After Jacob Coxon's resignation and extinction warnings, a lot of people are asking 'how could AI possibly kill everyone?' and claiming AI safety researchers have no realistic answer.
This is false! Here are the 5 best scenarios I know of:
AI 2027: https://t.co/CaTNvafRI7 (I strongly recommend this one for being realistic, engaging, and if you dig into the appendices, highly detailed)
Paul Christiano's scenario (Former Head of Safety @ AISI, 2019): https://t.co/nkhTQJnjuS
Gwern Branwen's scenario (widely known independent AI researcher, 2022): https://t.co/WMmlDESf7g
Holden Karnofsky's high-level explanation (RSP Lead @ Anthropic, 2022): https://t.co/mAsLNdggQj
Joshua Clymer's scenario (ex-OpenAI, 2025): https://t.co/lJHJp6ErOx
(There's also the Sable story from https://t.co/JbZmSbog25, though you'll have to buy the book to read that one.)
Writing concrete, specific risk scenarios with enormous amounts of detail has been a major research project of many of the most prominent voices in the field! (With the current leaders in effort being https://t.co/YkSOj2urg4 and https://t.co/CaTNvafRI7)
The mariners push me farther towards suicide everyday if their July after the all star break looks like this Iโll make comments I would get in trouble for
@LeftyWinter Glad to see a good win tonight after some serious disappointments. Great showcase in the Kentucky race of money and the MAGA cult at work! Once again pleasantly surprised to have a win tonight :,)
@joerogan Didn't really seem like that, but considering the amount of psychedelics you take, I'll take your word for it. Just don't get a genocidal dumbass elected next time, gotcha?