Kevin Frisz

Chief investment officer, Gramercy Private. Ex-GS. Ex-HF.
Not investment advice. DM with questions.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@conorsen Oil inventories and SPR release saved us.

The market assumes Hormuz will get fixed before they run out.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@TheStalwart

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

Interest rates keep drifting higher. Fed funds futures are now pricing a larger chance of a rate increase than a rate cut for this year.

[Rory Johnston @Rory_Johnston]

Great map from Patrick, and a good quick summary of why—if the Hormuz crisis continues—the Trump admin is going to get more and more tempted to start meddling with petroleum product trade.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@mdubowitz What do you mean by "untouched"? Havent we bombed it? Or do you mean, untouched by American troops?

[Simone Eli @SimoneEli_TV]

Special moment for Carson Benge in his first MLB start on Opening Day! The Mets young star drills a homer and Tyrone Taylor makes sure he remembers to give the crowd a curtain call… so cool. #LGM

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@TheStalwart Same as in 2022. 60/40 portfolio gets hit on both ends.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

Feel good moment

[Stu Smith @thestustustudio]

Seeing NYPD Chief Aaron Edwards receive a standing ovation tonight at Madison Square Garden truly put a smile on my face today!

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

3 tankers thru Hormuz yesterday. 2 to India and 1 to Yemen.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@jbulltard1 Seems like most of these videos are Houston, Atlanta, or NYC.

[Brian Sozzi @BrianSozzi]

Goldman Sachs: only 2 oil tankers have passed daily on average over the last several days through the Strait of Hormuz

[Brian Sozzi @BrianSozzi]

Goldman Sachs: brace for a worldwide inflation surge

[Rory Johnston @Rory_Johnston]

📊 NEW OIL DATA 📊

The Iran War and stoppage of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has cratered Middle Eastern supply and flipped the oil market into an all-time record deficit through end-March from Jan-Feb surpluses

Some Hormuz balance estimates on top of our normal monthly fundamentals reporting.

Check out the link to the full report in reply.

[Peter Mallouk @PeterMallouk]

“About once every two years the market falls 10%. Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline. That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes. If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.” – Peter Lynch

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@Pembrokestcap @robin_j_brooks In april 2020, demand fell by 30%. So, assuming hormuz net lost 10m(ish) barrels, then we need demand destruction equivalent to around 1/3 of the COVID shutdown.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@AndrewBrandt The issue is about blaming your staff (and "joking" about their jobs) when you are down. Bad taste. Bad leader. ... Some people think that's okay. Well, okay.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@KYRRadio "I smell fear"

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@robin_j_brooks Great chart. Lots of big "unknowns" in there. Price elasticity is probably the biggest one.

[Kevin Frisz @KevinFrisz]

@TheStalwart Amazing. Just a few weeks ago, WIRP showed 2.5 cuts this year alone.