InvestWithLes

Stock/Options Educator in The Wealth Squad

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@banquetsbetter I’ll be watching the weekly 9 and the bullish fvg myself. Triggered possible outside month down 🫣

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

Healthcare on watch 👀

[Jake Wujastyk @Jake__Wujastyk]

SUNDAY HOMEWORK:

Volume shelf/volume gap setups are showing up in many names into next week.

Learn what these mean and how you can profit from them.

Video: https://t.co/6DCkPpP0le

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@banquetsbetter Called in out in the discord last week ;) we in there! 🙌🏼

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@theaiportfolios Why would you only sell due to fundamental analysis and not also technical analysis? Even a good company can have an ugly chart for months. I guess depends on your time horizon and if you plan to hold as long as fundamentals don’t change? But also consider opportunity costs..

[LEAPTRADER @LEAPTRADER_]

Most people selling CSPs pick their strike randomly. That’s why they panic when the stock dips. 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴.

Here’s how I think about it using $NVDA 👇

𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁, 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮
Delta on a put tells you the approximate probability the option expires in the money (ITM).

In plain English:

📉 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮 -𝟬.𝟯𝟬 = ~30% chance the stock lands below your strike at expiration

📉 𝗗𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮 -𝟬.𝟭𝟱 = ~15% chance
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮, 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝗳𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 but also the less premium you collect. It’s always a tradeoff.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝟯 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗭𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝗻 $𝗡𝗩𝗗𝗔

Let’s say $NVDA is trading at $180. You’re looking at a 30-day expiration. Here’s how the zones break down:

✅ 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲: $𝟭𝟱𝟬 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 (~𝟬.𝟭𝟱 𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮)
Premium: ~$1.80/share ($180/contract)
NVDA has to drop 13%+ before you’re in trouble. Low risk, lower reward. Great if you just want to collect and move on.

⚖️ 𝗕𝗮𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱: $𝟭𝟲𝟬 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 (~𝟬.𝟮𝟱 𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮)
Premium: ~3.40/share ($340/contract)
A meaningful 9% buffer below current price. This is 𝘮𝘺 𝘴𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘵 𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘵 on a high-conviction name like $NVDA. You’re getting paid well and still have room to breathe.

🔥 𝗔𝗴𝗴𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲: $𝟭𝟳𝟱 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 (~𝟬.𝟯𝟱 𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘁𝗮)
Premium: ~$8.00/share ($800/contract)
Juicy premium but only a 2% cushion. One bad event and you’re assigned. Only go here if you 𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 want NVDA shares at $175.

𝗣𝗿𝗼 𝗧𝗶𝗽𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗦𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 👇

💰𝗔𝗹𝘄𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁. Check the chart. If $NVDA has strong support at $165, that $165 strike just became even more attractive.

💰𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗜𝗩 𝗯𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀. NVDA’s implied volatility spikes before earnings, which inflates premiums. That $3.40 at the $160 strike could become $6.00+ pre-earnings. Some people love this. I personally avoid selling CSPs into earnings.

💰𝗔𝘀𝗸 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗳 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗯𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴: “Am I happy owning 100 shares of $NVDA at this strike price?” If the answer is no…move your strike down until it is.

Premium chasing on a strike you’d hate to be assigned is how traders blow up accounts.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

BREAKING: Trump just officially told Congress, the Iran war is over.

In a letter to Congressional leaders, Trump wrote that there has been no exchange of fire between US forces and Iran since April 7, 2026 and that hostilities have been terminated.

This move allows the White House to bypass the 60-day Congressional approval deadline under the War Powers Resolution.

But if hostilities resume, the clock resets and starts again.

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@BobSacamano140 @sixfivelando But personal issues have not manifested on the court. That’s what she’s saying. They’ve always managed it professionally.

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@YosemiteFoghorn @Teslaconomics What’s your way around it

[Noah @antibearthesis]

There has never been a better opportunity to buy SaaS

$NOW, $INTU, $ADBE & $CRM are all down >50%

Investors are panic selling due to AI fears

The reality is that AI is supercharging these companies - not disrupting them

Let's look at the facts;

Revenue growth CAGR forward 3 years:
- ServiceNow: 20%
- Intuit: 12%
- Adobe: 10%
- Salesforce: 10%

EPS growth CAGR forward 3 years:
- ServiceNow: 54%
- Intuit: 27%
- Adobe: 22%
- Salesforce: 30%

FCF margins
- ServiceNow: 35%
- Intuit: 33%
- Adobe: 46%
- Salesforce: 34%

Forward P/E:
- ServiceNow: 23x
- Intuit: 15x
- Adobe: 10x
- Salesforce: 14x

10-year median forward P/E:
- ServiceNow: 76x
- Intuit: 40x
- Adobe: 37x
- Salesforce: 72x

Fundamentals are accelerating

Valuation is collapsing.

This is what true asymmetry looks like

I'm buying the dip - are you?

[The Claude Portfolio @theaiportfolios]

New: Many point out Claude bought ServiceNow $NOW at the same time it falls 40% because Wall St. believes Claude is disrupting it

However, Claude disagrees.

It has a three month price target of $100.23.

"This company is not a victim of the AI agent buildout. It is infrastructure for it. ServiceNow is an Anthropic design partner. Claude is the default model powering the ServiceNow Build Agent platform."

After my buy, someone commented saying 'Claude about to run over itself in software'

Plot twist: I checked and it turns out I'm the default AI model inside ServiceNow's platform. Hard to run over yourself when you're the engine under the hood."

^That is the reasoning Claude gave for the buy.

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@AJ_Invests_Co @JoyMyBoy26 @optionscjp I think he’s asking if he considers it software…. Not stating that he mentioned it.

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@AnveshKolli @Jake__Wujastyk Prob best to wait and see if this potential support area holds before buying anything imo… Not financial advice.

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@Hagan2424 @WealthSquad @Chrissssjohnson @Michael_Crowe WS4L ♻️🙌🏼

[Barchart @Barchart]

Warren Buffett is waiting for a larger move to the downside 🤯👀 He says March was nothing 👻📉

[Brad Stulberg @BStulberg]

You’re never out until you’re out.

Play the game in front of you. Not the game you wanted to happen. Not the game that just happened. Not the game you hoped would happen. But the game that is happening.

It's a remarkable lesson for basketball, for all of sport, and really, for all of life.

In the Elite 8 of the NCAA tournament, the UConn Huskies came out flat against the No. 1 seed Duke.

The Huskies trailed by 15 at halftime.

No. 1 seeds were 134-0 all time in the NCAA tournament when leading by 15 or more points at halftime.

That’s across the entire NCAA tournament history. Every round. Every year.

UConn had every reason to give up. But they simply refused. Most people check out when the odds turn against them. But UConn never stopped playing to win.

Their big man Tarris Reed Jr. put the Huskies on his back. He played incredibly on both sides of the ball.

The Huskies cut the lead to 13. Then to 11. Then to 7. Then to 5. And then, in the final seconds of the game, they cut the lead to two.

Duke inbounded the ball, UConn pressured and forced a turnover. With less than a second on the clock, Braylon Mullins—who had shot 0 for 4 from three—put up a deep 3 from the logo, and nailed it.

UConn 73. Duke 72.

134-1.

After the game, UConn coach Dan Hurley said this about Mullins:

"The courage. You have a young man, he's a rare human being. The toughness about him, to take the shot, on a tough shooting night, but he was due."

It was an off night. And yet with everything on the line you have no choice but to pull the trigger. Shooters shoot. That's confidence in the process.

March Madness is an ultimate test of emotional regulation. Over 3 weeks and 6 games, nothing ever goes to plan.

You prepare. You practice. You visualize. Then stuff happens.

The difference between those who collapse and those who rise? How they respond, especially when things don’t go their way.

What's true in basketball is true in life.

It's easy when everything is going your way. But things will go wrong. You'll fall behind. The score won't look good. Most people check out when the odds turn against them.

UConn never stopped playing their hardest.

Not when they were down 19. Not when they were 1 for 11 from three. Not when history said it was over.

It’s called having a next play mentality:

You can't control what already happened. You can't control the score. You can only control the next play.

One stop. One bucket. One possession at a time.

That's how you erase a historical deficit against the No. 1 team in the country. It's how you work through the biggest challenges in life too.

Excellence does not mean control. It does not mean perfection. It means refusing to quit on yourself when the situation looks hopeless. It means trusting your preparation even when nothing is falling.

It means playing the game in front of you. Not the game you wanted. Not the game you hoped for. The game that is happening.

Stay in the arena. Play the next play.

[The Market Matrix @MarketMatrixs]

$MSFT 3 years ago:
Stock price: $350
Revenue: $211.3B
Net income: $72B
Adj. EBITDA: $102.4B
Operating income: $88.5B

$MSFT now:
Stock price: $350
Revenue $305–$330B
Net income: $115B-$120B (+70%)
Adj. EBITDA: $180B-$200B
Operating income: $140B-$145B

Yeah, it’s undervalued.

[Robinhood @RobinhoodApp]

T̶i̶m̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶m̶a̶r̶k̶e̶t̶.̶ Time in the market.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Model Y is #1

[InvestWithLes @InvestWithLes]

@DefineLegit @optionflys What are you mainly trading if I ask?