Nelly Sports

Nelly Sports. Green Sheet. Football/Basketball/Baseball

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Check out all the box scores from College Football Week 3 with the 1 Page Stats from Nelly's Green Sheet newsletter: https://t.co/HjJNibEOZx

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Week 3 NCAA favorites went 49-8 S/U but 28-28-1 ATS.
Road Favorites 7-7 ATS, Home Favorites 20-19-1, Neutral Favorites 1-2

Favorites of 10+ went 13-18

Couple close grading calls could swing it a bit (BYU, FIU, UAB, UCLA...)

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

+2 Delaware, Penn St, Texas St, Wisconsin, Cent. Michigan, USC, Kentucky, UCF, South Alabama, UConn, Notre Dame

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 3 Turnover Impact:
+4 Fresno St

+3 Arizona St, Louisville, Alabama, FAU, MTSU, Northwestern, New Mexico, North Dakota State, UCLA

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

College Week YPP winner, S/U loser:
Kansas +2.1
Miami OH +1.4
Missouri St +1.3
FIU +0.7
Maryland +0.7
Wyoming +0.2
Old Dominion +0.2
Purdue +0.2
Ohio +0.1

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

4th Quarter Covers NCAA Week 3:

Inside of 3:00 or OT:
Houston (+7.5), Clemson (-3), Vanderbilt (-3), Temple (+4.5), Rice (+8.5), Ohio (+7), Kennesaw State (+35.5), TCU (-18.5)

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Week 1 favorites were 9-7 ATS in 2025, 9-7 ATS in 2024, and 6-10 ATS in 2023.

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Week 1 NFL favorites finished 12-4 S/U and 9-6-1 ATS. Road Favorites went 3-1 ATS, Home Favorites 6-4-1.

[Kevin O'Neill @ExtraHalfPoint]

NFL Yards Per Play Margins

BAL 7.9-4.7 IND
Jesse Minter

BUF 7.9-5.2 HOU
yet almost blew it

GB 6.3-3.9 MIN
Pack Q1 TD drive 1/81
Vikes Q4 TD "drives" 1/1 & 3/14

NYJ 5.8-4.0 TEN
pretty dominant

MIA 5.2-4.3 LVR
Game shape, clock running 
Raiders 17 plays for 3 yards in Q4.

PHI 6.0-4.4 WAS
Eagles a few big plays, little else.

[Kevin O'Neill @ExtraHalfPoint]

Losers who won Yards Per Play by 0.5+ & details:

ODU 6.0-4.8 VT
2 play, 78 yard TD drive late

Az St 5.9-4.2 A&M
TOs 4-1

Syr 5.2-4.2 Cal
TOs 3-0
penalties 15/132

Tex St 6.0-4.2 UTSA
TOs 3-0
Top WR out

Memph 10.0-7.7 Boise
Got thumped but...
TD Drives 2/87 & 1/80

Jax St 6.2-4.0 Ohio U
4 OTs 
KO return TD

Navy 6.8-5.6 FAU
Down big, cotton candy yards

Ohio St 5.9-4.3 Texas
Ryan Day

Ore St 6.6-4.8 Tx Tech
Beavs TD drive 1/75

[Brad Powers @BradPowers7]

This will get the locals talking...

[Big Al McMordie @bigal_com]

F-R-E-E Winners from 20 Champion Handicappers daily at https://t.co/38LrdpMysU including Kyle Hunter, Wayne Root, Doc’s Sports, Nelly’s Sports and Tom Stryker.

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 2 YPP Winner, S/U Loser:
+2.3 Memphis
+2.2 Jacksonville St
+1.7 Arizona State
+1.6 Ohio State
+1.2 Old Dominion
+1.2 Navy
+1.0 Syracuse
+0.6 Texas State
+0.6 Sam Houston
+0.3 East Carolina
+0.2 Oklahoma
+0.1 Delaware
+0.1 Louisiana

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Check out all the box scores in Nelly's 1-Page Stats sheet from upcoming Green Sheet Newsletter Issue #13: https://t.co/gj2DDATYsu

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 2 Turnover Impact:
+4: Notre Dame, North Texas

+3: Texas A&M, Washington, Cal, UTSA

+2: Missouri, Michigan, App St, Georgia, FIU, Tennessee, FAU, Hawaii

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 2 4th Quarter Covers:
Inside 1:00: Purdue, UTSA
Inside 5:00: South Florida, UCF, Cal, Ohio, UCLA
Inside 11:00: Texas A&M, BYU, Nebraska, Hawaii

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Favorites (FBS vs. FBS) went 40-9 S/U and 24-25 ATS in Week 2 for a very even week. Home teams were 26-23 ATS. Home Dogs 8-6, Home Favs 18-17.

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 1 YPP winner, S/U losers:
+1.9 Toledo
+1.4 Florida International
+1.3 Georgia Tech
+1.1 Coastal Carolina
+0.1 Sam Houston

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

NCAA Week 1 Turnover Impact:
+4 UMass, Colorado State
+3 Western Michigan, South Florida, Tulsa
+2 Stanford, Cincinnati, Penn State, Florida, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, Oregon State, Memphis

[Nelly Sports @NellyJoeNelson]

Week 1 4th Quarter Covers:
Inside 1:00: Akron +27.5, UAB +25.5, Baylor +6.5
Inside 2:00: Ohio State -50.5, Nebraska -23.5, FIU +14.5 also Toledo/Michigan State