Nickyyy

Full Time Degen.

[Lex Fridman @lexfridman]

Human tendency to conform, especially when in large groups, is terrifying. Propaganda machines leverage this throughout human history.

The way out is to think freely, detached from the divisive narratives of the day that masquerade as universal truths.

This often feels lonely.

[Andrew NFX @andrew_nfx]

I met a trader in Dubai who was doing $80k/month in prop firm payouts.

He showed me his stats.

71% win rate.

Average RR: 0.8R to 1.2R.

I asked him why such low risk-reward.

'Bro, I tried the 1:3RR+ thing for 2 years. Blew 40+ accounts. My win rate was 25%. I'd have 8-10 losing trades in a row and couldn't handle it mentally.'

'Then I switched to taking quick profits. 1:1 mostly. Sometimes less if price shows weakness.'

'My win rate jumped to 70%+.'

He was running $2.8M in combined funding across 8 accounts.

Some months he'd make 1%. Some months 5%.

But he was consistent.

And the psychology was easier.

Winning 7 out of 10 trades feels completely different than winning 3 out of 10.

Even if the math says they're equal.

Your brain doesn't care about math during a 12-trade losing streak.

He told me:

'I don't need to be right about where price is going long-term. I just need to be right about the next 10-15 pips. That's it.'

Most traders are chasing these huge runners because someone on YouTube told them that's what 'real traders' do.

Meanwhile this guy is taking home $80k/month with 0.8-1.2R trades.

You don't need massive risk-reward to make serious money.

You need capital + consistency + a win rate you can actually maintain.

Low RR with high win rate will always beat high RR with low win rate when it comes to prop firm payouts.

[tradertvshawn @tradertvshawn]

🚨 Morning Market Rundown – April 15, 2026 🚨

Trade inflation data + manufacturing sentiment in focus today, with more Fed speakers on deck 👀

🗓️ Economic Events:
0830 - Export Prices m/m (Mar): Exp 1.5%; Prior 1.5%
0830 - Import Prices m/m (Mar): Exp 2.3%; Prior 1.3%
0830 - NY Empire State Manufacturing (Mar): Exp 0; Prior -0.2
0830 - Fed’s Barr speaks
1345 - Fed’s Bowman speaks

📈 Premarket Movers:
🟢 Trading Higher: $IONQ $SNAP $QBTS
🔴 Trading Lower: $NVDA $WULF $FFAI

💰 Earnings:
Premarket: $ASML $BAC $MS
Post-market: $JBHT $SLG $NKLR

⚡ Market Insight:
Import/export prices could add another inflation signal, while bank earnings and $ASML may shape sentiment across financials and semis.

#stocks #trading #investing #daytrading #stockmarket #premarket #inflation #bitcoin #crypto @tradertvlive @ttvresearch

[Luc @investingluc]

"Is trading hard?"

I don’t know, you tell me.

We need the mental toughness of a pro athlete, patience of a monk, precision of a brain surgeon, pattern recognition of a chess grandmaster.

All at the same time. Under pressure. While managing fear, greed, ego...in real time, with your own money on the line.

Competing against the smartest people on earth, the richest people on earth...who have better data, faster technology, and deeper pockets.

Whose entire business model is taking retail's money.

Oh ya...and you’re expected to stay calm, make rational decisions, and execute while in a violent dogfight with your own emotions.

Is trading hard? I don’t know, you tell me.

Next question.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@ZTheTrader Hey nice trade on TSLA. In your personal opinion, do you favor swing trades or prefer day trading?

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 A mere mortal like me cant time the market, good time to average down.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@GhostOptions_ Options flow

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 Really reminds me of Tesla stock early days.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 Low key hope it dips more so I buy more lol.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 Long term investing is the way.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@UTDMaI Onana

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 Its National day here in Sg. Have a wonderful weekend to you too.

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@MrJack6590 @grok Verify this please

[Simon Gerovich @gerovich]

Proof of Conviction

[Diamond Hands Dig @DiamondHandsDig]

The Metaplanet Advantage: Japan’s Bitcoin Cheat Code 🇯🇵

No other Bitcoin treasury company has this kind of structural edge.

Here’s how $MTPLF turns cheap yen into the most asymmetric $BTC bet in the world 👇

⸻

1. Ultra-Low Interest Rates

Japan has had near 0% interest rates for decades.

Metaplanet borrows at just 0.5% or less, basically free money.

Meanwhile, US firms like MicroStrategy $MSTR borrow dollars at 3–6%+.

⸻

2. The Currency Play

Bitcoin is priced in USD.

Metaplanet borrows yen, converts to dollars, and buys $BTC.

This gives them two layers of upside:

• Bitcoin goes up
• Yen weakens vs the dollar

⸻

3. The Double Win

If both happen:

• $BTC rises in USD
• Yen weakens

Then Metaplanet’s Bitcoin gains are amplified when converted back to yen.

And their debt shrinks in real terms.

⸻

4. A Simple Example (with $BTC at $110K)

• Borrow ¥100 million at 0.5%
• Convert to USD at 150 yen = $1
→ ¥100M ÷ 150 = $666,667

• Buy BTC at $110K
→ $666,667 ÷ $110K = ~6.06 BTC

Now BTC rises to $150K
→ 6.06 × $150K = $909,000

Yen weakens to 160/USD
→ $909K × 160 = ¥145.4 million

Repay ¥100M loan
➡️ Profit: ¥45.4 million, minus tiny interest cost

⸻

5. The Cheat Code

This is essentially a government-subsidized Bitcoin strategy.

Why?
The Bank of Japan wants a weak yen and low rates.

Japan are sacrificing currency strength in exchange for:

✅ Export growth
✅ Debt stability
✅ Mild inflation
✅ Survival of an ageing economy

This is why Metaplanet’s Bitcoin carry trade works.

It's using those policies to buy hard money.

No Western company has access to:

• Virtually free leverage
• Currency tailwinds
• A central bank that wants debasement

⸻

6. Bottom Line

Metaplanet isn’t just betting on Bitcoin.

They’re also shorting the yen, with the Japanese government’s full support.

This isn’t just a Bitcoin treasury strategy…

$MTPLF is the most asymmetric trade in corporate finance today.

⸻

Thank you to @aixbt_agent's terminal for helping me with this analysis.

For more Metaplanet insights, check out these great accounts:

* @vincent13031925
* @mc_khristina
* @ActuallyClimber
* @AdamBLiv
* @RoaringRagnar
* @juriwatanabe_
* @boyz_meta
* @vinz0r

Follow me for more & join my private Telegram for my daily portfolio updates: https://t.co/LfZ0OSAisN

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@pakpakchicken Metaplanet fam LFG!!!

[Nickyyy @Longsanity]

@vincent13031925 Waiting for dips to buy more 💪🏻

[Esther & Michael @SuperLuckeee]

20 massive set-ups for June 2025 I'm looking to add to my portfolio 🧵

(bookmark charts to study later!)

1. TSLA
2. NVDA
3. IONQ
4. PLTR
5. MSTR
6. META
7. HIMS
8. UBER
9. UNH
10. GOOG
11. AMZN
12. MSFT
13. AMD
14. UPST
15. AAPL
16. SPY
17. CRWV
18. CRWD
19. HOOD
20. COIN