Moonlight investing

ex-md that just want to enjoy the investing game

searching for asymetric bet anywhere in anyform

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@Biotech2k1 It is the art of investing. Patience, logic and the belief it will prevail in the end

[Dor Yehezkel @doryehezkek]

$HLAG & FIMI funds will acquire $ZIM for 3.7B!!

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

"Confine yourself to the present... when you eliminate the future and the past, you'll find the journey is all there is." - MA

[Z @ZeeContrarian1]

New $NBIS counter sentiment trade

The $IREN structure seems to be working perfectly, so I’m adding another one-this time on $NBIS that expires on Jan 17(37d):

Sell 1 70 put
Buy 1 90 call
Sell 3 120 calls

I pay $1.25 per spread.

My logic is the same: there’s a real business here, but it’s been heavily sold off. Sentiment is washed out, momentum is gone, and upside enthusiasm looks weak. So I’m setting what I call a trap in case momentum starts to recover.

The stock has already taken a deep hit, and I find it hard to envision another 25% decline in the next month which is where I sold my put-though I’d be a happy buyer there if it happens. On the upside, I only start losing if $NBIS rallies more than 44% over the next 37 days, which I see as highly improbable given current conditions.

I like this trade.
Stop-loss: -$3.

Once again, this is all about understanding probabilities.
The odds of me making money are significantly higher than the odds of me losing money. I’m comfortable taking the stock if it drops another 25%, and I’m equally comfortable taking the risk that it might spike 44% in a month-because statistically, structurally, and sentiment-wise, that scenario is far less likely.

I believe that as these names evolve from dream companies into real companies, momentum should naturally subside in the process. The story fades, the narrative cools, and with it the volatility premium collapses. Hype gets replaced by execution, and markets stop pricing these stocks like lottery tickets and start pricing them like businesses.

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@Barchart It is the logical way for China, The Hedge of Milenia

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@PunnadaF Nn

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@InvestmentBook1 From what book is this page?

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@netcapgirl 7uu76666yt33w3eeee334

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@NyMoneyHawk @SawyerMerritt @larsmoravy Meanwhile BYD is surpassing tesla sales globally

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

4,953 pages of basically everything Warren Buffett has ever written publicly. This is a great resource for using CTRL + F to search for investing topics on your mind.

https://t.co/hlCWrbFVRj

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@jakeshieldsajj @kiyahwillis Pp l l l l

[StockOpine @Stock_Opine]

An 11% drop in 1 month under the current macro environment is not necessarily a successful take. It might end up being one and could drop further btw. We are not arguing against his analysis but stating the obvious.

S&P is down by 5.3% , Nasdaq is down by 5.7%, $AMZN is ⬇️ by 8%, $LULU by 10.3%, $KLAC by 10%, $ASML by 12%…

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@Stock_Opine @taobanker @StockJabber gCx

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@Saham_fess Inkp

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@taobanker P.. iiuuikjkkjjhhhbhh6hhju6uiuiuui

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@mindsetofstoics Enjoy

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@investorgabut ini maka nya menurunkan kepercayaan saham2 BUMN. Saat nya cabut dari $ipcc

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@investorgabut bekasi pak

[Ranggajati (Commission Open) 🔞🔞🇮🇩🇺🇸 @Ranggajati_]

GM

[Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail]

@tanyarlfes Karena sekolah cari safe. Yang penting nama sekolah tidak tercemar. Sebisa mungkin di pendam berita nya. Nama baik jelek bikin penerimaan pelajar turun, bikin pendapatan turun