Stocks and Flows

Analyzing the system dynamics of commerce. Not any kind of advice.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@realroseceline I largely agree with that. But imo the most significant threat to long term growth for this cohort is in regulatory risk, and any legislation enacted would be specific to subgroups, e.g. regulations enacted in payments would likely hit both V & MA, but not SPLG & MSCI.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@invest091 Is there a way to tell whether insider trades are open market transactions of new/existing holdings vs. exercising options? Maybe it’s all the same, but it seems like an automatic sale of an option grant isn’t ‘as bad’ as an open market sale?

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@invest091 @realroseceline To justify its current valuation it only needs to grow EPS by like 3% per year. Seems like it might be able to do that with buybacks alone. Need to dig into this one more, but like the idea.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@FreightAlley A temporary sports venue is what “America is great at”?

[Colin Grabow @cpgrabow]

The current Jones Act waiver has exposed something that is typically overlooked: many types of oceangoing ships common elsewhere in the world do not exist in the US coastwise fleet. Let’s look at what some of these vessels are and why we don’t have them. 🧵

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@awealthofcs @SamRo This is good advice. Maybe could add that in a bear market you check your contributions to see if you could add more.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@DimitryNakhla Great post. I’m a long time MELI follower. Curious is you ever looked at PriceSmart? I personally don’t really know anything about other than a recent pod calling it the Costco of LatAm.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@alifarhat79 One of my most favorite scenes from a tv show in recent memory

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@invest091 It’s just a reality that all of us are impacted by biases. Using it to his advantageous does often feel tedious, but I also can’t really blame him.
https://t.co/xbv1UgGBNm

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@MebFaber Dude c’mon you’re dying on the wrong hill here. You can post all the slanted stats you want, but it doesn’t change reality. Younger generations feel significantly worse off relative to the upper class because they are and the trajectory of change appears to be accelerating.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@Divergent7651 There’s a legitimate argument for a portfolio that is exists in between a concentrated portfolio where you track every movement for every name and an indexed portfolio where you buy the market and forget about it.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@JonahLupton @NBA Your team got smoked, at home, by a 13 pt underdog and you’re gonna bitch about the refs? I know it’s sports, but prob not a great look to show such obvious bias when your business is in large part selling the concept that you’re able to avoid biases.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@SFarringtonBKC lol ok sure

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@ToddWenning @lhamtil I think some low quality names will for sure face revenue headwinds. But for the higher quality companies, i’m more worried about margins. It seems like AI pass through will keep revenue flowing for them, but margins will get squeezed.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@fiscal_ai I think it would be naive to assume the proliferation of GLP-1s has no effect on food supply chain companies, but the $WING data point in particular seems to suggest this specific cycle has more to do with income/cost of living for low end consumers.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@MebFaber It’s not complicated. Taxes make giving mandatory for everyone else.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@typesfast Glad I didn’t listen to all the ppl telling me to proactively file protests.

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

2026 in 3 headlines:

[Stocks and Flows @LogisticsFlows]

@RampCapitalLLC @ccmembersonly I thought for sure you would have went with Barb Wire