📌 Gold
Gold ETFs are back on investors' radar as retail demand improves, central banks continue accumulating the metal and the macro backdrop remains favorable
👉 https://t.co/fAILhp0vXg
@GoldmanSachs $gold #gold $gld #gld#GDX $GDX
🇺🇸 Margin Debt
Leverage lifts returns when markets climb but reveals the weak spots when sentiment turns. Margin debt, as a share of the money supply, now stands at its highest since the dot‑com boom
👉 https://t.co/blMxcoFA78
h/t @LanceRoberts $spx #spx#stocks#equity
📌 Bitcoin
Since the reversal in October 2025, institutions have cut billions in Bitcoin holdings month after month, an indication of fading appetite and a darker mood across crypto markets
👉 https://t.co/blMxcoG7WG
@DeutscheBank#bitcoin#btc $btc #crypto#digitalassets
Bitcoin is not pumpable right now.
In 2024, $10B in cash could create $26B in BTC book value. In 2025, $308B flowed in, yet the market cap fell $98B. Selling pressure is too heavy for any multiplier effect.
MSTR and DATs won't work until it becomes pumpable again.
Bloody hell:
The Buffett Indicator (US Total Market Cap / GDP) hits ~220%, meaning the stock market is valued at more than 2.17x the size of the US economy.
That’s way higher than the Dot Com bubble peak.
Buffett once warned: “If the ratio approaches 200%, as it did in 1999, you are playing with fire.”
📌 Gold
Gold has just surpassed its inflation-adjusted record high from 1980, marking an important milestone as both a hedge against inflation and a gauge of currency weakness
👉 https://t.co/fAILhp0vXg
h/t @markets $gld $gold #gold#gld $xau #inflation
📌Gold & Silver
The interplay of softer economic data, lower interest rates, and geopolitical-economic risks continues to drive strong demand and price appreciation for gold and silver as traditional haven assets
👉https://t.co/fAILhp0vXg
h/t @markets $gld $gold #gold#gld $xau
🇺🇸S&P 500
The US equity market is highly concentrated in just a few mega-cap tech companies. While this does not definitively mean the US is in a bubble, investors face uncharted waters as performance hinges on a few key players
👉https://t.co/yIk7SZYp6p
@DeutscheBank $spx #spx
🇺🇸 Valuations
Valuations don't matter—until they do. Over the past 150 years, high valuations have been a sign of poor forward returns, with negative real returns over 10 years following the last three major valuation peaks
👉 https://t.co/14i5SQVCfd
h/t @DeutscheBank $spx #spx
📌 Gold
Gold's typical inverse link to real rates is fundamental, but inflation expectations, central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and investor sentiment driven by debt and fiscal worries can disrupt this relationship for extended periods
👉 https://t.co/fAILhp0vXg
$gold
🇺🇸 Inflation
The US ISM Services Prices Paid Index typically leads US CPI inflation by three months, indicating that changes in the index can help predict future CPI trends
👉 https://t.co/h1N9R2cHeb
@DeutscheBank#inflation#cpi#Fed#rates#corecpi#ISM
$BTC long-term holders have already realized more profit this cycle than in all but one prior cycle (2016–17), highlighting elevated sell-side pressure. Taken alongside other signals, this suggests the market has entered a late phase of the cycle.
Why is BTC moving up so slowly this cycle?
BTC supply is concentrated around OG whales who peaked their holdings in 2011 (orange and dark orange).
They bought their BTC at $10 or lower. It takes $110k+ of new capital to absorb each BTC they sell.
🚨Bitcoin and Ethereum are changing the investing landscape:
The market share of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in all US-listed ETFs rose to 1.6%, the MOST EVER.
The so-called implied allocation to these cryptocurrencies has essentially surged by 8 TIMES in 2 years.
Remarkable.