@CryptoChaseCase@Moneytaur_ Binance spot chart is a little bit misleading because that first candle is not the full weekly candle, you can check the weekly on mexc and see there is not a OB there (or currently a breaker)
Moneytaur timestamped the macro top range years ago, right after the 2021–22 bear market bottom.
A long while before the macro top hit, that projected range was tightened into a possibility of seeing the 120s. Reasons were given. Then came the pico-top and i was exiting longs and taking shorts. Sold a lot of ETH and alts before the wreckage.
Shorted BTC in the 120s, rode into the 80s. Public. Timestamped, closed, and then prepared to buy back on spot once the levels i shared and updated several times hit. Time will tell if i took another good decision or if i'll pay gains back if i didn't time it as accurately this time around.
As conditions evolved, expectations were adjusted in real time, shared openly, well before price confirmed them. No edits. No hindsight. No disappearing acts.
More recently, Moneytaur clearly stated spot re-accumulation. Again public, simple, verifiable.
If i've been quieter lately, it's for two reasons:
1] I don't farm engagement. My forecasts are already on the table, and the latest macro one avoided major losses to who decided to sell and short alongside me, against the euphoric CX herd.
2] I'm traveling, living, and enjoying the proceeds of good decisions, often funded by the same people who hate out of jealousy, so thank you for your service.
For some, the hardest truth isn't price, but comparison. Knowing that thousands voluntarily gather here as a community, while they stand alone, unheard, called out, earning in a year what i make in a week, if that.
What's left are desperate attempts to cherry-pick non-optimal sub-scenarios, pretending they invalidate forecasts whose time windows are still active. That level of tunnel vision only exposes panic, frustration, depression.
Most of the haters are gone, dead. Mental collapse is one of the most common outcomes of getting completely wrecked in this game.
The hidden meaning of accumulation in Cryptoland
Whales accumulate time, belief, and reload capacity. They wait months while crypto bros rebuild savings, convince themselves "this time is different" and slowly regain confidence after being wiped.
When whales are in no rush, they let boredom do the work. When they are in a rush, they don't take from the market directly. They distribute first. Wealth appears under friendly banners: support, grants, rewards, incentives.
It feels generous, empowering, and it also quietly buys loyalty from the foolish. But it's not charity. It's logistics.
That money isn't meant to stay in those hands. It's meant to be cycled. Given time, emotion, leverage, and poor timing, it finds its way back legally, patiently, and multiplied from project treasuries to whale wallets, through the people.
Most never realize they were part of the transfer. They just remember that they "almost made it" and that's the game behind the game.
Nothing happens. Price goes nowhere and boredom sets in. Then, right on bearish headlines, war mongering, recession talk and "crypto is dead" narratives, they print God candles. Late chasers rush in. Fear of missing out replaces risk management, and the market does what it always does: it transfers money from who can't time it right to who can time it right.
I am writing regarding my KuCoin account which has been restricted without any clear timeline for resolution. I have raised a ticket ( 10423109).When I logged in on 3 January 2026, I discovered that I was unable to trade or withdraw any funds from my spot wallet, where a five‑figure sum is currently blocked. It is possible that the restriction was applied even before that date, but I only became aware of it then. After contacting KuCoin, I was informed that my account had been restricted due to a regulatory request and that I needed to complete an Enhanced Due Diligence (EDD) form. I filled out the EDD form and submitted all requested documents within two days. Since then, despite my cooperation, my account has remained frozen for weeks, and I still cannot access or withdraw my own funds. The only information I receive from KuCoin support is that they are “still dealing with the regulatory authorities” and are waiting for their response. I have not been given any estimated timeline, clear explanation, or guidance on what to expect, which is causing serious uncertainty and difficulty for me, especially as I urgently need these funds for personal use. I request that KuCoin immediately allows the full withdrawal of all funds in my spot wallet or, if that is not possible, provides a clear and detailed written explanation of the situation and a concrete timeline for when I will be able to access my money again. I have acted in good faith, complied promptly with all documentation requests, and I expect KuCoin to resolve this matter fairly and without further delay.
@kucoincom@KuCoinUpdates@kucoin_uk@KuCoinFutures@KuCoinMod
You’re not blind.
You’re not in a wheelchair.
You’re not battling terminal illness.
You’re not dodging bullets or begging for your next meal.
You have 24/7 internet, a gateway to infinite knowledge, connection, and opportunity.
You sleep under a roof, on a mattress, wrapped in clean sheets, every single night.
You drink clean water without a second thought.
You eat warm, flavorful meals daily, often prepared by someone who loves you.
You’re not waking up to war sirens.
You’re not scavenging through trash for scraps.
You’re not watching your child starve.
You’re not walking 10 miles just to access basic education or healthcare.
You’ve got time.
You’ve got tools.
You’ve got a chance, and that’s more than most will ever get.
- MARKET STRUCTURE -
- Basics
@Moneytaur_ does not reference market structure often, not because its not important, but because these basics should be learned elsewhere. For this writeup, here’s a brief refresher before moving to some MT-specific concepts.
-------
- Trends
Trends are always relative to the timeframe.
Higher timeframe trends dominate lower ones.
Bullish Trend
Consists of a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Trend
Consists of a series of lower highs and lower lows.
📝A sideways trend is made up of smaller trends confined to a range.
-------
- Structure
Market structure is the foundation on which all key concepts in MT’s trading style are built. Liquidity, imbalances, and supply and demand are all rooted in structure.
Price action is the process that builds this foundation. PA follows liquidity, and this constant search for liquidity shapes structures.
Imbalances between buyers and sellers create directional moves (FVGs), while balance creates fair value zones (Ranges).
Balance → Imbalance → Balance → Imbalance
“If there’s no significant imbalances, there will be OBs and Supply/Demand fresh levels. If there’s no OBs and Supply/Demand fresh levels, there will be significant imbalances.
If there’s none at all it will ⚡️ into a ‘fresh’ level and build a new trading range.
Few…” https://t.co/UOSYiuqJrm
The higher the timeframe, the more robust the structure and the more reliable the signal. HTF > LTF.
Structure defines supply and demand, premium & discount, and creates liquidity zones. It also defines ranges. When price action moves beyond these range boundaries, there are four main possible outcomes:
• Break out/down: price breaks through the range and keeps moving.
• Rejection: price fails to break the range.
• Break out/down plus retest: price closes relevant candle bodies past the range and continues after retracing back into key liquidity.
• Fake-out: price breaks out/down, and then reverses.
Outcomes 3 and 4 differ clearly.
Fake-outs are usually sharp and aggressive, often leaving large wicks from stop hunts or liquidity grabs.
Retests tend to be slower and more deliberate, usually following higher timeframe candle closes past the prior range boundaries.
“Look for HTF body close above previous most significant swing highs. If not, it’s likely a false breakout. If it does, the highest probability play is waiting for a pullback into key level before continuation into the next HTF liquidity level, and if there’s none to take it will likely go to new ATH.”
https://t.co/0DG6h2dw79
- Internal vs. External Structure
External Structure
• The overall trend visible on a higher timeframe (relative to a lower timeframe).
• A weekly chart is made up of seven daily candles; compared to the daily, the weekly is external structure.
Internal Structure
• The smaller movements within the higher timeframe, seen on lower timeframes.
• Shows smaller trends inside the larger move.
Internal structure can shift short-term without changing the external trend. Always let the external (HTF) structure guide your HTF bias; internal structure offers early clues.
Example: (📈 in comments)
This 2W chart is external structure and clearly in an uptrend.
On this daily chart of the grey box, we are in a downtrend. This is internal structure.
The examples highlight the importance of always seeing structures in relation to each other.
M > W > D > H > M > S
Internal structure shifts can be the early clue that external structure may change. Let the higher timeframes define the macro structure and watch for early signs on lower timeframes.
-------
- Market Phases
The Four Market Phases
Accumulation
• Typically follows a downtrend but can appear anywhere market makers prepare for markup.
• The range lets market makers accumulate while pushing news to fit the narrative.
Buy Program (Bull Market/Markup)
• Follows accumulation or re-accumulation.
• The asset appreciates in value.
Distribution
• Typically follows an uptrend but can appear anywhere market makers prepare for markdown.
• The range lets market makers offload while pushing news to fit the narrative.
Sell Program (Bear Market/Markdown)
• Follows distribution or re-distribution, depending on context.
• The asset depreciates in value.
(📈 in comments)
- The Psychology of the Phases
Accumulation
Emotion: Skepticism, disbelief, apathy
Psychology: Most traders are fearful or disinterested. Market makers are quietly buying.
Behaviour: Retail avoids the market; volume is low; sentiment is bearish or indifferent.
Media manipulation: The most bearish news marks the bottom. “Markets are dead.”
Bull Market (Markup/Buy Program)
Emotion: Optimism, excitement, euphoria
Psychology: Confidence builds as prices rise. Retail starts buying in; FOMO.
Behaviour: Volume increases; media turns positive; public participation grows.
Media manipulation: Coverage increases and sentiment turns bullish in line with price.
🔺Intensifies with trend
Distribution
Emotion: Greed, overconfidence, denial
Psychology: Retail believes the trend will continue; smart money is offloading.
Behaviour: Volatility increases; price chops; bullish sentiment remains high.
Media manipulation: News remains bullish; influencers push FOMO narratives.
Bear Market (Markdown/Sell Program)
Emotion: Anxiety, fear, panic, capitulation, despair
Psychology: Retail sells in panic. Smart money prepares to accumulate again.
Behaviour: Heavy selling; negative news cycle; retail sells at loss.
Media manipulation: After the initial selloff, fear-driven headlines dominate.
🔺Intensifies with trend
🔺Understand that the system runs on predictable human behaviour. Stay hyper-aware of your own emotions and learn to flip them into signals instead of traps.
“When you feel you will make a lot of money by holding, it is close to the top. When you feel you will lose all your money by holding, it is close to the bottom.
Your own fear and greed emotions are two of the most powerful indicators you will ever find.” https://t.co/oHAxhgJtCy
-------
- Market Structure Shifts
Changes in structure are vital for gauging the probabilities of the next move. Understanding these shifts and the patterns that reveal them is essential for becoming consistently profitable.
BOS – Break of Structure
A BOS occurs when price closes relevant candle bodies past a significant high or low. It confirms a change in structure.
CHoCH – Change of Character
A CHoCH happens when price breaks structure in the opposite direction of the current trend. It’s the first signal of a possible trend reversal.
BOMS – Break of Market Structure
A BOMS is a clear break of market structure, usually on higher timeframes and significant levels. It confirms a shift in intent when validated and often shows higher volume and leaves FVGs behind.
- Trend Changes
Using trends, BOS, CHoCH, and BOMS helps identify key structural shifts in the market. Knowing when the market transitions from a buy to a sell program is crucial for being profitable.
“Buy program: Bullish BBs work wonders.
Buy program: Bearish BBs can often fail, unless optimal.
Sell program: Bearish BBs work wonders.
Sell program: Bullish BBs can often fail, unless optimal.” https://t.co/CWKVFBwZSe
Putting all learned concepts together helps us spot potential tops forming. Using the ideas above gives us further confirmation.
(📈 in comments)
-------
- MT’s 1,2,3 System (Squiggles)
For MT, structural shifts are an essential part of his setups. The system has three parts:
• A valid break of a key level (BOS)
• A retrace into liquidity
• Entry at the refined level to ride the reversal
This approach ensures we get the optimal entry after fuel is taken, letting us ride the trade longer with clearer invalidation and better RR.
“There’s no MTF or HTF candles closing above key PSH, so you don’t long here. For the highest probability long it’s the squiggle on the chart, with MTF (at least) close above key PSH plus pullback (the entry) before bullish continuation.” https://t.co/DwsTmv5NUI
“All “squiggles” mean the strategy is to wait for close above or below HTF key levels as stage 1 of 3, pullback or retracement into key levels if you can find them, and most of the time you can because bots always leave such levels with fuel behind, to come back later and reverse price again as stage 2 of 3 and this is your entry, and then continuation into the direction of the first move, stage 3. This is how these liquidity games work.”
https://t.co/20IM2XZU8d
Breakout trading is popular, but charts like the one below, and the effectiveness of squiggles, show its weakness clearly.
“You can always choose to long the breakout, but this isn’t going for high probability as it’s what all retail traders do, and the game’s designed to stop or liquidate them all, collecting fuel, and then proceed in the direction retail traders expected, which will then make them start revenge trading as they were ‘right but wrong’.”
-------
- Using Liquidity as a Guide
Market makers leave footprints that help us assign probabilities to the next move. Liquidity is key. When key levels are left behind and price action approaches a level without taking the liquidity first, chances are high, it will revisit to grab that fuel before continuing.
“A helpful hint to determine if a breakout will reverse into a key level before trend continuation is to check if there’s a key level left behind in the previous range that price is attempting to break out from. If the key level is present, especially on HTF and you can refine it into lower timeframes, the probability of a pullback into that level before continuation becomes significant, as price tends to gravitate toward such levels. Additionally, if there’s a key level above the swing high that can be taken, it could act as fuel for a drop into the lower level, setting up for a subsequent pump.” https://t.co/dLb32EUytJ
Alternatively, when no such levels exist, the probability is higher that the breakout/down is real and price action will continue in the direction.
“If you cannot find such, the probability for breakout into price discovery, without looking back for a while, is higher.” https://t.co/uxu7gczPIQ
-------
- Confirming a BOS
In general, higher timeframe structures need higher timeframe confirmations. Use timeframes relevant to the trade. For higher timeframe levels MT often looks for closures 12h or higher. Further HTF closures add confluence and reinforce the likelihood the break is real.
Always watch for body closes above or below the swing high or swing low.
(📈 in comments)
Without a confirmed BOS, we risk falling for fake moves. A confirmed BOS marks clearer intent. Wait for the signal, place orders where the fuel sits, and ride the continuation.
🔺Lately, more HTF closes have resulted in reversals. Market makers are aware that retail is looking at daily closes.
“Don’t fall for false moves. Learn to identify confirmed BOS on HTF and you will level up instantly.”
(📈 in comments)
There’s no single timeframe that automatically invalidates every setup. The last five minutes of a HTF candle can close below a level without any real prior price action in that area. Zoom in on lower timeframes and check what’s happening. Look for signs of strength or weakness to support your decision. Stay flexible and weigh all factors.
Things to consider:
• How optimal is the level?
• Where is the level located?
• Is the asset high volume?
• What are majors doing?
• How does price behave around the level?
• Are newly formed LTF structures being respected?
• Is there spoofing?
• What is order flow showing?
MT has posts calling for 12H+ closes to confirm or reject a level; others rely on 2H. This is closer to an art than a rule, an edge that only comes through screen time and real experience.
“Take notes on this PA, because it will change your game. You can go through timeframes up until 2H and you will notice there’s no candle bodies closing below the level where the 2D BB is at. The hint is there. From here I’ll wait for key SH or SL to be taken and find an entry on pullback or retracement. 0 candle bodies closed below 2D BB. Body, not whisker. At least a 2H full body, specifically for SOL as it’s a high TV coin.” https://t.co/NWU3jY4LnM
-------
- Timeframes
Moneytaur has his own definitions of timeframes. You can either adopt his schematics or come up with definitions that are a better fit for you.
“micro TF: 5min and lower
LTF: 15min > 2H
MTF: 2H > 12H
HTF: 12H > M+” https://t.co/ddmUmlaFK9
HTF (12h+)
• Hold the most liquidity and are the most reliable.
• The higher the TF, the clearer the signal of the predominant trend.
• 1W+ are macro timeframes.
• HTF plays = up to 3% of trading account, max 5% if optimal.
MTF (2h–12h)
• First reliable validations of BOS, CHoCH, BOMS.
• Key for refining levels.
• MTF plays = up to 2% of trading account.
LTF (5m–2h)
• Super-refined entries, exits, and stops.
• First possible signs of BOS, CHoCH, BOMS.
• Less reliable as they hold less liquidity.
• LTF plays = up to 1% of trading account.
mTF (<5m)
• Ultra-refined entries, exits, and stops.
• Entries or exits based on micro structure reactions to key levels.
“In micro timeframes, you can better see when a price reversal is likely, since the ⚡️ at key levels is a powerful sign of that. If you spend time in those timeframes when the price is reaching key levels where you expect a reaction, you’ll start to notice a pattern and better understand whether a reversal can actually occur or if the reaction is too weak. As for the ‘ping-pong’ at key levels, it’s the same, but weaker than in lower timeframes and harder to read, since you don’t see proper candle bodies, so you just have to get used to it.”
📝Note on Timeframes and TradingView
• TradingView anchors all intraday timeframes to the daily close.
• Timeframes that do not evenly divide into 24h will produce one partial candle at the end of each daily session.
• This shorter candle is always the last candle before the session reset at 00:00 UTC.
• So a 23h candle is 1 x 23h + 1 x 1h candle. When trading a 23h level, the chance is high that you are in reality taking a trade based off a 1h hOB.
@IamZeroIka Based on
"1) In an accumulation stage, when the price spikes upward, volume should spike as well."
Would you call this an accumulation and the downside move a manipulation, because the volume behavior looks like an accumulation that got a downside move and now back in the range.
The Reality of Trading
it won't be easy
I show a lot of winning trades. Most of them are shared in the Discord or public before they happen. It works nicely and it's fun.
People can participate in those trades and make money.
But there's a part of the game people don't share - it's still Social Media...
The losses.
The moments when you get beaten up hard.
Instead of flexing profitable trades I want to do the opposite here - I show you my heaviest Monday.
28.07.2025... It wasn't easy. I would lie if I say it was. I know it's part of the game - but can you stomach that?
Can you stay confident and keep executing your Setup instead of tilting or freezing? Can you overcome the doubt? Do you really accept the risk?
I can and I did. I kept executing and just took the next loss. I had to - I can't choose if I take a trade or not - if a Setup appears I must execute.
Why am I sharing this?
I think many people here live or believe in an illusion. The illusion of marking out a level and earning cash. They can't see the difference between real traders and people who comment what happens in the market.
If you really want to trade - you will 100% run into (Mon)days like that. In Hindsight I can say one loss was unnecessary - the others not. So I can't avoid that and thats fine for me. Of course it hurts. But - it's about how hard you can get hit.
People sound smart when they say - 40% win rate is enough. But can you stomach 6 or more losses in a row? If not - it won't be your business.
Or keep your losses small. How can you keep your losses small if your invalidation is a Stop Loss? You cut early based on what? Why did you put a Stop Loss? Sometimes it reasonable maybe... but in hindsight everybody has an opinion.
One sentence I really love is - you can't go broke when taking Profits... Ok please learn math again.
Don't believe in the Illusion you learn the best TA possible and don't lose. Don't believe in everybody who states he knows something. A lot on Twitter is just show. Nothing else. How do I know? I share real trading - recorded on video and it gets less recognized like a post where I write the Word Fomo and post a trade without PnL or proof I even took it. Wild.
There is one person here that obviously knows a lot - and to reach his level you go through hell.
How many people here really trade?
I don't know - and tbh I don't care. But who really wants to become a trader - be ready for pain. Learn to love it.
I hope this post can help if you struggle. Cut the noise means to cut out everybody's opinion who doesn't really trade.
You on a loss streak? Good. It's a test. How strong are you? Can you adapt? Can you improve? Or will you simply give up?
It's not for everybody. The statistic doesn't lie. Yeah he gifted the best edge that exists. But you will need much more than that.
@i_am_jackis@CrypticTrades_ "Most missed them because very little knew about them ahead"
The same few people are building the narratives around them and extracting from the latecomers. Then almost nobody was holding btc and all these people sitting in shitcoins were desperately waiting for altszn (me too).
@i_am_jackis@CrypticTrades_ Even one of your mentions (floki) did almost 50x. With the amount of coins now compared to 2021 you can't expect everything to pump to new ath. I don't say it's not possible but it's less likely to happen. Trends results are showing what people are anticipating if not manipulated
@i_am_jackis@CrypticTrades_ Most of the alts from the 2021 bull run won't make a new ath and you know it. There were new shiny coins in Q4 2023 that took the spotlight and topped at march 2024. Some of the last cycle altcoins also pulled big gains. Sol did almost 30x from the bear market lows. XRP 10x+.
📖
You are priority #1.
Not your friends.
Not your husband/wife.
Not your children.
You.
If you aren’t well, you cannot help anyone. A sinking ship can save nobody. Your health and self-belief are the 🗝️ for your success in life. If you’re unhealthy, your illness will have ripple effect throughout your life and the lives of others. So, focus on your health. Physical, emotional, and spiritual.
🔹 Your growth
Much like sharks, if you stay still in the water, you won't survive. You need to keep moving. A tree that isn’t growing is slowly dying, and the same is true for you. If your life feels stressful, meaningless, or like you’re wasting it away, it's likely because you're not experiencing growth.
When was the last time you truly evolved?
When did you last experience a significant mental breakthrough?
When did you last feel that each day was bringing improvement to your life?
Are you wealthier today compared to five years ago?
Looking ahead five years, what potential do you see for yourself if you continue on your current path?
⚠️ Never measure success with how much $ you are making in cryptos. This isn't wealth, but riches. Wealth is knowledge and several income streams + a powerful network.
There’s a direct correlation between success, happiness and fulfillment, to the amount of time and energy you devote toward growth. This is by far the biggest take-away that I took from all successful people i learned from: Invest money into yourself. Level up.
And how do you do that?
- You find tools and resources that focus your efforts and provide you with new insights. As a result, this allows you to make better decisions that compound overtime. I know you want to become rich in 2024, or no later than 2025, from shitcoins, but a powerful Empire isn't built like that. I’ve invested several thousands of dollars per year on personal education from people ahead of me, mentorships, books and businesses, events, just to learn the small nuggets of gold needed to evolve further.
🔹 Your business and income
Money is the fuel of life. Everything is getting more expensive every day. People might act like money isn’t important, but you can’t feed your family with Sacramento quotes. A car without fuel, can only go one way, downhill. Neglect your business or put it in the hands of those who don’t see your vision, and it’s just a matter of time before it turns into chaos.
People get rich because they make it their business to become wealthy in life. Everything you want out of life, all the comfort your family needs is within reach. We both know you’re smart enough and driven enough to make it happen. You just need to put the bull-sh*t aside and do the work you’ve postponed for so long.
🔹 Your freedom to move
Your freedom is in direct proportion to the number of hooks and chains you have in you. If you decided to pack things up and move to the other side of the world tomorrow, could you do it?
Allow your mind to wander for a second and think how that would be like. Well, then reality starts to creep doesn’t it?
Your job, your mortgage or rent, your responsibilities you have right here…
All of a sudden you realize that you’re not free. You’re a prisoner in a cage of your own design, and many of these cages kill what’s left of who you are. All of a sudden, you’re no longer you. Instead, what you do becomes your identity.
Be honest and ask yourself:
"How free do i really feel?"
If you don’t like your answer, do something about it. Prioritize freedom and it’ll open up side-quests that make the journey extraordinary.
🔹 Adventure
A life not lived is a life the universe wasted on you. Don’t come with the “I can’t do that” bull-sh*t…
Are you reading this in a prison cell?
- No. So, live. Leave the world behind sometimes. You will make the money back. You will get another job. You will get over your ex, but you’ll never have a 2nd chance at living life. THIS IS IT.
@CryptoLessons@TraderDune Usually it's the other way.
majority of xxx community are "investors" and holding from bull market top until the end of bear market.
@Sunny066@IamZeroIka@SonicKingHODL You can check the reaction from the previous monthly OBs and maybe you will understand why it's a strong level. 40%+ moves to the downside, and 100%+ moves to the upside.