Yuliia Pavytska

Head of Sanctions Hub of Excellence at @KSE_Institute

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

@UNESCO @UNESCO_kyiv What a shame! But not surprisingly that @unesco cannot dare to call that this was Russia who targeted Lavra.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Russia is terrorist state ‼️

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Kyiv is under massive attack. The Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra is also among Russia's targets tonight and is on fire. Fucking terrorists

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Kyiv is under massive attack. The Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra is also among Russia's targets tonight and is on fire. Fucking terrorists

[KSE Institute 🇺🇦 @KSE_Institute]

1/6 🇺🇦🇺🇸 Recently, KSE hosted a briefing for U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal (@SenBlumenthal) and Representative Jim Himes (@jahimes) on strengthening sanctions against Russia and limiting its financial capacity to continue the war.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Після жахливої нової забігла підтримати улюблених @Zavertailo_kyiv ❤️‍🩹

Імпровізовані вікна вже майже на місці, фільтр ллється рікою, а подільська шляхта піднімає настрій свіжою випічкою. Бо що? Правильно, калорії сьогодні не рахуються

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

That’s how “deal” with Russia looks like. Awful night, and awful last 24 hours for Ukriane. Russia used 1560 drones and 56 missiles. Siren is back while I’m typing this tweet.

[Serhii Sternenko @sternenko]

What is the deal with the Russians worth? Trump recently agreed with Putin that he could hold a parade, but there would be an exchange of prisoners and no strikes on Kyiv.

Kyiv this morning. A ballistic missile struck a residential building. Civilians are under the rubble.

In total, over the past 24 hours, the Russians have launched about 1000 drones and dozens of missiles.

[Kyiv Security Forum @ksfopenukraine]

🇷🇺 entered 2026 on the edge of stagnation, but is benefiting from weakened oil sanctions. Only sectors driven by military orders are growing. There was a real chance to push 🇷🇺 into crisis, but continued oil exemptions have helped sustain its revenues. - @JPavytska at #KSF2026

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Ще одне ганебне рішення адміністрації Трампа.
Термін дії винятку для російської нафти продовжено ще на місяць.
Це важко розглядати інакше, як чергову послугу Москві.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Yet another shameful decision by the Trump administration.
Waiver for Russian oil has been extended for another month.
It’s difficult to interpret this as anything but another favor to Moscow.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

Well, keep your fingers crossed 🤞🏼

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

@jakluge We haven't found any line that would mean automatic prolongation, as well. But, of course, enforcement from the US side remains questionable, even if there will be no prolongation of waiver

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

5/ The war in Iran must end as soon as possible. Freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz must be restored. Any easing of energy sanctions on Russia should be reversed.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

1/ Russia is a key beneficiary of the war in Iran and the surge in oil prices. Oil and petroleum product export revenues jumped to $19.5 bn in March — according to IEA. This is +95% vs. record-low February revenues ($9.8 bn), and +43% vs. the 2025 average.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

4/ So without materially increasing supply, Russia is simply benefiting from higher oil prices.
Improvement in budget revenues should be visible in March–April.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

5/ Війну в Ірані слід якнайшвидше закінчувати. Вільне судноплавство Ормузькою протокою має бути відновлене якнайшвидше.
А будь-які послаблення енергетичних санкцій проти РФ мають бути скасовані.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

1/ Росія - ключовий бенефіціар війни в Ірані та злетівших за хмари цін на нафту. Експортна виручка від нафти та нафтопродуктів у березні злетіла до $19,5 млрд — за даними IEA. Це +95% до рекорднонизьких доходів у лютому ($9,8 млрд), і +43% ніж в середньому у 2025 році.

[Yuliia Pavytska @JPavytska]

4/ Тобто ніяк принципово не змінюючи пропозицію нафти на ринку, Росія насолоджується високими цінами на нафту.

Покращення ситуації з бюджетом варто очікувати в квітні та березні.