This is useful and practical response to the existential unease that mathematicians understandably seem to be feeling about AI. Other professions should be thinking is a similarly rigorous way.
Some reflections on AI in math. I found it helpful to simply list out the various parts of what a mathematician does, why math is valuable, and where the funding comes from. From there, what happens if AI gets more capable?
https://t.co/H5T1WdIBzw
Please help spread the word. Someone in the audience can save Ben’s life and help him get to see his small children grow up.
If you can help with medicine, introductions, or donations, please do:
When I stilled worked on biosecurity, I first learned about Debug, a Google project to reduce mosquito populations.
Results from their Singapore pilot are now out.
They crushed mosquito populations, reducing dengue infections by 70% in the process:
One awards many Internet points to the person that made the observation “When one sees two cockroaches in one’s kitchen, the best available estimate for number of cockroaches is not two.”
Suspect a good number of colleges will close, probably heavily concentrated in non-elite private colleges.
Seems like colleges are already getting a confluence of negative forces that threaten the business model: 1) start of a demographic decline; 2) federal political pressure shrinking funding; 3) clampdown on immigration cutting off a source of high paying students; and 4) increasing skepticism of the value proposition of college attendance pushing more young people (maybe especially men) to decide not to go. I don’t even know what effect AI is going to have on college enrollment (I could be persuaded either way, but instruction will have to change).
Curious what outlook you see? And how different your view is from the above? How is my alma mater going to fare?
This demographic change is going to hit/is hitting K-12 education first. A lot of schools systems will grapple with shrinking enrollment and closing/consolidating schools.
The ‘enrollment cliff’ is here.
America’s 18-24 population is projected to shrink by roughly 2.5 million over the next decade.
Expect many college closings and program downsizing. In some regions, the shakeout will be brutal.
The ‘enrollment cliff’ is here.
America’s 18-24 population is projected to shrink by roughly 2.5 million over the next decade.
Expect many college closings and program downsizing. In some regions, the shakeout will be brutal.
Becoming a mom at 25 vs. 45: 20 fewer years with your child. And the grandchild years disappear entirely: 31 → 11 → 0.
(Assuming one lives til @ early 80s)
@hsu_steve finished your most recent podcast, and look forward to the movie. I would be even more interested in Chinese version of “Machine God.” From a distance, it seems like Chinese tech sector has a much healthier view of machine intelligence/AI (which is a point that @tylercowen seems to be making) then whatever is going on in Silicon Valley.
At the same time I care much more about “the ape substrate” than you do.
@RizomaSchool Constitutional Amendment setting a max age. We already have minimums, time to add a maximum - getting it through Congress will be a challenge though.