If you want to change your entire life, do the opposite of what everyone else does. Eliminate distractions, reclaim your agency, and raise your standards. There's never been a better time in history to separate from the unhappy masses. Don't ask how. Just start.
Cheat code: If you don't want to build a supply/demand model or toot on about stuff no one knows a thing about.. the best way of commodity forecasting IMO is to find the marginal producer and predict price based on what price that producer needs to stay alive...
$LTR.AX on lithium on my books needs US$1,500/t SC6+ to break even...
Codelco on copper needs >US$6/lb+ to break even... (I'm talking opex plus capex plus debt servicing ie interest)
$CRN.AX on met coal needs US$280/t..
The marginal producer can tell you a lot about the price of the commodity - provided it is material (ie >3%) amount of supply.... of course things can go way lower than the marginal cost.. in the short run...
The strongest oak tree of the forest is not the one that is protected from the storm and hidden from the sun. It's the one that stands in the open where it is compelled to struggle for its existence against the winds and rains and the scorching sun.