We grade every pick against the close, not the result.
If the closing line already knows everything, the only question is whether you got a better number than it.
Every card shows our price, Pinnacle’s close and the fair chance. Check us.
@MakeBettingPay Works the other way too. Our public picks are running about 22u ahead of what CLV says theyre worth. thats luck just as much as a cold streak is, so we judge both by the close
@lionstrikeodds The speed one is the one almost nobody shows. We check every pick after posting and about 40% arent at the posted price anymore 15 min later. t
Thats the number id want to see from any alert service
@AuspexSports 43 bets is way too few to cut on ROI. Id check CLV on that bucket. our nhl puck lines were -10u on 18 picks while beating the close 72% of the time. if those are still beating the close its variance
@GiveMeCloutBets Two sundays is like 20 games tho. We had 80% of picks beat the close last week and still went 18-23. Results that small dont say much either way
@polytutor@WalrusQuant tried both, paper only. limit orders mostly filled when my price was stale, ended up around -2.7% vs the close. taking was no better after fees. paused it for now
@jpenning0 Yeah man - and it's free, link's in the bio. I kept it simple on purpose, the bot posts picks and results in their own read only channels and there's one chat channel. no noise
Sunday results 🧾 4-3, +4.05u
6 of 7 beat Pinnacle's close, avg CLV +2.2%.
All 4 of yesterday's moved lines beat the close. Bulls +10.5 won, Dolphins, Jets, Eagles lost.
Since launch: 143-114-3, +34.24u · CLV +1.62% on 251, 66% beat the close
#NFL#PlusEV
Week of Nov 2-8 🧾 80% beat the closing line, avg CLV +2.9%
Record 18-23, -0.99u. The results didn't follow the number this week. Since launch they've run 24.6u ahead of it. That's variance both ways.
All time: 143-114-3, +34.24u · 66% beat the close
#PlusEV#CLV
@EVergreenBets Lived this one yesterday. Cincy +400 beat Pinnacle's close by almost 12% and still lost lol. Longshots swing hard even when the number's right
@jpenning0 You're right. Bot posts the alert to Discord the moment it finds one and logs how long each price lasts. A lot of them are gone in 10-30 min, so timing is the hard part for anyone tailing.
Friday results 🧾 5-1, +6.53u
✅ Spurs -14.5 -110 · CLV +17.9%
✅ Raptors -238 · CLV -16.2%, a lucky win
Yesterday's 4 line-move picks: 2 beat the close, 2 didn't. A moved line isn't proof. The close is.
Since launch: 134-103-3, +35.55u · CLV +1.52% on 232
This is facts.
It’s becoming a race to build a cool feature and shortly after everyone else has it to.
Going to be interesting to see who can build a feature / whole tool that is unique as well as actually helpful for bettors, which some of these newer features tools are pumping left and right aren’t.