Brayden Burries is the best transition prospect in the entire class.
-95th % in transition usage
-95th % in transition frequency
- 79th % in transition efficiency
A testament to his motor, athleticism, and ability to excel in fast-paced settings. His game is build for the NBA
A prospect’s ability to get out in transition and make plays there is one of the best variables for projecting their translation to the NBA.
It’s the best cumulative measure of defense, motor, athleticism, and ability to play in fast paced environments regardless of role.
This is going to be an interesting series.
KAT’s ability to shoot the three takes Wemby away from the rim and neutralizes SAS’s defensive anchoring.
The complementary pieces are equal, and Brunson provides the better offensive anchoring.
I think NYK pulls off the upset.
Ugonna Onyenso was 2nd in the entire NCAA in total blocks (117) despite only playing 18.6 MPG.
Set the record for total blocks in the ACC Tournament (21).
Generational rim protecting talent, and it may get him rotational NBA minutes early. Has a very high demand skillset
I’m still shocked that nobody is interested with investing in Tounde Yessoufou with a lottery pick.
3rd in the Big 12 in SPG
7th in the Big 12 in PPG
6’5 in shoes, 220lbs, with a 6’10 wingspan
May be considered the best 2-way player in the class by the end of rookie contracts
Here are the most prolific transition players in the draft.
I used Hoop-Explorer data to find every player’s transition usage, frequency, and efficiency.
It’s a very defining skillset given the pace of the NBA.
Top 3 players:
1. Otega Oweh
2. Billy Richmond
3. Brayden Burries
Dailyn Swain and Labaron Philon are skyrocketing in my rankings.
There were only 3 players that:
1) Self-created more than 71% of their FGM
2) Shot above 50% from the field.
Among High Major Players in the top 100 in FGA (Bart)
These are the 3 best creators in the draft
Otega Oweh was the best transition player in CBB.
That’s a green flag for motor and athleticism translation. Especially in a fast-paced league like the NBA
Per Hoop Explorer Data:
- 97th percentile in transition usage
- 92nd percentile in frequency
- 86th in efficiency
Braden Smith will be a phenomenal value pickup for an NBA team.
Getting somebody who has mastered the P&R in the 2nd round, and also forces turnovers defensively, is a great deal.
1st All Time in Assists (NCAA) & 9th All Time in Steals (BIG10)
This is a list of all the players who were in the 50th+ percentile in, both, size & athleticism testing at the NBA combine.
The % of their field goals that were unassisted this year are displayed also.
AJ Dybantsa is a basketball outlier.
Could be 1st team All-NBA by year 3
If a center isn’t a strong post scorer, they have to be able to shoot the 3. Otherwise, you’re making an elite rim protector’s job way too easy by keeping them near the rim.
You either have to take them away from the rim or punish them for being there.
Among High Major players with atleast 370 FGA, Labaron Philon was in the:
1) 93rd % in total unassisted rim makes
2) 89th % in total unassisted made 3s
Did this with a 50+ FG%
Too good of a shooter to give him space, yet too good of a slasher to play too close
Illustration of the best dual-threat self creators in the draft
It factors total unassisted rim makes & unassisted made 3s (Barttorvik)
It describes players who:
1) Shoot too well to give them space
2) Slash too well to defend close
Ebuka Okorie is the king of this archetype
Hannes Steinbach is another prospect who should be a lottery pick.
Led the nation in rebounding as a freshman and was nearly a 20 PPG scorer as well.
You’re guaranteed to get a player who:
1) Has excellent conditioning for a center (35 MPG)
2) Gives maximum effort on both ends
What Do NBA Teams Actually Pay For?
I used data from @craftedNBA to create a model on which skill areas affect salaries the most.
1. Playmaking/ball-handling is still the most important skill by far.
2. Defending multiple positions is the most important skill area on defense.
Here’s a clear way to see who the winners were from the NBA Combine, particularly from a size and athleticism perspective.
Trevon Brazile, Caleb Wilson, and Morez Johnson were the 3 players who were in the 75th+ percentile in, both, the size and athleticism testing.
Trevon Brazile recorded the highest maximum vertical reach at the NBA Combine: 12’6.5
9’1 standing reach with 41.5 inch vertical
Was also in the 94th percentile in the shuttle run and 85th percentile in the 3/4 sprint
The most impressive athlete in the NBA from Day 1
Trevon Brazile is the perfect NBA big archetype: Pick & Pop threat who outruns other bigs in transition
- 94th percentile in max vertical leap
- 90th percentile in wingspan
- 86th percentile in transition frequency
- 71st percentile in Pick & Pop frequency
High value pick