Little Owl Research

I post research reports on industries and companies. This is not investment advice.

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

My report on $RAVE for anyone interested.

https://t.co/heQF6riN6X

[Michael A. Arouet @MichaelAArouet]

Just for reference the market cap of the entire stock markets:

• UK: ~$3.94 trillion
• France: ~$3.45 trillion
• Germany: ~$3.04 trillion

Europe is becoming really poor.

But hey, why don’t you introduce more regulations, or even higher taxes? This will fix things.

[Lake Cornelia Research Management @CorneliaLake]

Current Market mood:

1. Start doing work on a name that could be interesting
2. Name goes up 20-40% while doing work
3. Feel stupid

[Dylan Marrello @ragingbullcap]

$RAVE We *may* be in a bubble in certain pockets, but there is still an unbelievable amount of opportunity in this market.

[Gonzalo @Gonzalo58806034]

@BuySellBA Hubo elecciones hace 7 meses y gano en todos lados siempre exagerando todo.

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

Either someone knows something the rest of us are oblivious to… or they’re playing Russian roulette. Tomorrow’s report should be interesting $LUXE

[Clark Square Capital @ClarkSquareCap]

~4m shares short at $LUXE. Small % of O/S (~140m), but float is only ~17m. Limited daily volume <200k. So >20 days to cover.

Seems like it could get squeezy tomorrow when they report.

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

https://t.co/heQF6riN6X

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

My report on $RAVE for anyone interested.

https://t.co/heQF6riN6X

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

*company reports earnings*

Me: “Wow, great quarter.”

-10%

Me:

[Wexboy @Wexboy_Value]

This is the kinda idiocy that populism & communism breed on:

In this poll/study, UK normies estimated the avg corporate sector profit margin at 46%*...

...literally SIX TIMES the actual sub-8% avg profit margin! 🤯🤡

*Inc. an NHS margin of 34%! 🤣

[BowTiedMara @BowTiedMara]

“Struggling to gain traction.”

Meanwhile private sector USD deposits are at all time highs:

[Little Owl Research @LittleOwlRes]

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential.

Long $VBNK

[Crossroads Capital @CrossroadsOnX]

VersaBank: A Digital Banking Transformation

The founder-led VersaBank $VBNK is 1 of the rarest setups we've come across: a compounding business with a 2nd emerging one attached, both available for roughly the liquidation price of the 1st.

Full Report: https://t.co/1pSiNEPG0R

[David Orr @orrdavid]

@CapitalObserver I'm bullish.

I'm watching the most one sided war being won, and everyone saying the world is about to end.

[The Argentina Brief, by Francisco Aldaya @ArgentinaBrief]

Argentine country risk spread should be at 400 basis points (currently 600), says UBS in New York during Argentina week 🇦🇷

[AK @EarningsB4Hugs]

Even in here and substack you can see how many people quickly confine themselves to a style and only talk about names in that style. It could be deep-value microcaps, Japan, AI etc. But I rarely see a generalist these days. Large cap folks won’t touch microcaps. And microcaps won’t touch mid caps. So on and so forth.

[Ryan Telford @RTelford_invest]

When your microcaps are going up, you remember why you invest in them.

When they’re going down, you remember why most investors avoid them.

[Manuel Adorni @madorni]

Un objetivo central: más inversiones para la Argentina.

Junto a CEOs y referentes de más de 10 empresas estadounidenses repasamos el país que recibimos, el estado de situación actual y el camino que queda por recorrer.

El rumbo es claro: creemos en el mercado y en la libertad. Menos estado, más inversión, más producción y más empleo.

Fin.

[Fjord Phil @FjordPhil]

I don’t comment on geopolitics often as I try to keep my feed focused, but there are a lot of bad takes on a potential “Hormuz closure" I see floating around.

Roughly 20 million barrels per day move through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil simply cannot stop flowing for any prolonged period of time.

Show me the incentives and I’ll show you the outcome. If it were game-theory optimal for Iran to close the Strait, you would have seen it happen a lot more often.

The US wants it open. China wants it open. Iran itself wants it open. Iran cannot even maintain full control over its own airspace, while the US Navy fields close to 300 vessels and exists largely to keep sea lanes like this functioning. Who are we betting on in that matchup?

"But sir the Russian navy got blown-"
Oh right, you mean the navy whose only aircraft carrier has been stuck in overhaul since 2017, caught fire twice, had a crane dropped through the deck, and may now be scrapped without ever sailing again? Good comparison

The read through from Suez is also weak in my view. The Suez disruptions has limited impact on the US economy, which is one reason Washington has not treated it as a top-tier strategic priority. Hormuz is a completely different scale of issue.

A temporary disruption is always possible. But a sustained closure of Hormuz is one of those scenarios where the incentives of almost every major actor align to reopen it.

[Javier Milei @JMilei]

ARGENTINA AVANZA
A los profetas del caos este dato no les va a gustar. Además, al observar la serie queda en claro que el riesgo kuka no sólo produjo daño en lo financiero sino también en lo real. Si no hubiera sido por su intención de destruir todo hubiéramos crecido 7%.
VLLC!