Former OpenAI and Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon, who publicly resigned from Anthropic yesterday with a stark warning about AI safety, was interviewed by Anderson Cooper on his show this evening.
@JOKAQARMY1 The Great Inversion! 200 years we left farms for offices. Coders, doctors & lawyers became elite. AI eats those jobs at lightspeed. Now plumbers, electricians, welders & farmers are irreplaceable. Homesteader = new king ? Buy the farm! #AI#FutureOfWork
The Great Inversion!
200 years we left farms for offices. Coders, doctors & lawyers became elite.
AI eats those jobs at lightspeed.
Now plumbers, electricians, welders & farmers are irreplaceable.
Homesteader = new king ?
Buy the farm!
#AI#FutureOfWork
Scrolling through X would make you believe that AI is already taking all our jobs and unemployment will soon hit 10% across every white-collar sector
In contrast, you walk outside and talk to someone in real life about AI. Not a single person intimately knows what is going on.
If you chat with someone above the age of 40 who is not in finance or tech, they will legitimately think that Claude is a random French guy who you know
If you ask them about B2B SaaS or LLMs, there is a high probability they will not even know what that those acronyms mean
You have to recognize that this platform is a bubble. It is highly concentrated amongst people who are overinformed on technology and are actively working on building these AI companies
Many are simply talking their own book. Others are trying to stray you in the wrong direction so they can take the other side. There are also just as many who speak of doomerism, simply because that is what receives attention on social media nowadays
Reality is different
> Humans are by far the most resilient creatures throughout history
> Society changes over time, but that change comes at an incredibly slow pace
> It is easier to build new technology than to change old habits and ingrained culture
This is not to underestimate AI by any means. I think it will be one of the most consequential pieces of technology in history
But if the doomerism is starting to get to your head, and you think the end of the world is near, I have news for you
The end of the world only happens once. You cannot live your life preparing for it
Those who do end up regretting it on their deathbed. No one has lived a very happy life being a pessimist.
California's Central Valley produces 80% of the world's almonds. Each almond requires 3.2 gallons of actual irrigation water to grow. Not rainfall. Actual tap water pumped from aquifers.
One gallon of almond milk requires 162 gallons of irrigation water. Compare that to dairy milk at 8 gallons of tap water per gallon, with the rest being rainfall that falls on pasture anyway.
But here's where it gets properly grim. Almonds bloom for exactly three weeks in February. During those three weeks, California needs every pollinating bee in North America transported to the Central Valley or the crop fails entirely.
Commercial beekeepers truck in 31 billion honeybees. That's two-thirds of America's entire managed bee population, all concentrated in one valley for three weeks. The bees are packed into trucks, driven across the country, dumped into almond groves drenched in pesticides, worked to exhaustion, then packed up and shipped to the next crop.
The mortality rate is catastrophic. Beekeepers report losing 30 to 50% of their hives annually. That's billions of bees dead. Not from natural causes. From being used as disposable pollination machines for your almond milk.
The pesticides don't help. Almond groves are sprayed with neonicotinoids which scramble bee navigation systems, fungicides which weaken their immune systems, and herbicides which eliminate the wildflowers they'd normally forage on between almond blooms.
Meanwhile the aquifer depletion is permanent. The Central Valley has sunk 28 feet in some areas from groundwater extraction. That water took 10,000 years to accumulate. It's being drained in decades for almond milk.
Your vegan latte killed more bees and used more water than a year's worth of dairy milk. But it's got "plant-based" on the label so you're definitely saving the planet.
Elon Musk: At this point, education is mostly a social experience. You don’t actually need school to learn anymore. With AI, you can learn just as much—or more—on your phone at home. School is becoming less about knowledge and more about being around people your own age.
People should go to school today mainly for the social side of it. The learning itself? AI can already do that better. Conventional schooling could be vastly improved, and individualized AI teachers will outperform the one-size-fits-all classroom.
Education doesn’t need to happen in a building anymore. You could learn everything at home on your phone. Kids go to school to hang out, build social skills, and experience a coming-of-age—not because it’s the most effective way to learn.
School today functions as a social filter, not a learning engine. AI handles the learning better. Humans still go to school for friendships, relationships, leadership, confidence, and real-world social development.
I have had a lot of fun lately letting Claude fully control my old ThinkPad.
This finally feels like the correct way to interact with computers, like something’s been missing this entire time until now.
Give Claude a laptop to live in, you won’t regret it.
Creatine isn’t a “gym supplement”, it’s a core human nutrient.
Powers muscles & brain: more strength, sharper cognition, better mood, greater resilience with age.
Safe. Cheap. Heavily studied.
Most are deficient.
Creatine belongs in your routine.
Period!
MAHA
The man behind the digital ID push is Larry Ellison, owner of Oracle, CBS, CNN, and, soon, TikTok. He wants data centralization and total surveillance. "Citizens will be on their best behavior because we're constantly watching & recording everything that's going on." Terrifying.
The cost-of-living crisis is really a sovereign debt crisis.
You can only print and borrow for so long.
It causes problems in the long run.
And the long run is here.
The reality is life is a single-player game. You’re born alone. You’re going to die alone. All of your interpretations are alone. All your memories are alone. You’re gone in three generations and nobody cares. Before you showed up, nobody cared. It’s all single-player.
@naval
Here is Peter Thiel’s email to Zuck and Andreessen in Jan-2020 predicting socialism.
Tl;dr too much student debt and lack of affordable housing keeps young people with negative capital for too long. And without a stake in the capitalist system, they will turn against it.
It’s increasingly obvious there are two groups of people in the world:
Accountables
People who believe their rewards should be coupled to their effort and outcome.
Unaccountables
Louses who think that their mediocrity should always be rewarded under all circumstances.
If the Unaccountables win, we will become a lost society.
How do you spot an Unaccountable?
Ask them “What did you get done this week?”
It’s a normal question to an Accountable. It’s an existential risk to an Unaccountable. Their reaction will tell you which one they are.