Jay Vera

I’m a creative dude who dabbles in philosophy.

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@dbongino I watched your show the night Trump got elected. I thought you were a good dude. Boy was I wrong

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@chasing_next So true 👏

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@mikadontlouz Good analysis 🧐

[Math Files @Math_files]

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.

So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.

Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?

Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.

For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.

Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.

Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@mikefutia Claude

[Alex Hormozi @AlexHormozi]

If you add “00” to the number of repetitions you think it’ll take to get where you want, you’re on the right track.

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@AlexHormozi God bless you and your family.

[Thomas Sowell Quotes @ThomasSowell]

“The next time some academics tell you how important diversity is, ask how many Republicans there are in their sociology department.”

— Thomas Sowell

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@mattbischel @CrossFit @GreenPlusAnE Me likey

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

Stay Fit. Stay Healthy.

#maha #cherryai #sundayvibes

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@MayorKingAI

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@mfishbein I'd watch!

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@goddek If you worked for the NIH or CDC and had empirical knowledge of how our institutions weaponized consensus, falsified data and corroborated with industry to turn a profit, wouldn’t you want to topple that system. Isn’t Benz doing that in a different context?

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

Why not open up your channel to creators? Inherently, you become the network/ community linchpin and other creators can have time slots on your channel. You can find these creators by running a competition. Develop a team of 3-5 creators that are niche specific and boom you’re casting a wider net where everyone benefits. Not to mention that adsense kickback 👀🔥

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@Chicago1Ray Good shit! 💪

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@mattbischel @CrossFit Easy Shakespeare 🤣

[Eric Weinstein @ericweinstein]

If you want to watch an evil spell break in real life…this is it.

The undermining of dissenting academic colleagues by soulless careerists and institutions is the scourge of the Academy in our time.

I’ve never seen anything even remotely like this in my entire life. Not once.

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

@jgreenhall Bro, that’s soo good. 🥲

[Jay Vera @JayVera]

Make America Healthy Again