Lux_Hab

Someday I'll understand crypto and start making money. @Fantasy_top_

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

Alright, here we go again—attempt number 10+… We’re going all-in on AI. 🚀

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

I need to start making money. I need to earn $50 a day... I'm diving back into crypto...

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

@hagmanterror @0xKipit @travisbickle0x @0xMikado

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

It's my mistake, but why didn’t the system warn me and still allowed me to place a 10x bid on the card? @0xKipit @travisbickle0x @0xMikado

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

@0xKipit @travisbickle0x @0xMikado More precisely: go to Rare, then switch to Com.

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

@0xKipit @travisbickle0x @0xMikado Only manually, I've never used a bot. Try switching the card’s rarity… common, rare, common… when you place a bid.

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

When your government decides to destroy your business… crypto starts looking good again. OK, I’ll give it another try

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

your Clout is my flame, my reach is your game. Start farming clout on @fantasy_top_

[Clayton Mooney @MooneyMillions]

The best heroes in @fantasy_top_ are mispriced by 500%, and how you can win $100,000+ playing the best crypto game in existence.

If you want more people to discover and play FT, please share this post far and wide. You should also bookmark it and use it as a reference, as you advance through each section and level up within FT.
--
Who am I?

I’m a full-time founder (IRL farmer), trying to make the world a better place through building restaurants with farms inside of them (Clayton Farms Salads).🥗

You can learn everything about me, by visiting Clayton Mooney dot com. I’m currently ranked 4th globally in Fantasy Top.
--
As you read below, remember that the FT team has built a game that’s simple to start, complex to master.

NFA/DYOR

I’ll link past and referenced writings in the comment below this post.
--
Section 1: The best tools in the game🔧

Best tool for league stats & rewards: @0xthemolt's FantasySheets dot xyz

Best tool for learning mints and burns in real time: @web3tool's fanscan dot live

Best tool for hero and player data visualized: @boredsharky's fanfanpro dot com

Best tool for determining heroes for decks: @FantasyTopHuds

All encompassing website: check out @Fantardio's fantard dot io.

If you want to master the game and win hundreds of thousands of dollars playing it, you need to utilize all the tools I mention above.

Section 2: The best resources in the game📚

Best weekly written strategy for Monad and Core FT: @Khallid4397

Best weekly audio roundup: @fantasy_hour_

PS: Khallid and @thecarpenter host weekly deck building streams on Saturday morning, too.

Best weekly video stream roundup: @Metaverse_HQ

Best FT Discord community: @newblastcity

Every resource mentioned above is a must follow, if you want to win hundreds of thousands of dollars playing FT.

Section 3: Time in the game > timing the game⏳

Now that you’ve got the tools and resources sorted, you need to jump into FT core.

Especially before the FT team rolls out their next big onboarding initiative, and we see a giant supply crunch.

I believe the healthiest way to view the game is to think in terms of your collection having 52 chances (weekly tournaments) to provide you with a return, or APR (beyond the card prices, which I’ll cover below).

That means you should try to put as much of your collection to work in decks, every week.

My general rule of thumb is to burn the floor heroes (it’s fine to sell them, too) for Jade packs, in sets of 10 (burning 10+ heroes at a time provides you with the maximum fragment bonus).🔥

Then sell mid-tier heroes that can’t place in top 50, at least 75% of the time. I understand that league restrictions prevent us from selling all mid-tier heroes, but using the tools and resources above, every week, will help you to have more clarity of the top and bottom half of the mid-tier heroes.💲

You should be working toward building a collection of the most consistent, best heroes in the game.

Fantasy Top HUDs can help you determine who those heroes are, from its 2 main metrics: True EV (long term expected score) and Trending EV (short term expected score). The closer the True and Trending EV is for a hero, the more consistent they are.

If you follow this general rule set, you’ll begin to compound winnings and collection value.

I follow my own rules. I’ve won 4 ETH in just the past 15 weeks, not including my collection value appreciation.📈

Section 4: Conviction in clones ♣️♣️♣️♣️♣️

Now that you have the tools, resources, and general strategy of building a collection, you’re winning more.

Let’s shift gears to finding the most mispriced heroes.

Here’s my strategy for doing that.

Step 1⃣ I find the most consistent heroes within the Fantasy Top HUD. The most consistent heroes are those with similar True and Trending EVs.

Step 2⃣ I determine how often their stars have changed, and then look at their current supply as a market cap, and current Inflation Degree (ID).

Step 3⃣ I add ratios and current floor prices between their rarities. By step 3, I see arbitrage opportunities. This is fun if you’re flipping/trading, but I’m thinking long-term, so I move to Step 4.

Step 4⃣ I build an algo that sorts the most consistent heroes by market cap, % available in marketplace, their tag within the HUD (i.e. politics, trading), and their current price discrepancy between peers.

Step 5⃣ I build out their EV of scores over the next 4 weeks.

If it hits above a certain threshold of points, I then see if their price trend matches it. If it already does, they’re likely priced in. If it doesn’t, then the hero is mispriced. If the hero is mispriced by > 100% according to my math, that’s when I’m sweeping and taking a position.🧹

The reason for sweeping is my conviction = I want to play as many decks with that hero as I possibly can. I call this building clone armies (look at my collection to see what I mean).

I’ve been playing clone armies for about 5 months now. More top ranked players like @ottosuwen are also adopting this strategy.🤝

Here’s my results of hero sweeps so far, to which my algos and sweeps have yet to be matched by any other player in the game.

In Dec, I swept @TheFlowHorse. My cost basis is .035 each. Current floor is .069. +97% in 5 months.

In Dec, I swept @icobeast. My cost basis is .1 each. Current floor is .185. +85% in 5 months.

In Jan, I swept @frankdegods. My cost basis is .035 each. Current floor is .021, as he’s been MIA and will be rotated out for other 6-8 star heroes.

In Jan, I swept @rasmr_eth. My cost basis is .09. Current floor is .11. +22% in 3 months.

In Jan, I swept @wizardofsoho. My cost basis is .065. Current floor is .105. +61% in 3 months.

In Feb, I swept @notthreadguy. My cost basis is .07. Current floor is .044. -37% in 2 months.

In March, I swept @0xMakesy. My cost basis is .018. Current floor is .028. +55% in 1 month.

I’m the largest holder in the game for many of these heroes. I’ll continue to accumulate, as they are INCREDIBLY undervalued in APR, price appreciation, and supply.

Section 5: Conviction in data—AKA why heroes are mispriced by 500%💱

I’ve written other in depth posts on mispriced heroes before that I’ll link below this post. But let’s recap with updated numbers.

Each week, there are about 700,000 fragments awarded across 5 league tournaments.

Let’s make the following assumptions.

· 30% are used to spin the lucky wheel. Of the lucky wheel spins, 45% land on a pack for a card
· 50% are used in opening Jade packs
· 5% are used in opening Emerald packs
· 3% are used in opening Sapphire packs
· 2% are used in opening Lavender packs
· 10% of fragments sit in accounts for various reasons (just shy of wheel spin, being saved up for rarer packs or new heroes)
· 100 Shiny packs sold each week

That gives us a total of ~6,000 cards added each week. Inflation Degree helps us to understand what those 6,000 cards are going to look like.

· Inflation Degree ranges from 1 to 100
· Inflation Degree is updated on Sundays for heroes
· The higher the Inflation Degree, the more of a hero's card will be opened
· While the algos aren’t public, here’s how I think about them

For every 100 packs opened, you’ll receive
~35 heroes with Inflation Degree of 50 or above
~20 heroes with Inflation Degree of 30 or above
~16 heroes with Inflation Degree of 25 or above
~15 heroes with Inflation Degree of 15 or above
~10 heroes with Inflation Degree of 10 or above
~3 heroes with Inflation Degree of 5 or above
~1 hero with Inflation Degree of 1 or 2

Main 46 just wrapped up, and 6,000 cards have been added to the game. The current best heroes in the game have Inflation Degrees of 5 or below.

That means out of the 6,000 packs opened, 4%, or about 240 copies of the best heroes were added to the game. If there’s about 30 heroes covering those 240 copies, you will end up with something like

· 120 Inflation Degree 4-5 heroes
· 80 Inflation Degree 3-4 heroes
· 25 Inflation Degree 2-3 heroes
· 15 Inflation Degree 1-2 heroes

That’s only 15 Ansems, Gregs, and/or IcoBeasts added this week, best case scenario.

It’s easy to see how demand is outpacing supply for the top heroes. Level ups also reduce 4 copies of each hero, and it’s happening every single day.

We’ll look back on this game in a few years to realize Inflation Degree and level ups were two of its greatest innovations and reasons it’s still around and growing.

--
Let’s take a look at Horse.

When I swept Horse in December, there were 166 commons.

Today, 4 months later, there are 206 commons.

Horse’s Inflation Degree has ranged from 3-6.

From my back of the napkin math, Horse’s supply should be at closer to 300 commons, which meant his supply increase should be at 80% over 4 months, or 240% per year.

Instead, it’s only at 25% over 4 months, or 75% per year.

What does that mean? Check out the chart below.
--

Let’s break down IcoBeast next.

When I swept Beast in December, there were 162 commons.

Today, 4 months later, there are 162 commons.
Beast’s Inflation Degree has ranged from 1-2.

From my back of the napkin math, Beast’s supply should be at closer to 250 commons, which meant his supply increase should be at 55% over 4 months, or 165% per year.

Instead, it’s up 0% in 4 months. I’ve personally burnt 15 commons for 3 rare copies.

And before you think it’s not fair, or I’m lucky. I spent A LOT of time on building my mispriced hero algorithms like I mention above.

I posted my Beast sweep analysis on December 27. You’ve had 107 days to copy trade me.

The good news for both of us?
He’s still mispriced by 500%.

How? Check out the chart below.
--

Let’s break down Makesy next.

When I swept Makesy in March, there were 2,750 commons.

Today, 1 month later, there are 2,856 commons.

Makesy’s Inflation Degree has ranged from 8-15.

Makesy’s supply has grown 4% over the past month, or 48% per year.

His price has grown 55% in 1 month.

The biggest driver is players are realizing Makesy is the best utility hero.

But less than 10% of all FT players realize this.
How do I know?

Only 70% of Makesy cards were played in Main 46 (his on week as a 1 star).

Only ~1,350 of the ~8,200 Bronze decks had Makesy.

I see at least one question per day by a new Monad FT player, asking which cards in FT Core they should consider picking up.

The majority of the answers? Makesy.

We’re early, and that’s why Makesy’s chart is wild, too. Check it out below.

+220% for a hero with 3,000+ copies in rotation is possible?

Yes. ID, Market Cap, and Utility creates a crazy dynamic in this game we love.

Section 6: The playbook FT is running to reach 100,000 DAUs in Core💯

At the beginning of February, I wrote about how I thought FT would reach 100,000 DAUs.

Step 1: I guessed the team would launch something similar to Magic Arena, a Free-to-Play (F2P) app that helped people experience the game, before taking a step into FT Core.

2 weeks later, they launched F2P FT Monad and hit 500,000 decks entered.

Step 2: I guessed the team would launch a platform, focused on “making anyone a hero” like they’ve teased before. I guessed it’d be a combination of Kaito meets Ethos.

Many of us have seen the screenshot or loaded FT Core to see “Clout” on the sidebar.

The word, “clout,” has me thinking the FT platform will give a reason for everyone to visit each day, whether you’re playing Core or not. A byproduct of doing so is a flywheel effect to onboard tens of thousands of more players—especially when they and their friends can be rewarded with $FAN and becoming a hero within the game.🤯

This platform launch has to be the next big product by the FT team. I expect it to launch before their 1 year anniversary/Main 52.

When this happens, you can expect to see the DAUs skyrocket. The Core competitions skyrocket. The supply crunch skyrocket. It’ll all be going up and to the right.

Section 7: What it’ll take for you to win $100,000 in FT💰

Everything I’ve talked about so far is what you need in order to be at the top of your FT game.

$100,000 isn’t crazy, when you realize that 52 weeks’ worth of competition pays out almost $20,000,000.

And that’s if nothing in the game grew or evolved, staying flat…

Just like anything else in life that someone has a chance to be competitive with, it takes obsession and conviction.

Section 8: FT’s success as a company🏗️

All of us appreciate how quickly @travisbickle0x, @0xMikado, @0xKipit, and the team have iterated and shipped.🚢

From their recent seed round announcement, we can speculate that the team has runway through December 2026.

But their paths to profitability are clear with more FT Core players.

And I think their platform launch can bring in additional revenue like Kaito has for its customers.

I also think @710_eth's community outreach will continue to bring us WLs, ALs, airdrops, and more F2P opportunities within brand new ecosystems—that’s good for all players, and it will add to your path to winning $100,000.

I also believe that FT will grow to have its own Pro Tour (link in post below). Talk about additional paths to winning $100,000, as well as soulbound legendary cards.👀

Section 9: Other products and parallels I’m thinking about🎁

Fantasy Top HUDs was just an idea 8 months ago.

Then Myself and @socialsin shipped v0.1.

Flash forward to today, and we have over 400 users across the Free Player HUD, Player HUD Pro, and Monad Player HUD.📊

About 25% of the top 10 spots across each league every week are HUD users.

While we’re working on a new Pro HUD that’ll launch in June, here’s other FT products and ideas I’m working on or funding to launch.

A) A FT Prediction Market. We already have test/experimental markets going in the New Blast City Discord. I played Predict dot Fun’s “who will win” FT markets every week.

That was the tip of the iceberg for what could be done. A game on top of the FT game is awesome, and we already know the FT team supports it, with their expansion of APIs.

B) Turning @FantasyTopHuds into a bot on X, which provides anyone who tags it and asks a question about a hero, with insights.

We have v0.1 live now. It’s limited to ~15 responses per day. Try it out by tagging it and asking about any hero in the game. PS you don’t have to even tag the hero, and you can ask in thousands of different ways.🤖

C) I’ve personally brought over 50 players into the game so far, with combined collections now well over 100 ETH.

While all of us who write about FT have found our own niches, I’d like to think I’m a top voice and player, when it comes to competitive play.

My results and data speak for themselves.

I’ve competed at the highest levels of competition in other games (2x Halo State Champion, Magic: The Gathering City Champion for Iowa, Pro Tours, Pro poker with 45 tournament wins).

I KNOW I could architect and create a world class FT Pro Tour, if the team would want me to.🤠

Good luck, have fun, keep practicin'!

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

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[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

@hubdotxyz @AbstractChain AbstractChain's live streaming feature empowers Web3 creators to engage audiences directly, bypassing traditional platforms. This innovation offers new monetization avenues through blockchain-based rewards, setting fresh standards for decentralized content interaction.

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

💀 When the market is bleeding, but you don’t even care...

Because you already lost everything before. 😆📉 #Crypto #Trading #BearMarket

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

Crypto is so damn hard... again... and again... but I’m not leaving!

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

I just claimed my $BLAST airdrop. Earn over 50% APY on USD by holding $BLAST on Blast Mobile https://t.co/t4FyFteuoZ

[Vydamo @vydamo_]

Actually insane that a career grifter managed to surprise a whole industry of grifters who were expecting him to grift, with unprecedented levels of grifting

[davie satoshi @NFTdavie]

This is the 1 minute chart for $TRUMP for the first 3 hours. Lets break it down.

First thing you should notice right away is the "ribbon" effect I talked about on the chart. This is not natural. This is pure manipulation by bots on a mass scale. There is no way that a candle (wick and body) for each minute can be of the same length every minute. That is basically saying human greed and fear among the massive amount of people was limited within this define amount every minute. I encourage you to compare this ribbon pattern with charts of your favorite coins and it becomes obvious this is not a natural pattern.

Again, this doesn't mean you cannot make money but understand what you are getting into.

Next, people shouldn't beat themselves up thinking they missed the biggest opportunity of their life.

You didn't really have a chance.

Unless you're an insider or a degen who aped in blindly within the first hour (not caring whether the post was real or hacked), you are not making more than 3x. By the end of the first hour, the market cap was already $7 billion.

The first hour is where the true degens who aped in made some life changing gains. Congrats to those. But this is also where the insider have given themselves a nice position early in the game. Every position afterward hour 1 is at best a 2-3x at the time of this post (market cap = $20billion). They are good gains but not life changing.

So don't feel bad and please don' t fall for those posts that are claiming this is the opportunity of a lifetime. The reality is we had no shot. The window was so tiny.

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

If you can't figure out cryptocurrency, constantly lose money, and always miss the opportunity, you need to start playing @fantasy_top_ , subscribe to all the heroes of this project, and follow what they do.

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

I very often lose money, I can't exit projects on time. But here, everything is still ahead. @trustme_bros My first 10X project in 2.5 years. Strong HODL. I need staking faster so I can lock my TRUST. @Degen__Ape__

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

It seems like I finally subscribed to the right influencers (thank you @fantasy_top_ ) I found @trustme_bros and realized it’s the alpha. The dev @Degen__Ape__ is crazy, working 24/7. I bought it 3 week ago. Holding as usual, at 1000x+ Maybe...it's all or nothing..

[Lux_Hab @Lux_hab]

I received my BLASTR key in @blastr_xyz . Earned 0.5eth from @fantasy_top_ is guaranteed not to be lost within 180 days.😀I've seen a few times that this NFT grants various bonuses and access to projects. I’ll look into it more. @adamagb how can I get my wolf?