I met one of Elon’s recent hires. Despite his towering resume, he sat in the corner, kept building, and stayed humble.
I thought, “Wow, he could choose an easier job, but he kept working hard and building stuff with his own hands.”
Many people I know who were hired by other companies basically just became managers and never had a chance to build things themselves other than making slides. But it is the opposite in Elon’s companies—this is something I would never trade.
Good morning, world! 🌎
We have spectacular new high-resolution images of our home planet, all of us looking back through the Orion capsule window at our Artemis II astronauts as they continue their journey to the Moon.
I would like to offer to pay the salaries of TSA personnel during this funding impasse that is negatively affecting the lives of so many Americans at airports throughout the country
🚨 BREAKING: Sec. Marco Rubio just told Europe to their faces we are bound by CHRISTIAN FAITH, and must fight the climate cult and mass migration
Based Marco! This is what I voted for! 🔥
“We are bound by centuries of shared history, Christian faith, culture, heritage, language, ancestry.”
“In a pursuit of a world without borders, we opened our doors to an unprecedented wave of mass migration that threatens the cohesion of our societies, the continuity of our culture, and the future of our people.”
“To appease a climate cult, we have imposed energy policies on ourselves that are impoverishing our people.”
“We made these mistakes together. And now, together, we owe it to our people to face those facts and to move forward to rebuild.”
“This is why President Trump demands seriousness and reciprocity from our friends here in Europe.”
“We are connected spiritually and we are connected culturally…we know that the fate of Europe will never be irrelevant to our own.”
🔥🔥🔥
Bayes’ theorem in plain English:
You don’t have to be right.
You just have to be willing to update your beliefs when new evidence appears.
Most arguments happen because people either never update… or change their minds based on one headline.
Rational thinking isn’t black vs white.
It’s adjusting confidence as better evidence comes in.
For those who might be struggling to understand how the theorem is magically turned into anything at all related to beliefs and evidence and biases, it might help to first see how the theorem is read:
P(A|B) = [P(B|A) × P(A)] / P(B)
Here's how to read it out loud in plain English in the most natural/intuitive way:
> "The probability of A given B
> equals
> the probability of B given A
> times
> the prior probability of A
> divided by
> the total probability of B"
Most common ways people say it:
1. Short & classic version
"Posterior = (likelihood × prior) / evidence"
2. Slightly more verbal
"The probability of A given that B happened
=
(probability of B given A) × (how likely A was before we saw B)
divided by
(how likely we were to see B no matter what)"
3. The storytelling version (often the favorite for teaching)
"How much should I believe in A now that I've seen B?
Well, it's proportional to
• how well A explains B (likelihood),
• multiplied by how much I believed in A before I saw any evidence (prior),
• and then we normalize it so all the possibilities add up to 100% (divide by P(B))."
Another employee incentive flight in the books - many more to come. Jonathan Baker, chief of the spaceport development division at KSC, joined me for an F-5 flight today ahead of tomorrow morning’s Crew-12 launch 🇺🇸🚀
For those unaware, SpaceX has already shifted focus to building a self-growing city on the Moon, as we can potentially achieve that in less than 10 years, whereas Mars would take 20+ years.
The mission of SpaceX remains the same: extend consciousness and life as we know it to the stars.
It is only possible to travel to Mars when the planets align every 26 months (six month trip time), whereas we can launch to the Moon every 10 days (2 day trip time). This means we can iterate much faster to complete a Moon city than a Mars city.
That said, SpaceX will also strive to build a Mars city and begin doing so in about 5 to 7 years, but the overriding priority is securing the future of civilization and the Moon is faster.
It was an honor to fly with @SecWar@PeteHegseth over NASA’s Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, America’s gateway to the stars. Just as we share this critical facility at the Cape, we share a common goal of American superiority in the ultimate high ground of space.
Next up is America’s return to the lunar environment, with the Artemis II wet dress rehearsal underway today 🚀🇺🇸