Monica George Michail

Associate Economist at @NIESRorg

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now⚡️

#UKeconomy
#InterestRates
@MichailMonica @RoyalEconSoc

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #labourmarket figures is out now ⚡️

@MichailMonica @RoyalEconSoc

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now ⚡️

@MichailMonica @RoyalEconSoc

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #LabourMarket data is out now⚡️

@MichailMonica @RoyalEconSoc

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Services inflation continues to be the largest contributor to the headline rate, driven by rising housing costs and strong wage growth.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Food inflation rose to 4.9% in July amidst adverse weather conditions.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

We expect inflation to remain above 3% throughout 2025 and fall closer to target by late 2026.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

CPI inflation rose to 3.8% in July. Here's a short thread on today's developements from @MichailMonica 🧵

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Our comment on today's #CPI numbers.

Our full analysis will be released later this morning.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Today’s ONS figures indicate that regular wage growth has been slowing but remains elevated at 5% in June 2025. Here’s a short thread from @MichailMonica on the recent labour market movements:

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️OUT NOW ⚡️ Beyond #Tariffs - What next for the #GlobalEconomy ? 🌎

In our latest #MondayInterview and ahead of the publication of the summer Global Economic Outlook, @MichailMonica explores some of the issues affecting the world economies ⬇️⬇️⬇️

https://t.co/TFsXNuetq0

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Our comment on this morning's labour market data. Our full analysis will be released later this morning.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Given signs of labour market cooling, we expect the Bank of England to implement one further #rate cut this year.📉

4/4 ENDS

Our full analysis will be out shortly, in the meantime you can read what we said last month here ⬇️

https://t.co/wM94MExkr7

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Earnings growth has remained higher for longer than expected but is forecast to continue gradually slowing in the coming months.

3/4

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Unemployment rose to 4.7%, its highest level in 4 years, while vacancies continued falling by 7% on the quarter.

2/4

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

Today’s ONS figures indicate that regular wage growth remains elevated at 5% in May 2025.

Here’s a short thread on the recent labour market movements 🧵⬇️

1/4

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #labourmarket data is out now ⚡️

#unemployment
#wages
#UKeconomy
@MichailMonica
@RoyalEconSoc

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #inflation figures is out now⚡️

@MichailMonica
@RoyalEconSoc

[Economics Observatory @EconObservatory]

In the year to May 2025, the UK consumer price index rose by 3.4%—0.1 percentage points lower than in the previous month.

It remains the second highest in the G7, after Japan.

[National Institute of Economic and Social Research @NIESRorg]

CPI #inflation significantly recorded 3.4 per cent in May. Here’s a short thread from @MichailMonica on today’s developments: /1