Asst Prof of Strategic Deterrence @NavalWarCollege | Co-editor, "The Reagan Moment;" Author, "The Nuclear Club" | PERSONAL VIEWS, don’t speak for NWC, USN, DoD.
Thrilled to announce my 1st book! "The Nuclear Club" examines world affairs from Hiroshima to 1968 Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) to demonstrate how the club consolidated authority via a counter-revolution that legitimated wars of choice a/g rogue states.
https://t.co/BOo5NTMjGO
Worth your time reading the new official American assessment of Chinese submarine capabilities by @ezegsm3 for @navalnewscom.
Note US officials assume a build rate between 2 and 4 boats per year over the next decade for new PLAN SSN/SSGN.
https://t.co/530Ar6HGTU
Very happy to share that my article "History and Politics of the Taiwan Clause: U.S.-China Competition over Japan and its Link to Taiwan's Defense" in the Journal of Cold War Studies is finally out (OPEN ACCESS)!
https://t.co/pQePEwC1lp
After many years of research, and on the eve of a historic Putin-Xi-Trump meeting, my 80-page treatment of the 1969 fighting between Moscow and Beijing is out!
New exciting evidence about civ-mil, intelligence, and escalation, esp from Russian archives.
https://t.co/QaG8bg5lI7
2026-2027 — new books on military industrial complex
* Chung — Standardizing Empire
* Slobodian & Tarnoff — Muskism
* Murphy — Pentagon Capitalism
* Klein & Taylor — End Times Fascism
* Nagaraja — Troop Movements
* Wilson — American War Machine
* Barker — Deadly Stimulant
Kofman: This is the best year of Ukrainian combat performance since 2023. It's the worst year of Russian combat performance since winter 2023.
Russia's attempt to envelop the last cities of Ukrainian Donbas has failed on both the southern and the northern axis.
0/
UK-French nuclear cooperation update! In case you missed it, the UK-French Nuclear Steering Group (set up under Northwood Declaration in the context of the Lancaster Treaties) met on 10 November. Identical statements: 1/x
https://t.co/CI6qIA1UHt
https://t.co/5mbq1lu7JS
@cszabla Good question! Warren can sounds like a New Lefty in her distrust of corporate power & NVIDIA is the behemoth. Two competing forms of neoliberalism = the narcissism of small differences. Or maybe she just loathes David Sacks lol
France reinvesting in its space-based ISR capabilities, to sustain them beyond 2030. There's a story to be told about France and Germany's combined efforts to stand up space-based early warning systems, too.
https://t.co/cchBozERJp
@cszabla Looks like she’s following leadership. That said, she circulated a letter objecting to Nvidia’s China sales, so there’s a history of scrutiny from her.
Despite Jensen Huang’s resignation, Congress must demand answers from Mr. Huang and others at Nvidia about how they may have put U.S. national security at risk.
The Trump administration must also answer for what it did once it learned about Mr. Huang’s relationship with a suspected Chinese intelligence asset. Were government officials told not to investigate because of Trump’s relationship with Mr. Huang? What did Trump know when he personally invited Mr. Huang aboard Air Force One?
Americans deserve to know that those at the highest levels of power are putting America first, not their bottom line or their personal friendships.
@jkuehn50 France is a regional power. Fighting expeditionary wars is not something regional powers are postured to do well. Plus, the lack of consultation. The French Navy readily collaborated with Operation Prosperity Guardian against the Houthis.
@cszabla As a senator, you’re also receiving far more briefings from senior IC and military figures. Plus, this drama is made in a laboratory to run congressional hearings meant to embarrass the administration.
@jkuehn50 France & Germany are at the forefront of backstopping Ukraine, a far more consequential theater for long-term U.S. national interests than the Gulf, IMHO.
@cszabla Nvidia is also basically a monopoly, another bugbear of hers. Usually foreign policy views are somewhat downstream of personnel. My guess would be that she’s plundered HKS & HLS, where Rush Doshi thought reigns supreme, too much.
@HistorianZhang@cszabla To get back to my original point, the CVN visiting Port Jebel Ali has better claim to constituting a “military base” than Quay 9 + warehouse + USO building. It carries 4500 sailors & marines + more firepower than most air forces!
This is in the weeds but among historians of US military power there’s a fixation on terrestrial military bases, our “pointillist empire” that overlooks the reality that aircraft carriers after Rickover are mobile islands whose only real sustainment challenge is food/morale.
@HistorianZhang@cszabla Yes, those few buildings are located on Quay 9 — hence “solitary quay.”
I don’t think “base” is defensible. It’s a military target under LOAC, but to dub it a “base” is to stretch the definition in a Procrustean fashion, IMHO. It’s certainly not listed a USN base code.
Even were this true (it’s not), Russia suspended participation in New START back in 2023 (treaty then expired this year). Needless to say, Ukraine hasn’t been a party to New START, well, ever.
Nuclear capable bombers are left outside hangers *by treaty* to be viewable by each side by satellite as a transparency measure. To attack nuclear bombers with drones is a reckless act, a dangerous act of perfidy similar to US/Israel killing Iranian envoys while negotiating