on your acct balance at the end of each year but, beating the market can be done, and there are tons of traders on X who are up absolutely massively this year that you can learn from for free, pretty insane when you think about it — I don't know how much higher we go - the moves do seem pretty unreal, so my focus is to continue to find those high EV setups like $OPEN and trade them for what they're worth, and then move the money elsewhere until the music stops playing all it takes is a couple of good months to motivate you and show you what's possible if you take things seriously and actually CARE put yourself out there and learn, share, and work every day to become better...

GregDuncan_'s tweet photo. this is my equity curve between my margin + IRA accounts since I started trading (5.5 years)

it's taken me a lot of time to improve and feel like I can be a profitable trader, and I think one more full cycle under my belt and I'll feel pretty confident in my ability to trade any type of market

tons of thoughts shared below as I reflect on today's action:

—

what i'm proud of when looking at equity curve (EC):

- during bad markets (we haven't had a ton of them) I'm pretty decent at getting out of the way and not trading, so outperformance is pretty easy there

- I haven't withdrawn any money from margin account whatsoever, and have only added to it to get above the 25k mark when I first started (shout out to my parents for helping me with this)

- I used to have horrible FOMO or be super emotional with PnL swings, heart would beat fast etc - don't have FOMO and don't have a single trade in 2025 that I've labelled as a FOMO trade. in relation to heart beating fast - this has gotten much better even as size / account has grown, huge positive as I continue to scale

what I can improve on:

- everything else (position sizing, edge identification, sorting between high EV setups and lower EV setups, situational awareness, psychology)

—

some other thoughts on the shape of the PnL Curve below:

-basically from end of 2022 to this year, I wasn't fully locked in on trading because I was spread too thin, focused on my training for qualification to Olympics - which is where the dormant years come from. I felt like it was better to not trade and just watch rather than be split emotionally

- every big jump on the curve is an IRA contribution, which I've maxed out every year. compounding should work wonders by the time I can withdraw (I'm 26)

- boom and bust cycles are real - this has been one of the hardest things to overcome personally - thinking every move is going to be a huge winner & then giving it all back, or simply just overtrading after good periods

- it's definitely hard to be profitable if you're focused on too many inputs at once - work, school, training, family, life, etc so learning how to prioritize is almost as important as locking in your strategy

—

even if I made no more progress for the rest of the year, I would consider 2025 to be a big success because I've:

- made it out of multi-year drawdown
- got comfortable trading more size relative to acct balance
- understand my own strategy better than every before
- listened to the ruleset I've created for myself to trade in 2025
- have added new tools (sentiment, futures, etc) to the toolbox and will continue to improve

—

if I traded the April bottom like I just traded this period I would be close to a double on the year, but of course it's never that easy

so yes - all this to say trading is hard.

it's a weird combination of being engaged, but not overly aggressive, or too passive, to make a difference on your acct balance at the end of each year

but, beating the market can be done, and there are tons of traders on X who are up absolutely massively this year that you can learn from for free, pretty insane when you think about it

—

I don't know how much higher we go - the moves do seem pretty unreal, so my focus is to continue to find those high EV setups like $OPEN and trade them for what they're worth, and then move the money elsewhere until the music stops playing

all it takes is a couple of good months to motivate you and show you what's possible if you take things seriously and actually CARE

put yourself out there and learn, share, and work every day to become better...

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Greg Dunc∩n

@GregDuncan_

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