Welder turned Finance Bro
• Trader & Long Term Investor
• Sharing my views & insights into the Markets.
Coin Collector, Outdoorsman, Astrophotographer😁
@tommyboy8377@unusual_whales Getting nuanced, nuance isn’t as flashy haha. But realistically the OP is just showing that an institutionional trader bought a fuck ton of OTM calls. When smart money puts their money somewhere it is best to lean that way. Usually they’re not wrong.
@tommyboy8377@unusual_whales Yes.
That is certainly what they are betting on.
Most options are not held to and through exipiration.
Funnythingshappen is not taking into account Gamma. As gamma increases the delta of those calls will also rise. = profit while still being OTM.
@Barchart In the last 17 instances when semiconductor fund $SOXX declined for 6 consecutive days, it was higher 3 months later in all 17 cases, with an average gain of 13%.
Odds look pretty bullish for Q4!
@unusual_whales He has paid more each time: $20.38, $22.94, $23.48, $24.41, now $27. Two directors bought on Sept 8 and 9, before his first purchase. Insider selling over the past year is $1.8M against $121M bought.
bitcoin:native has bounced off the ETF cost basis.
Price spent most of this year below that level, and the May rally stalled right under it.
It has now held twice as support around $81.5k. Below it, the next major level is the True Market Mean at $77.5k.
I dont say this often but please.
Go to the gym.
Walk every day.
Get outside.
Listen to podcasts that actually teach you something.
Read more.
Spend less time doom-scrolling.
Get a dog.
Drink more water.
Eat better.
Go to bed before 10 PM.
Get at least 7 hours of sleep.
Call your family.
Protect your peace.
Save money.
Invest every month.
Learn a skill that can pay you for life.
Stop trying to impress people who don’t matter.
@BizarroKenobi@TheProfInvestor There’s no reason to predict in this market right now man. Too many variables and too many warning signals.
Price action is all that matters in the most simplest sense. If price action starts to trend up on value stocks then enter a swing.
@PUMPKlNPARTY@TheProfInvestor Fucking AI bots man. Hey dumbass guess what? $SPCX is public..
Am I the only one noticing AI hallucinations getting worse?
@BullTheoryio Ok let’s not get too excited now💀 the 10Y only dropped 19 bps for the day and is flat from yesterday’s close.
So it did literally nothing meaningful.
Yes it dropped 147 bps from intra day highs but still.
@RyBred87@TrendSpider Though I definitely misread your comment. If you’re “markets” reference is to the stock market, usually there is an inverse. So yields up stocks down but it’s a very nuanced topic and isn’t a simple as that.
@TrendSpider But it’s not?
Bond yields are the inverse, thus yields up bonds down. In this scenario it’s $TLT, which tracks long term bonds of 20+ years. They have also gone parabolic like the 10Y.
$TLT $TMF are very attractive at these levels.