If you are wondering why Dallas had such an insane start, but Harris has been much more lackluster... this is why!
Dallas has 9 more EV locations despite being half the size of Harris. Dallas added *14* new locations while Harris took away 13!
#마크#MARK poloralphlauren
https://t.co/REbv8XmCj5
The world of Polo, together in Tokyo. Mark Lee, more joined a global community of collectors and cultural voices to celebrate the opening of #PoloFest.
#PoloRLStyle#RLVintage
Trump held a rally in Gaston County, NC a few weeks ago. And now, that county has the largest increase in Black vote share of the early vote in the country. Not saying the two are connected, but I have to admit it made me laugh.
NEW — A filing cited by Politico shows Elon Musk put another $76 million into efforts to boost Republicans, bringing his total spending this cycle to $442 million.
FLORIDA TURNOUT UPDATE | OCTOBER 22
Nearly 2 million ballots have been cast. Democrats are still ahead, but Republicans are closing the gap. As of approximately 9 PM tonight, Florida has reported 1,966,485 ballots cast: 1,218,570 by mail and 747,915 through early voting.
Here's where we stand:
🔵 Democrats: 797,165 (40.54%)
🔴 Republicans: 766,858 (39.00%)
🟣 NPAs: 354,587 (18.03%)
⚪ Others: 47,875 (2.43%)
Democrats lead Republicans by 30,307 ballots.
While Democrats are leading vote-by-mail returns by 85,092 ballots. Republicans, meanwhile, have built a 54,785 ballot advantage in early in-person voting.
Democrats are building their advantage through the mail while Republicans are eating into it at the polls, and they're doing it faster than Democrats are expanding their mail lead.
Between yesterday morning's and this morning's reports, Democrats added 10,080 ballots to their mail advantage. Republicans added 15,596 to their early-voting advantage.
The net result? The Democratic lead dropped from 60,255 to 54,739 ballots. By tonight, it's down to 30,307.
Keep in mind that 34 counties began early voting on Monday. As of tonight, Thursday, October 22, early voting is underway in 48 counties. The 11 counties that began early voting today produced a Republican advantage of 11,642 ballots. That alone accounts for nearly half the narrowing since this morning.
Broward's reported early-voting numbers are still a day behind, even though its mail returns are current. So tonight's statewide margin is incomplete and could change once those votes are incorporated..
Republicans entered this election with a statewide registration advantage of 1,540,860 voters. Democrats represent just 30.25% of Florida's registered voters, yet they're responsible for 40.54% of the ballots reported so far. That's an overperformance of more than 10 percentage points relative to their registration share.
In a state where Republicans have spent years building a massive voter registration advantage, Democrats are outperforming their share of the electorate in actual participation. Still, Republicans have a substantially larger pool of registered voters who haven't voted yet, giving them a better opportunity to close the gap.
Then, we have the NPAs. They represent 24.48% of Florida's registered voters, but just 18.03% of ballots cast so far. That's a sizable participation gap, and one of the biggest variables in this election.
I've said it before, and I'll keep saying it: NPAs are not Democrats waiting to be counted. They're also not Republicans by default. Their voting behavior varies by geography, demographics, and election cycle.
My projection is that Republican in-person participation will continue putting pressure on and exceed the Democratic mail advantage by the weekend.
By Saturday, October 24, all 67 Florida counties will have early voting underway. That means a much larger electorate entering the count, including counties where Republicans have historically performed well.
If the current pace continues, Republicans have a credible path to overtaking Democrats in reported turnout by party registration before Election Day.
That doesn't mean Republicans are winning the election. It means registered Republicans could be casting more ballots than registered Democrats.
We still don't know how many Republicans are crossing over, how NPAs are breaking, or what the Election Day electorate will look like. I've made my projections, but am keeping them close for now.
The Brito Takeaway: Democrats have every reason to be encouraged. Their participation relative to registration is impressive, particularly against a Republican registration advantage of more than 1.5 million voters. But Republicans are showing up, too, and the acceleration in their in-person voting isn't the "stay home" variable many anticipated.
Registered Democrats LEAD the Kansas early vote by 18 in a state Trump won by 16.
Kansas Early Vote as of 10/21
🔵Democrats - 29,166 (52.6%)
⚪️Independents - 7,203 (13.0%)
🔴Republicans - 19,112 (34.4%)
Our poll: Hamilton +1.8. Our forecast: Hamilton +2.8.
Day 2 is almost done reporting all of their early votes.
This map visualizes primary voters in EV.
There is a significant drop in turnout the third day in the reported counties.
I will update the map as soon as they report