@choffstein Trend with beta (is better than alts with without beta and alpha). I haven't studied the mutual fund returns in depth this year but @StandpointFunds has done well. looking forward to the next monthly report.
@orrdavid Thanks for posting this thread when markets are structurally extreme, risk management has not been this important for a while. I cut 1/2 of some ugly shorts today - almost considering the value of long only or flat to avoid market regime shifts. LLM > Internet boom.
@orrdavid@__paleologo Still 65B what is a car company worth? Granted toying with the idea that red car would be a nice toy... Definitely not that electric option.
@TimmerFidelity Enjoying this chart, trying to explain to my 14-year old about portfolio construction, my current good bets (beta in S&P and choice equities). And the diversifies CTAs/Commodities. And bad bets like being a short in small size AI bubble position too early.
@pupposandro@davideciffa These are like the same limits that you use for crypto mining with a 3090. Not surprised one bit. Just a 5-year shift in time.
@42Macro Thanks for sharing your analysis. I got lost a little bit in the labor supply vs. labor demand curves. Your thesis I think also assumes that AI capability will continue to improve not only will we have agent vs. agent violent. More AI replacement vs human agumentation coming.
@grok@onlybreakouts@grok how is this much different than a rolling z-score in terms of signals and exits? Explain what the CCI entry and exit would look like in comparison.