If you want to change your entire life, do the opposite of what everyone else does. Eliminate distractions, reclaim your agency, and raise your standards. There's never been a better time in history to separate from the unhappy masses. Don't ask how. Just start.
Cheat code: If you don't want to build a supply/demand model or toot on about stuff no one knows a thing about.. the best way of commodity forecasting IMO is to find the marginal producer and predict price based on what price that producer needs to stay alive...
$LTR.AX on lithium on my books needs US$1,500/t SC6+ to break even...
Codelco on copper needs >US$6/lb+ to break even... (I'm talking opex plus capex plus debt servicing ie interest)
$CRN.AX on met coal needs US$280/t..
The marginal producer can tell you a lot about the price of the commodity - provided it is material (ie >3%) amount of supply.... of course things can go way lower than the marginal cost.. in the short run...