DMaps

Elections,anyone?

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@SeanTrende @NateSilver538 Interestingly, the betting markets nailed the outcome in most of the swing states at this point in time.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

A handful of Cruz-Desantis type voters who will vote for any Republican not named Trump.

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Describe a Harris 2024-Paxton 2026 voter in Texas:

[Zachary Donnini @ZacharyDonnini]

Georgia ended a Democratic week of early voting with by far the lowest White share of any non-Sunday day in four years.

The electorate should become more Republican as voting continues, but the size of that shift is uncertain. The good news for Republicans is there's still time.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@tencor_7144 I would add Minnesota for Republicans and South Carolina for Democrats, respectively

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@ZFlawles1s Arkansas

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@souljagoyteller Why do you think Acton loses?

[James🗳 @_fat_ugly_rat_]

I’m gonna go against the common wisdom here and say that early voting data can absolutely tell you a lot about an election but you really have to know what you’re doing and 90% of EV analysis is slop.

[State Navigate @StateNavigate]

🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨

SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)

https://t.co/gvAtX8puzu

[david crowley stan @fanofmastriano]

State Navigate PA State Senate Polls:

SD-6: Albillar + 3 (D Flip)
SD-16: Pinsley + 3 (D Flip)
SD-36: Jones + 2 (R Flip)

https://t.co/beS07HCXTv

https://t.co/gJFgPB7YBT

https://t.co/pdjaz6yDNt

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

Here are the average race ratings from the major expert/legacy/qualitative organizations (Cook, Inside Elections & Crystal Ball) and the average race ratings from the major models/quantitative organizations (Split Ticket, VoteHub, Silver Bulletin & FiftyPlusOne) for U.S. Senate:

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@dhaaruni Fetterman 2022 is ironically, the closest example of the culturally conservative leftist

[Rémy Numa @remynuma]

🦊🚨 NEW Fox News Poll

CONGRESSIONAL VOTE

Democratic - 52%
Republican - 46%

Oct 9-12, Certain to Vote ±3.5

…AMONG INDEPENDENTS

Democrats - 62%
Republicans - 36%

Oct 9-12, Ind RV ±7

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@remynuma @TheAleksee @EricMGarcia @DrewSav

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@nardwrites Have to be.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@NickyScatz Ohio. Traditional battleground that has become more Republican with two competitive statewide races, showing narrow democratic polling leads.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@ECaliberSeven A big tell is that it has Trump’s approval at -17, which would mean he’s a -3 nationally. Not within the realm of possibility

[Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot]

Confused by all the election forecasts and polling averages out there? I wrote a comprehensive guide to all of them.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@drunkelections Seeing the Pennsylvania counties. And New Hampshire being called so early.

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@bdquinn @sanosreptla Back of the napkin: 2025 exit polls(I know they suck) implied roughly -9 Trump net approval nationally. Since then, his approval has dropped another ~13 pts, implying a 2026 electorate around -22 net, or ~38% approval. I’ll go 38%

[DMaps @MapsofUs]

@EricMGarcia https://t.co/pcjPlXYMR1

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

#OhioSenate
#OhioGovernor

President Trump shares internal poll at Ohio rally showing Jon Husted overperforming the generic ballot by +2 and Vivek Ramaswamy overperforming by +1