MasicotAI Research

AI Infrastructure Intelligence. Tracking capital flows: chips, power, data centers. Hedge fund positioning + data-driven insights. 📊 NFA

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Situational Awareness LP Q1 2026 just filed.
The fund that built $5.5B going long AI infrastructure just deployed $6.6B in semiconductor puts.
→ $2.05B SMH put → $1.57B NVDA put → $1.0B AVGO put → $989M AMD put → $1.07B ORACLE put
AUM: $254M at inception. $13.7B today. 54× in 6 quarters. Full inception-to-present breakdown → https://t.co/PWa9jKd7CI

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@valerijatrades1 @MarioNawfal Cool, but there's always a message 😂
https://t.co/2AIGz43slU

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Watching Jensen in Taiwan. $NVDA body language reads confident. Dancing on stage isn't pre-negotiation. Whatever capacity matters for Rubin, the read is he already got what he came for. The real question: who didn't? Looking at you $AMD $AVGO $GOOG.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@MikeLongTerm @AMD 😂or when you secure whatever capacity you came for.
https://t.co/2AIGz43slU

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Watching Jensen in Taiwan. $NVDA body language reads confident. Dancing on stage isn't pre-negotiation. Whatever capacity matters for Rubin, the read is he already got what he came for. The real question: who didn't? Looking at you $AMD $AVGO $GOOG.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Watching Jensen in Taiwan. $NVDA body language reads confident. Dancing on stage isn't pre-negotiation. Whatever capacity matters for Rubin, the read is he already got what he came for. The real question: who didn't? Looking at you $AMD $AVGO $GOOG.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@dee_bosa The 95% on frontier models is the tell. Enterprises priced AI as structural cost when it's unoptimized routing. Model-orchestration gateways, matching task complexity to model tier become the next infrastructure category. Hidden in plain sight.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@altcap @stockmom It's on all of us to get the word out. Especially to those not on X. Thanks for getting this going @altcap

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@StockSavvyShay $NOW is the cleanest live example of cross-sectional dispersion in software. Down big over 12 months while AI-infra names ripped. Workflow SaaS got priced as if AI replaces it. AI-infra got priced as if AI feeds it. Both readings can't be right.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@Beth_Kindig The $7B to $125B move on AI CPUs is the line to focus on. That's an 18x in five years, and it's driven by the attach ratio CPUs per accelerator shifting from 1:4 to 1:2 or 1:1 as agentic workloads need orchestration per accelerator.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@GavinSBaker @EquityBrian @InvestLikeBest Power, cooling, and optical aren't one bucket. Power and cooling scale with total buildout linear, substitutable. Optical scales with interconnect density, growing faster than GPU count. The most defensible part of the dispersion, not the weakest.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@jiahanjimliu This fits the thesis we mapped in Situational Awareness's Q1 book. The CRWV tranches were the first leasable-compute bet. NBIS at 5.6% is the same trade scaled a multi-billion-dollar call on neocloud capacity outside hyperscalers.
https://t.co/7l2ubTVJYS

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Situational Awareness LP Q1 2026 just filed.
The fund that built $5.5B going long AI infrastructure just deployed $6.6B in semiconductor puts.
→ $2.05B SMH put → $1.57B NVDA put → $1.0B AVGO put → $989M AMD put → $1.07B ORACLE put
AUM: $254M at inception. $13.7B today. 54× in 6 quarters. Full inception-to-present breakdown → https://t.co/PWa9jKd7CI

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@HyperAICapital This fits the thesis we mapped in Situational Awareness's Q1 book. The $CRWV tranches were the first leasable-compute bet. $NBIS at 5.6% is the same trade scaled a multi-billion-dollar call on neocloud capacity outside hyperscalers.
https://t.co/7l2ubTVJYS

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Situational Awareness LP Q1 2026 just filed.
The fund that built $5.5B going long AI infrastructure just deployed $6.6B in semiconductor puts.
→ $2.05B SMH put → $1.57B NVDA put → $1.0B AVGO put → $989M AMD put → $1.07B ORACLE put
AUM: $254M at inception. $13.7B today. 54× in 6 quarters. Full inception-to-present breakdown → https://t.co/PWa9jKd7CI

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@ThePupOfWallSt $MSFT was a net -5 biggest sell from the 12 funds we tracked.
https://t.co/sKpl7Lk6GZ

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

$NVDA Jensen is in Taiwan meeting TSMC's chairman. He flies there almost every month.

12 elite AI/tech hedge funds agree with him $TSM just became their most widely held stock, overtaking $AMZN.

The full Q1 2026 institutional positioning:
https://t.co/gqFN0CahP9

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@Nominalszn @NotA_Bull 💯agree, short-term uncertainty until they can build a frontier model, but the massive amount of data they have to work with is an advantage.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@NotA_Bull $META was a net +4 biggest buy from the funds we tracked.
https://t.co/sKpl7Lk6GZ

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

$NVDA Jensen is in Taiwan meeting TSMC's chairman. He flies there almost every month.

12 elite AI/tech hedge funds agree with him $TSM just became their most widely held stock, overtaking $AMZN.

The full Q1 2026 institutional positioning:
https://t.co/gqFN0CahP9

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@Beth_Kindig The institutional money is aligned. $TSM just became the most widely held stock across 12 elite AI/tech funds we track overtaking $AMZN.

https://t.co/sKpl7Lk6GZ

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

$NVDA Jensen is in Taiwan meeting TSMC's chairman. He flies there almost every month.

12 elite AI/tech hedge funds agree with him $TSM just became their most widely held stock, overtaking $AMZN.

The full Q1 2026 institutional positioning:
https://t.co/gqFN0CahP9

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

Meanwhile, the smart money already made their call:

$TSM is now the most widely held stock across the 12 elite AI/tech funds we track overtaking $AMZN. 10 of 12 funds own it.

$NVDA remains #1 conviction (score: 91.4). Altimeter has 28.6% in it. $MSFT biggest sell (net -5).

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

$NVDA Jensen is in Taiwan meeting TSMC's chairman. He flies there almost every month.

12 elite AI/tech hedge funds agree with him $TSM just became their most widely held stock, overtaking $AMZN.

The full Q1 2026 institutional positioning:
https://t.co/gqFN0CahP9

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@Beth_Kindig The real read-through for CRWV: rising rents on older GPUs means the market is repricing useful life upward, the direct rebuttal to the depreciation bear case. Longer economic life justifies extending the D&A schedule, which lifts margins and shrinks terminal-value risk.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@Sam_Badawi Look at the composition, not just the AUM. ALAB, CIEN, COHR, LITE, that's a concentrated bet on the interconnect and optical layer, not the accelerators. Baker isn't betting on AI broadly. He's betting the bottleneck moves to moving data between chips, not the chips themselves.

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@CGInvesting10 Congrats

[MasicotAI Research @MasicotAI]

@stockpickz_hq Thing is demand will continue to grow between now and 2029, the TAM for inference is much larger.