@SweatyKodi Everything has a price. Crypto is down because money has flown to the hot AI sector. When AI gets too hot and Crypto gets too cold, money will rotate back to Crypto. This is just common sense.
One of the strangest patterns in the stock market that you don't know about! $SPY $VTI $VOO
I recently watched an interview with Samir Varma, a theoretical physicist turned trader hedge-fund manager- he earned his doctorate in particle physics from University of Texas at Austin, and was one of the first to execute profitably quantitative futures strategies.
He noted - over 30 years, almost all of $SPY ’s gains happened while the market was CLOSED! I found this super interesting, so I did some digging to see if this was true and here's the data:
According to a long-term analysis (1993–2025), the “overnight” strategy for SPY i.e. buy at close, sell at next open, yielded cumulative gains of 1,105%, while the “intraday” strategy, buy at open, sell at close, only delivered about 27% over the same period
i.e. - If you bought at the close every day and sold at the next open, your return would be about +1,100% - If you bought at the open and sold at the close, your return is only around +27%
Same index, same time period but insanely different returns.
This doesn’t mean the market always drops during the day - it just means that the average intraday move has been very small over the long run, while the average overnight move has been much larger.
Why might this happen?
- News and earnings usually come out after hours
- Futures markets react overnight
- Big institutions hedge when markets are closed
- Risk premium for holding exposure through uncertainty
This pattern shows up again and again in the data. Why this is not a free trading strategy? because costs and spreads can wipe out the edge if you try to time it.
But for long-term investors, it highlights something important:
- A big part of the compounding has come from simply holding overnight.
- The market often moves the most while you’re not watching, a lesson for intraday index traders ;)
@fundstrat Poor optics—MrBeast was not even present at Bitmine’s AGM, nor did he give any endorsement of Bitmine or ETH. Only the Beast’s CEO mentioned something vague and noncommittal “exploring ways to collaboration and incorporate DiFi…” Looks like Bitmine is wishfully chasing MrBeast.
@Manifest_Lord What if i do something wrong, something that causes harm to others because of my selfishness, like saying hurtful things, and the victim reacts negatively; should i still hold firm the “truth” that “Nothing others do is because of me. Everything they do is because of them.”?
@markminervini Thank you for your public service, Mark! It is very kind of you to warn the public with your market insights. You are right the vast majority of the times!
@WOLF_Financial I m not versed in the issue of money supply. With the foreseeable explosion in the volumes of stablecoins, would that mean there is going to be a deluge of supplies of treasuries as well as US Dollars. The latter may mean a serious depreciation of the Greenback?
@Kalonshaka@robotsrus00@jr2251 Do you think as far as Alzheimer is concerned, it is a dead issue, for SAVA?
I have not followed SAVA since i sold all my shares following the last phase 3 failures, but i believe Alzheimer is history for them, at least they do not have financial resources to pursue Alz any more.
@Kalonshaka I m an ex investor in SAVA. I wish SAVA well. There are big potentials, but why did it fail the phase 3 in Alzheimer so miserably? I am just curious about your take on it.
@elonmusk Astute observation, right on point. This ideology so prominent in western liberal humanism, upheld by most governments in the West, worships the Self. It is against God, nature, and, certainly, Kings. The Self reigns supreme above all unchecked. The Self becomes God.