๐จ BITCOIN WILL DUMP IN Q1 2026
$BTC shorts have been getting aggressive over the past 48 hours, clearly visible in todayโs orderbook.
๐ Open Interest is rising
๐ Funding rates keep dropping
That means crowded shorts.
Liquidity sits:
๐ผ Upside: ~$91.5k
๐ฝ Downside: ~$84.9k
Even if we donโt fully break out, today is the yearly close (Dec 31), expect a volatility expansion and a liquidation cluster on either side.
What do you think?
Price continues to hold key HTF levels.
In the past, chop around those levels was designed to shake you out - and it does not feel like this time is any different.
Time for a bounce soon? $BTC
#Bitcoin
Just in a very ugly range.
Momentum indicators are flat. Price action is flat.
This meets strong criteria as a "no trade" zone for most people.
Patience.
Does anyone have a thesis where $BTC just starts to eventually move like US Equities as it continues to mature overtime?
The US has been REALLY good at gradually kicking the can down the road with equities and now that they are getting so heavily involved into #Bitcoin does this ever cross your mind about being a possibility down the road at some point?
Obviously needs years to come to fruition and mechanics are immensely different when it comes to Stocks vs Crypto BUT just an idea I am floating out there.
There will clearly be times of downside and various black swan events throughout it all but just something I have been thinking about as Bitcoin matures and starts to get geopolitically heavy these days.
It's been an interesting day on the markets, as Gold has corrected substantially.
Although the talk of the room won't be about an extended correction, the fact that it dropped beneath the previous ATH isn't great.
It's actually marking multiple bearish divergences on timeframes and it took out the sentiment on Silver, Platinum and Palladium in a single daily candle.
This is probably the stage where a lot of people will believe that there's another leg up on the horizon, while the same group will blame #Bitcoin for not going up.
That's the stage where it rotates.
Well, it's quite clear that something is preventing the markets to go up.
Every time #Bitcoin gets north of $88K, it gets hammered and back in the range.
Time to wait, it's been multiple weeks in this range already, which means that a big move remains to be on the horizon.
There we go on $STBL.
The breakout above the 20-Day MA is a good sign for this one.
Why?
Well, it's the first time since the asset has been breaking through this since the listing in September.
There's a lot of liquidity yet to be taken, and I think this will happen in Q1 of 2026, through which my expectancy is that we'll see a likely run to $0.18-0.20 if the markets are turning in that direction.
Overall, hold above the 20-Day MA would be a strong signal for the markets to start turning itself upwards.
To me, $SUI is one of the strongest ecosystems in #Crypto.
The fundamental growth is magnificent, and it keep stacking up, which means that the disconnect between the price and the fundamental valuation are enormous.
TVL is around $1B, more and more apps will be deployed, Walrus is constantly growing within the $SUI ecosystem.
Robinhood has also listed SUI earlier this month + Coinbase users in NY are able to buy the asset.
The moment that the markets are turning back upwards, capital should flow back to the ones that have been performing.
In that sense, $SUI is a strong one.
One of my prime metrics is CNYUSD vs ETHBTC.
The first one, the Chinese Yuan, breaks out north against the Dollar.
That's a great sign.
The expectation is that you can see the ISM to go up and the business cycle to be in better terms because of this.
Now, $ETH vs. $BTC have bottomed in April of '25.
This also happened in 2016 and 2019.
The same can be said about the CNY/USD as this one bottomed out during the exact same week as ETH/BTC did.
Given this breakout, I would expect to see a strong breakout happening in the coming months on #Ethereum.
Another test of the 21-Day MA, another failure.
Let's see whether the markets are going to give a nice little surprise on New Years Day with a breakout of #Bitcoin above the 21-Day MA.
That's been the crucial trigger prior to previous rallies and that will be the crucial one again.
Absolutely wild times for anyone in hte commodities markets.
Platinum rallied to $2,500 and drops more than 20% in three days.
To be fair, this excessive amount of volatility in these markets are usually a sign that it's at the end of it's run, for now.
The same can be seen in the period of 2020. Strong upwards run of the commodities, after which a period of consolidation took place.
That's great, that provides a window for risk-on assets like #Bitcoin and #Ethereum to do well.
Bullish for 2026 on crypto.
Bearish for commodities.
I'll just keep updating the same chart on #Bitcoin.
It's moving to the right, that's the conclusion.
There's no clear direction, and price is literally pingponging between two crucial levels.
Really keen to see how this is going to develop itself from tomorrow on.