SPACEX IPO COUNTDOWN: In my own rounds with investors, it’s not about whether the IPOs will be successful for the big three looking to list this year. It’s about the lockups and whether big pre-IPO investors will meaningfully sell. It’s about how investors may have to rebalance, and what that means for the AI theme writ large. And it’s about earnings — how public market investors react as cash burn remains elevated.
My view? I believe SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI will all likely have to raise even more money within six months of listing. They would look to equity and debt markets, both private and public.
It’s going to be a big six months ahead!! A big thank you to @cvpayne for having me on the show.
Full interview here: https://t.co/LoZ4PLWyST
SOMETHING NEW: In my time as the chief investment strategist at @icapitalnetwork, one of the great joys is the CEOs, CIOs and asset allocators I get to interact with on a daily basis. We started a weekly video podcast to dissect the most important trends in investing -- getting behind how some of the biggest names are putting money to work.
Introducing: The Bridge.
I hope you enjoy it, the first three episodes have dropped today. We have the president of Goldman in an interview next week, and investors across venture (including in Anthropic, SpaceX and OpenAI), private credit, real estate and infrastructure on tap.
https://t.co/s5cJL0T58D
Some pullback can be healthy, great point from @LizThomasStrat — and we agree it’s probably closer to the end than the beginning of the selling pressures.
@briangbelski adds it’s a stock picker’s market. My team and I believe it’s time to get selective, certainly in the AI trade, but elsewhere too.
View from the crew:
https://t.co/yODe7s5T5e
In non-finance commentary: In just a few days, I’ll be getting married. I’ve been thinking a lot about what it means to build a family, to balance my life and career, and whether I can make 1 + 1 equal 3.
People like @SahilBloom and new father @APompliano — who have spoken so openly about how to find meaning and balance have inspired me in a pretty deep way. (My fiancée and I listened to Sahil’s book together ahead of this moment). The biggest thing I’ve been learning:
Be present.
Nothing is more valuable than that. It has compounding effects, for the big days like a wedding, for every day in noticing the more mundane but perhaps important things in life, and even for great market research or building a great business. Listen more than you speak, ask more questions than presenting answers, keep your eyes wide open & try not to miss the big things around you.
Serious back to school vibes, first day in a new job, in a new office with a big set of market catalysts ahead.
Stay tuned — our views are coming your way.
@icapitalnetwork
NEWS: I’m joining @icapitalnetwork at Chief Investment Strategist.
I’m excited to ramp up the dialogue. The job starts Sept. 2.
https://t.co/T6tS8Hbl9H
PROFESSIONAL NEWS: Today is my last day at Bloomberg. After almost 12 years with the company, saying goodbye to my friends and colleagues is a huge challenge. So much of my identity had been tied to the television set, and connected to the stories I’ve written and the sources I’ve maintained throughout the way. Sometimes, though, when the future calls — you have to listen. I am excited to share my next steps in very, very short order. I’ll be stepping out of the world of news, and deeper into the universe of finance. Stay tuned. The future is huge, and I’m excited to navigate it with you.
The Royal Society David Attenborough Award and Lecture is awarded to Professor Hannah Fry for her prolific science communication activity as the foremost populariser of maths in the country who continues to inspire young people to pursue maths and physics in fun and exciting ways. #RSMedals https://t.co/J4K3DF8Cqi
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is helping to bring the Colts back to Baltimore. Jackson is joining the sports ownership ranks as a principal owner of the National Thoroughbred League's newest team: The Maryland Colts. And so one of the Ravens leaders is now helping to bring the Colts back to Baltimore.
Kal Penn is talking about bringing awareness and solutions for addressing climate change with his new project “Getting Warmer with Kal Penn.” @kalpenn@climate
It’s a new week and @timsteno has another crypto anecdote for @kgreifeld. He swears this one “actually happened" — but she’s not so sure.
Watch the next episode of Crypto IRL at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday Oct. 6 only on Quicktake https://t.co/DAX5OaRncC