Robotics is next.
Both deal count and investment amounts are skyrocketing per pitchbook March data (source: a16z)
Good thing is: the same AI DC exposure often has cross-exposure to humanoid ramp.
Like DRAM/NAND with memory (on humanoid inference/storage) or DFB lasers with photonics (FMCW LiDAR vision/sensing).
Right now most exposure is upstream component parts… or programs within large players like $AMZN or $TSLA.
So global IPO season H2 into 2027 for pure play humanoids/robotics companies is going to be fun.
@jimmyinvest@stock_analysisx look at this chart idea on weekly chart! $NOW
I think will come for retest to $89 before it goes up. I am seeing $140 EOY easily.
If you are feeling bad or mad because of $AAOI stock price then please read their latest earnings call again.
Few things that really stood out to me
They are not saying demand is weak, they are saying they cant produce enough. They literally said demand is higher than their production capacity till mid 2027.
They increased 2026 guidance to over $1.1B revenue and over $140M operating income.
800G is already shipping and they expect a much bigger ramp in Q3 and Q4 once new capacity comes online.
1.6T is just getting started and management thinks 2027 will be the real ramp.
CATV is still doing really well. They now expect over $325M annually from CATV which gives them another strong revenue stream
Now the part i think most people are missing...
AAOI isnt just making transceivers.
They have been making their own indium phosphide lasers for years.
Management said they are already working with around 3 large customers on 3 year long term agreements for lasers and ELSFP (External Laser Source For CPO).
They also said the industry is already seeing a shortage of indium phosphide laser manufacturing capacity.
Because of that they are:
Expanding laser fabrication capacity by around 350% by 2027
Targeting production of around 400,000 ELSFP modules per month by 2027
Expanding from 4-inch to 6-inch wafer production
Adding more MOCVD, e-beam and other laser equipment
But after reading the whole transcript i feel much better about the business than i did looking at the stock chart.
2027 will be huge for $AAOI.
$NVDA $AVGO $LITE