Konrad Griebel

21 | 5 Years Experience | Trading is my dream and passion | Short Term Swing Trader | Breakout Trading | Mark Minervini/CANSLIM Style | Attendee 2025 MTP

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

To be more exact on Asymmetrical leverage;
I enter a position with 5% of capital, with an SL of 2.5%. (0.125% Cap Risk)
The position advances 5%, clearing the local consolidations high placing me at +5%, and providing an entry with an invalidation point at +2.5%.
To Fully de-risk the SL of the original position is placed at BE.
To apply Asymmetrical leverage, you can enter a position at that point, Placing your new positions SL at -2.5%, and your old positions SL at +2.5%.
This isn't just about reducing risk, or creating a risk free trade. This is a whole other aspect of position management that allows you to reduce your risk profile whilst still allowing you to work towards your mathematical optimal sizing for profit factor.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

I’ve made around 9% in under a month in equities never risking more then 1.9% total equity. Lately I’m focusing on utilizing asymmetrical leverage to have optimal position sizing through buying on top of risk free entries. Graphs to explain. Kelly and Optimal F Formulas.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@PradeepBonde What’s the difference between this and a pattern such as Post Earnings Drift

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

Organized my digital stock notes on Obsidian.
I love this app.
@obsdmd

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@MarkRitchie_II @95Marnick What a gold mine of a tweet

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@Deepvue This makes me want to scan on deepvue to chartmog these people into oblivion

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

$STRL Huge gap up. I played this into earnings with half size, a 13% profit cushion, and my SL was 4%. This provided enough protection against negative earnings volatility to bet on the earnings. Why bet on the earnings?
It’s a simple thought process:
1. I had enough profit cushion to not have a larger then expected loss
2. A VCP + a Strong breakout prior to earnings and strong price action into earnings shows a supply/demand imbalance that can reveal institutions and insider traders who KNOW the earnings will be good.
Explanation behind thesis: Stan Weinstein goes over this in his book, confirming my suspicions. TLDR the VCP is a supply/demand imbalance pattern, when supply/demand imbalance occurs prior and into earnings (Rare) this shows that people are voting on the stock in mass, prior to a large unknown event. This is generally quite rare, although in the VCP world does occur a handful of times yearly.

Thanks for reading if you made it this far

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

I can't remember one single day in the past 40 years that I didn't move at least a tiny bit closer in the direction of my dream.
What did you do today to get you closer to your dream?

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@MarkRitchie_II Something comforting about seeing this in the journal of someone who I admire for their discipline and consistency. I have almost the same thing on my whiteboard behind me 😂

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

The absolute rapidity of the general market advance makes it probable that a short term market pullback should occur, just due to basic mean reversion and the way markets "Ebb and Flow". Within this potential pullback will be the best environment to enter into clean setups that are acting resilient with high RS. The pullback environment acting as a filter, really allowing you to see the best setups or the best groups setting up.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@PatrickWalker56 @marketsurge I’m not happy with the new one. The charts load slower by 50-100%. As someone who routinely looks through over 1000 charts daily, this increases the time my routine takes by 15-30 minutes.
You’d think a new software would be faster! Not slower!!

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@PatrickWalker56 @marketsurge Pat! You can adjust this setting and add group rank to sort by! Hope this helps!

[Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎 @TheOneLanceB]

TJR is a racist fraud scamming people on a fake dream. Yes, any real trader knows that, but here’s the sad truth:

If you talk to high school kids, college students, uber drivers, and more… they follow TJR not knowing any better. He causes true financial harm to a young, vulnerable population. And despite that, companies still choose to partner with him bc greed and influencer reach outweigh ethics.

Most of TJR’s followers will learn the hard way, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t speak out when people are being wronged.

Great video, particularly the points regarding the off-shore CFD broker scams. That is exactly how @tradesbysci pulls off his fraud w “Liquid Brokers”, an off-shore unregulated shell co that he uses to send his sheep followers to the slaughterhouse.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

Look me in my face and tell me aluminum doesn't look like the best commodity setup!
Basically the only thing I'm watching for a play in this environment.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@CFlanders7 I have a quote that I feel perfectly encapsulates the proper objective
"Make as much money as possible, but only by executing the best trades at the optimal time, never by taking impulsive actions that deviated from my trading regime" - Mark Minervini prior to his first USIC win

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

I think there is fair potential for a “commodity play” around Aluminum currently. $AA looks clean. Commodities are interesting and this setup looks cleanest as well as most resilient.
Some retail names are clean, some telecom names, some energy.
Looking for friendly environment before engaging though, So I plan to be lagging on the market transition if it does occur.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@CFlanders7 Aluminum !

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@martinlukkt $SNDK has seemingly begun transitioning to a power play type consolidation, showing extremely surprising relative strength against the wider market pullback. Caused me to get stopped out a number of times as well.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

@Clement_Ang17 Once the CEO became resentful and hateful towards short sellers, I had a bad feeling about the company.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

$VISN Seemingly the best current opportunity for an AI-Theme play. Huge company fundamental shift lately that places it in a better position then ever, whilst making a very clean VCP, indicating that there is apparent positive accumulation taking place after the news. As all the greats say, your opinion of the news does not matter! What matter is how the market reacts to it! In my green annotated bubbles I have all the relevant news.

[Konrad Griebel @KonradTrading]

The data makes what you need to improve very apparent, which is why it is so important to track and analyze.
To put simply my error has been failure to improve my baseline/ worst case scenario every time I am met with traction. I was enlightened by this idea while watching @Clement_Ang17 's interview with Richard Moglen. He produced incredible returns, but not by creating excessive open heat risk, instead by constantly improving his baseline/ worst case scenario for his capital.
For me this is due to error in progressive exposure because of the frequency of my trading! I have been scaling back in sizing, risk, and exposure but NOT in trading volume/frequency.
Overtrading has always been my weak point, so creating precise frameworks around when to engage are critical for me. Moving on I've implemented a trading volume/frequency mechanic into my progressive exposure framework, requiring specific conditions to be met before even ATTEMPTING a trade. Then after these conditions are met, only entering 1-2 trades a week until traction is met.
This is my current solution to my problem, if this plan proves faulty in the future, I will adjust and change it then.