Finally it looks like #grains have a real demand story in the coming year. Not that demand hasnβt been phenomenal so far overall. But this could be the cherry on the cake that outdoes the supply side for once. #oatt
As of Feb 01 producers #wheat stocks in South of Russia is at the minimum since 2015 (source: Rosstat). The estimate of the whole wheat stocks will be available at the end of Feb.
@sizov_andre@RussianGrainTra @JamesColquhou10 @PlattsAg Sizov, you know what domestic prices are doing and at what levels they are fob equivalent versus fob mkt today. Whatβs ur explanation?
@MattAmmermann Domestic Russian still well above. This should produce negative origination margins which should keep exports to a minimum. Who picks up the remainder of the worlds demand until new crop? Well at todayβs price itβs an EU showpiece with the US in the background for now. #wheat
@RussianGrainTra As Mommar said, predicting crops in February is a waste of time. Especially making weekly adjustments of 3mmt. Come on. Itβs not that easy. Crop is likely between 60-90mmt. There we go. Good luck. π
When #Matif wheat finishes its cleansing, there are some big questions to ask- French and Baltic/German #wheat are by far the cheapest wheat by a long way all the way out till June. How much can the EU balance sheet realistically export? And how much will the US stand to lose? π€
#GASC did well not issuing a tender after yesterdayβs bloody close in #wheat. Perhaps their super algorithm can tell them if they should today if we are at the lows? French traders better be ready π #howtoruinaweekend
Loving these backdated #USDA exports sales reports as of 3 Jan.... Anyone who sold #wheat on the back of the US #export sales yesterday π€¦ββοΈ I thought having over 130k mt of sales is pretty good for the period π Who honestly even works those days let alone buys cargos of wheat??