Marktime

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

After the swearing-in of a new president in October 2027, the political landscape will be fascinating:
1. Aden Duale will suddenly rediscover his love for the Kikuyu community.
2. Kipchumba Murkomen will be complaining about “goons.”
3. Kithure Kindiki will be quietly negotiating his way into the new administration.
4.William Ruto will be searching for the finest tax experts in the country.
5. Moses Kuria will have practically relocated to Rigathi Gachagua’s office—24/7, CV in hand, asking for a job.
Insha Allah

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

I was in Bomas of Kenya in 2017 as a party Chairman . I have the electoral figures at my fingertips. It's practically impossible for William Ruto to win against a single opposition presidential candidate in 2027. Insha Allah. I estimate that the gap will be about 2. 5 to 3 million depending on the turnout. Insha Allah

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

See you @tv47digital at 6.30 am tomorrow. Insha Allah. What should i tell Esther Pasaris?

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

@AbdinurPeace The conclusions of that call 📞 👌 brother?

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

Yesterday, a highly skilled professional and UDA enthusiast called me. Years ago, I had tutored him in Open-Source Strategic Intelligence (OSSINT) analysis.
He had conducted a social-media OSSINT assessment of political figures in Western Kenya using online applications like Brandwatch, Meltwater, Lumen by Talkwalker and Sprout Social. His dataset covered 5 August–14 September 2026 and was drawn from almost all major social-media platforms.
He asked me to independently analyse his dataset. I explained that I no longer use those commercial platforms because I have built my own Kenya Political OSINT Dashboard—an AI-powered Open-Source Political Intelligence Platform.
Using his dataset, I assessed the personalities based on their relative social-media visibility, engagement and sentiment signals within the study period. On that basis, the five lowest-ranked were:
Caleb Amisi
Moses Wetang’ula
Francis Atwoli
Musalia Mudavadi
Wycliffe Oparanya
Important caveat: this is a ranking of social-media intelligence indicators—not a ranking of voter popularity or electoral support.
NB. My client has authorised me to share only this portion of the analysis.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

A high-level Kenyan team has reportedly been dispatched to Uganda to engage the Museveni administration over its recent statement alleging that middlemen in Kenya, masquerading as Government-to-Government intermediaries, fleeced Ugandan taxpayers.
Expect a carefully choreographed stream of contradictory statements from Ugandan officials in the coming days. The Ugandan officials will claim that they were referring to the time of Uhuru's administration.
Pin this tweet.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

Deputy President Kithure Kindiki, can you answer these three simple questions?
How do you claim to be the spokesman and political voice of the Mt Kenya community while sitting in a Cabinet alongside CS Aden Duale, whom you have watched repeatedly make remarks that many in the community consider hostile and provocative toward Kikuyus?
How do you reconcile that position with your role as Deputy Party Leader of a party whose Secretary-General has repeatedly made public remarks attacking or disparaging the Kikuyu community?
If you are genuinely the political spokesman of Mt Kenya, where exactly is your voice when these things happen?

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

@AbdinurPeace , Don’t worry brother. I 👍 talk to the government as well to mobiles for party ... next time

[Office of The Government Spokesperson, GOK 🇰🇪 @SpokespersonGoK]

CLARIFICATION ON IMMIGRATION DIRECTIVES, REGIONAL INTEGRATION AND COOPERATION WITHIN THE EAST AFRICAN COMMUNITY

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

My friend @hasheem_simba , your sudden resurrection as the self-appointed anti-corruption crusader of Mandera is rather amusing.

You have now rushed to the EACC and other agencies to petition against CPA Alinoor’s gubernatorial candidature, citing alleged financial impropriety during his tenure as CEC Finance.

But Manderians have long memories.

For nearly a decade, during Senator Ali Roba’s tenure as Governor (2013–2022), you were permanently stationed on social media and in the courts, screaming corruption, demanding investigations and presenting yourself as Mandera’s conscience.

Then something happened.

For the last four years, your crusade mysteriously disappeared. You went completely silent on governance, corruption and accountability in Mandera County.

Now, miraculously, your anti-corruption engine has restarted—precisely when CPA Alinoor is positioning himself to challenge your friend and principal paymaster for 13 years , Governor Mohamed Adan Khalif.

What a coincidence!

And frankly, Manderians are not fools. We can see through this political theatre. The petition against Alinoor appears to be nothing more than a proxy war against Senator Ali Roba.

Governor Mohamed Adan Khalif, if Senator Roba is your real target, have the courage to face him directly. Stop hiding behind petitions, bureaucratic institutions and manufactured outrage.

Simba Hasheem, your selective morality has exposed the politics behind your activism.

Manderians know the difference between an anti-corruption crusader and a political mercenary.

And they know who is pulling the strings behind this frivolous petition.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

The Political Triad of Kenya’s Joint Opposition in 2027:
The opposition’s strategic advantage against William Ruto could lie in the complementary strengths of Gachagua, Kalonzo and Sifuna.
Gachagua = Mt Kenya numbers — capable of mobilising large numbers and potentially shifting the region decisively away from Ruto.
Kalonzo = Coalition architecture — the bridge-builder capable of stitching disparate political formations into one national alliance.
Sifuna = Gen Z mobilisation — with the language, energy and digital resonance to convert Gen Z political consciousness into electoral participation.
Gachagua brings the numbers. Kalonzo builds the coalition. Sifuna activates the generation.
The strategic imperative is simple: one candidate, three centres of electoral gravity, one unified electoral machine.

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

@SautiYaWafugaji @AbdinurPeace @WilliamsRuto @HonAdenDuale Are you able to pay for him ,if he said on that?

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

Dear H. E. @WilliamsRuto
I would like to ask you, directly and publicly, whether you are aware of the following allegedly concerning the miraa trade between Kenya and Somalia:
1. Are you aware that Meru miraa traders have reportedly been counting significant losses amid allegations involving a Cabinet Secretary—an old associate of yours from your ODM days—and alleged links with Mogadishu-based cartels?
2. Are you aware of allegations that the daily volume of miraa exported to Somalia is being deliberately limited to approximately 15,000 kilograms in order to influence and control prices in the Somali market?
3. Are you aware of allegations that traders are being charged approximately US$9 per kilogram on miraa exported to Somalia?
4. Are you aware of allegations that your Cabinet Secretary allegedly receives US$1.25 per kilogram, which, based on 15,000 kilograms a day, would amount to approximately KSh2.42 million per day?
5. Are you aware that over four years, the alleged proceeds would amount to approximately KSh3.53 billion, calculated at KSh2,418,750 × 365 days × 4 years?
5. Finally, are you aware of allegations that the Cabinet Secretary uses his alleged wealth and political influence to threaten or intimidate sitting and aspiring political candidates who refuse to follow his political line?
Please intervene on behalf of the hardworking Meru Miraa Farmers.

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

@Moadow ,@AbdinurPeace ,@MKMadoka_

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

I really don’t envy William Ruto. From summoning security guards, imams and virtually every sector of society to State House, to yesterday’s rather desperate SHA conference, the signs are becoming increasingly unmistakable: a presidency struggling to regain public trust.

If history is indeed the final judge, Ruto may be on course to make history as Kenya’s first president to serve only one term.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

As the Founding Chairman, UDA (Emeritus), I request Hon. Ndindi Nyoro to either confirm or deny the following:

1. Whether, over the last four months, you have had five telephone conversations and two physical meetings with President William Ruto.

2. Whether your team initially presented a KSh72 million budget to Felix Koskei for the launch of your presidential bid, which was subsequently revised upwards to KSh86 million.

3. Whether you have held secret meetings with prospective defectors from UDA, particularly Members of Parliament from the Mt Kenya region.

4. Whether you were instructed not to use the political slogan “WANTAM” in your public engagements.

These are specific and verifiable questions. Given the growing public speculation surrounding your political ambitions, a simple confirmation or denial would put the matter to rest.
The Kenyan public deserves clarity—not political whispers, coded messages or plausible deniability

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

Stop Vomiting on the adolla votes that has made you who you are.

Speak directly to your voters than outburst and insults out of frustrations.

Udm has no place in mandera county they have stolen enough and Vomiting.

[HE. Capt. Ali Ibrahim Roba, EGH, MP @aliiroba]

In politics “A disciplined fool with a map will eventually arrive; a directionless genius will spend eternity giving brilliant explanations for why he is still lost.”

Never underestimate an idiot with a plan. While the genius is still admiring the brilliance of his own mind, the idiot has already arrived at the destination. Political Intelligence without direction is merely expensive political confusion. While political Strategy gives ordinary ability to arrive at a destination; political discipline gives it momentum; political consistency delivers the result. In the end, the world rarely rewards the person who knew the most, it rewards the one who knew where he was going and kept moving.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

Westgate hero and Garissa Senator, Abdul Haji nicknames CS Aden Duale, Sultan Hasidi and accuses him of fighting the family of the late Senator, Yussuf Haji for the last three years. He also accuses Duale of fighting every leader in Northern Kenya but promises to deal with him in 2027.

[Marktime @Mohasecurity]

@RobertAlai We're facing the wrong direction toward the General Election.

[ABDI NOOR @AbdinurPeace]

Sunday has become anxiety day in the Ruto camp. Before the sermon ends, they're already glued to their phones, waiting for Rigy G's latest salvo. The moment he speaks, emergency strategy meetings begin: Who will respond? What angle should we take? Yet by Monday, they're often still searching for a convincing comeback. Love him or loathe him, one thing is hard to dispute—Rigy G has mastered the art of setting the political agenda with his words.