Still needing to hear definitive news but rumor in the market is that the ITC has REJECTED CF's bid to place counter vailing/anti-dumping duty rates on Trinidad/Russian produced UAN.
If true, expect to see UAN more in line with urea price ideas on a price per pound of actual N.
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IHS Markit: Sanctions unlikely to target Russia’s fertilizer industry, but effects on exports will be significant
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Preliminary #UAN rates have been announced:
Russia - anywhere from 9 - 127% (not a typo)
Trinidad - 63%
This is big. This disrupts trade flows globally. Russia/Trinidad account for 80% of normal U.S. imports.
This was not expected.
@SpreadCaptor@JLinvilleFert Tough to say this early - but if deadlines are extended again, the whole case (and by extension final rates) might not be settled until the summer
First #UAN dumping rates have appeared on the US Department of Commerce website - over 100% on Trinidad and up to 433% on Russian product. Now we wait for the documents explaining calculations and justification
#fertilizer#nitrogen#agribusiness#ihsmarkit
Hate to be the bearer of bad news but lower US nat gas prices does not mean lower prices for nitrogen ferts. Just more profit for domestic producers while nat gas in europe does the exact opposite by firming to above $30 mmbtu and increasing europes cost to produce N.
Has the rapid gain in fertilizer prices this year left your head spinning? My latest column in Progressive Farmer recaps some of the biggest developments in September
September proved to be a month of unprecedented firmness in fertilizer prices, bringing strong trends of the previous year to another level entirely. Find a breakdown of wholesale prices & trends of various fertilizers for September & early October 2021: https://t.co/Ziojpd9aIR
US ITC today issued a prelim determination there is a "reasonable indication" of material injury to the US from Moroccan and Russian #phosphate imports. ITC will release a full report on 17 Aug. #fertilizer#Fertecon@IHSMarkitAgri
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