HAL9000

Researcher/Investor Pom.
Penchant for S-Curves.

Only those who will risk going too far, can possibly find out how far one can go.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

Amazing how so many people still resist the memory trade.

This is a structural shift. Long way to go yet.

$MU $DRAM

[Jukan @jukan05]

If it really plays out like this… lol, that would be amazing.

Jefferies held an expert call with a memory consultant, and according to this expert, memory prices are expected to rise 40–50% QoQ in 3Q26, followed by another 30–40% QoQ increase in 4Q26.

This is significantly above the current consensus expectations of 15–20% in 3Q and less than 30% in 4Q.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@FreeToThink000 @ausstockchick You currently get a 50% deduction on CGT based on holding equities for 1yr. New law is 1st July-27. So you have 1 week to get the 100% max deduction.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@athuinvests Micron consistently beats but what matters is the size of the beat and importantly, guidance.

Personally, expecting a significant beat and bullish guidance. Expecting green, if not, then positioned to buy more DRAM.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@nakano_kabu Correct they still have high economic exposure. The cash position/T Bills is the collateral for the swaps. Totally normal. Tax/regulatory reasons.

Microns position actually has 2 swaps (Goldman & Nomura).

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@SlimeyPrinter @variant1001 @Tickertalk1 & this is what makes the market. I'm confident it will hit $3k by end of 27. They will be a total cash cow.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@SlimeyPrinter @variant1001 @Tickertalk1 Nvidia is the largest company in the market. That carries momentary resistance. Micron is a fifth of the size. Non comparable.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@SlimeyPrinter @variant1001 @Tickertalk1 Ultimately it will be driven by eps and cashflow. Market cap is secondary atm.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@SlimeyPrinter @variant1001 @Tickertalk1 Nvidia is pausing because of its market cap but it will run again.

Micron at $1T has ample runway ahead. Their earnings is reminiscant of when Nvidia first started to crush it.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@SlimeyPrinter @variant1001 @Tickertalk1 Don't forget about earnings... Even at $2k it would still be cheap.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

Agreed they are a decent play. Definite bag potential.

More bags in VIVO imo.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@_melonBird @daniel_koss 10mw? How do you research stocks?

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@stevenmarkryan CommSec are acting as lead for Australia in offering to retail. Their website is about to get hot hard...

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@Valueman53997 @BidBird10 @rekurencja China is not too important. As in 8 months time Chinese tungsten is restricted for all US defence anyway. There are significant backlogs.

$750 will only happen if the West brings online a lot of new supply, which won't be for a few years, minimum.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@hinds_stuart What do you think is more likely JV or spun out via IPO?

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@BlackScholesMan New Western supply will still be insufficient to replace the lost Chinese supply. I see the supply side imbalance becoming more structural than a short term trade.

Only viable relief is China exporting again, which is unlikely.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

@catchtherunners @elonmusk Whilst not forgetting changing the life's of quadriplegics, redesigning traffic flows underground, spearheading the humanoid robot revolution or making autonomous vehicles a reality.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

Excellent EQR summary.

They are the leading western producer times to reap the benefits of the structural commodity landscape.

[HAL9000 @HAL__90001]

Pilbara smashed earnings. Company is a total cash cow.

Also drove costs down 11%, which during this inflationary period, speaks volumes about the calibre of the management team.

#PLS