There are still great opportunities in semis/hardware
$WOLF - SiC glut clears on $1T AI/EV power
$MU - HBM overcapacity; AI server demand
$INTC - foundry delays end; 18a node MSFT deal
$CRWV CDS going vertical. Senior unsecureds now yielding over 12.5%
6 weeks ago they printed $1.25bn at 9.625% and the news headline called it a "credit rebound"
“38x slowdown once shuffle data exceeds available DRAM and spills to SSD.”
From a joint Micron/Meta white paper.
The DRAM bottleneck almost certainly lasts the longest.
OP from @jukan05
Needham: "DRAM/HBM will remain a real bottleneck for AI."
> DRAM/HBM Bottleneck: DRAM and High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) are projected to remain significant bottlenecks for AI hardware scaling.
> Rapid Bit Growth: Total DRAM bit growth (millions of GB) is expected to expand dramatically through 2028, driven heavily by increasing HBM adoption.
> Surging HBM Share: HBM bits as a percentage of total DRAM are forecasted to grow steeply, scaling past 15% by 2028.
> Wafer Capacity Shift: DRAM wafer capacity dedicated to HBM (measured in kWSPM) is projected to accelerate sharply, with expectations that nearly 50% of total DRAM wafers will go into HBM by 2028.
$MU $DRAM $EWY