I started a free Substack.
X is great for PnL screenshots, hot takes and market predictions. Not so great for documenting a real process.
For me, it mostly became noise and distraction.
So instead, I’m building and documenting a trading system in public: Rules, backtests, live validation, mistakes, lessons etc. All of it will be posted there.
If you’re serious about finding/trading an edge, I hope it provides value in some way. Discussions in the comments are encouraged!
Link: https://t.co/IXaFGr0ZVS
$BTC long scalp here.
Not a macro bull call.
Just a clean 12h/1h sweep setup after an aggressive move down with no real relief. Weekly sweep also seems to be forming.
BTC Dominance sitting where it has bounced before as well, so BTC makes more sense to me than chasing SOL/ETH longs.
Worth a stab. Clear invalidation.
Haven’t been posting much trading stuff here lately, most of it has moved to Substack where I’m logging the forward test properly.
But small update:
$SOL short finally closed 2 days ago.
+4.66R
All TPs hit
3 week hold
Cleanest trade of the forward test so far
Now the goal is simple:
Do not immediately become an idiot because one trade worked to perfection.
@fanocsgo Basically CS2 skins have done nothing but go up from inception with just a few minor hickups. But as soon as there is a dip everyone freaks out. Apparently the bar is set at less volatility than the SPX or its shite 😅
Backtested hyperliquid:native on my sweep/breaker framework.
1D/4H looked like shit.
12H/1H looked solid.
4H/15m looked stupidly good. (too good most likely)
Conclusion: HYPE has enough volatility and reaction around sweeps to be worth watching carefully.
Managed to catch a scalp short before it went on its monster tear the last two weeks but no clear long setup. Let's see how it trades in the future.
Items in circulation:
AK-47 B the monster - 73k
Souvenir - 1.6k
AWP Crakow! - 211k
Souvenir - 3.7k
MAC-10 Pipsqueak - 872k
Souvenir - 35k
While I'm no bigger fan than the next guy of Valve's disruption, are we maybe overreacting a bit here? It's a few percentages further dilution.
B the monster FT price action ⬇️
Calling bad calls bad is fair. But an “analysis” should stick to receipts.
Throwing in exaggerated stuff like “he promised 2000% returns” without proof just turns it into the same influencer-style engagement bait you’re criticizing right?
I’ve never bought any of the coins and only watch occasionally for shits n giggles as I think he is entertaining, but from what I’ve seen he usually does mention the risks pretty fkn clearly.
Me last week: “I need to stop letting my bias override my system.”
Me this week: takes the valid setup despite bias disagreement.
Market: “Good job, here’s a stop loss.”
Honestly fair. Process improved, account not so much.
Luckily, SOL swing short looking better.