We nailed the August move.
So let's talk about where I think this goes next.
We close August strong and carry it into early September.
Then September gets choppy. Then October gets ugly.
Here's why I have it in that order. 🧵
Unitree is 8,000x oversubscribed and about to open at $15–30B on ~$250M of revenue.
Everyone's looking for the US-listed comp. Other than $CCXI ... most obvious candidate: $MBLY, which just paid $900M for MenteeBot -> vertically integrated humanoid, NVDA Thor brain, V4 production model Q1'27.
Quick maths says it's cheap. $7.6B cap, $1.4B cash, ~$400M adj op income, 0.9x book. Value the ADAS core at 12x + cash and the market is paying roughly nothing for the robot.
So why isn't it exploding?
Because the market has done the same maths and doesn't care.
Mentee is worth ~$1B -> what they paid. That's 13% of the cap. On a stock that just guided Q3 revenue down 5–6%, took a $3.8B goodwill writedown, and announced the founder-CEO is stepping down.
BUT...
MBLY is one of the most heavily shorted names in the space. Short float has sat in the high-teens to 20s for years, 5–8 days to cover on a stock that trades ~5M shares/day. Everyone's short the ADAS-margin-compression story. Nobody's positioned for it to get tagged "humanoid."
If Unitree prints a $25B open and the humanoid basket rips this week, MBLY doesn't need retail to believe the SOTP. It just needs one screen-scrape that says "Mobileye owns a humanoid company" to hit the sympathy list. Shorts covering into a $7B float with a 2028 story attached could be a 20–30% chase... and 10c are trading at .05... nice find Jesse.
$WGMI with a facelift. 11 holdings, two scores each, every claim graded A–D against filings — and the full weighting model published so you can check the math. https://t.co/YfhHZOR2dG
Q3 domestic box office has never before reached $2B this early. Add to that considerably improved profit margins, and the global scale of $AMC, the world’s largest movie theater chain, and you’ll understand that #AMC is heading towards a pretty bright future.
#AMCNEVERLEAVING
Over 90 minutes since the delay and this is the only Guardians tweet about the game.
Wait. This is the only tweet from the Guardians today.
Are we playing or what?