NorfolkBitcoin

All things Bitcoin⚡️ Norfolk UK 🇬🇧 Will NEVER dm you about “investments” 😎 Bitcoin is an antidote to madness🧡 @NorfolkBitcoin

[The Rabbit Hole @TheRabbitHole]

Far right is often just a propaganda term for normal person

[Samson Mow @Excellion]

I was early, not wrong. Tether did flip Ethereum.

[Rupert Lowe MP @RupertLowe10]

We must have the courage to call out the brutal sexism within Islam - it is simply not compatible with the British way of life.

There is finally a political party willing to do exactly that.

Restore Britain.

[ODELL @ODELLXYZ]

bitcoin is the best money

do not let anyone gaslight you into believing otherwise

stack real bitcoin, not that fake shit

[Mr.Hodldamus @MrHodl]

BlockFi ✅️

TerraLuna ✅️

SUI ✅️

ZCash✅️

He does not miss 😂

[Matthew R. Kratter #BIP-110 @mattkratter]

The Best Hardware Wallet In Bitcoin (SeedSigner)

[Wicked @w_s_bitcoin]

Imagine FOMO’ing into dollars after they’ve pumped over 2x in the past year. If you really wanted to buy this shitcoin with your bitcoin, why not wait until it collapses back down to new lows?

[MDB @MDBitcoin]

In order for ETH to be purged, Bitcoin has to suffer a bit.

A lot of ETH whales are Bitcoin whales, so it must happen.

Plus, across the entire shitcoin market, some BTC whales are trying to save their shitcoins, so Bitcoin must suffer a bit for the greater good.

[MacroScope @MacroScope17]

Adding to the post below. It should go without saying that for institutional investors, the now-vanished prospect of imminent rate cuts under Warsh is playing a big role in BTC’s selloff (see gold too).

Any expectations of an extended hiking campaign are obviously unrealistic, but since expectations impact price, they will be important to watch. In the long run, we all know where monetary policy is going.

Watch what the macro guys say and do on BTC in coming weeks and months. Paul Tudor Jones’ remarks in April about BTC as the best inflation hedge should be required viewing for anyone in this space (see my post on April 28). Note that Tudor has been hugely prescient on BTC; the firm was an IBIT seller in the second half of 2025, according to filings, but Tudor's most recent 13F showed it kept its existing position and didn’t sell any during the first three months of this year. The next round of 13Fs will be interesting and important, especially for known sovereign buyers like Mubadala.

[Seed @sesi_the_man]

I really appreciate Matt circling back to @SeedSigner, digging in, & making some content to describe the advantages of our security model. Will it ever be used by the majority? Probably not, but winning is getting more people's bitcoin off of exchanges and them sleeping soundly.

[Seed @sesi_the_man]

Agree that bitcoin culture is in the shitter. We need to ditch the suitcoiners, treasury company hypers, data-store-oors, blockchain compute-oors, and the overall NGU-obsessed. We may only have this one shot at global, permissionless, hardcapped freedom money.

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

Generational entry. $BTC

[Cedric Youngelman ⚡️ @CedYoungelman]

People think collapse looks like explosions and chaos.

Nope. That's in the movies.

Reality is different.

It looks like a nurse and a manufacturing tech who can't afford rent together.

It looks like a veteran using a bucket for a bathroom.

It looks like a college graduate delivering food for an app.

It looks like a 60 year old starting over as a server after 19 years at one company.

It looks like right now.

It's already here.

Most people just don't have a word for what they are living through.

The word is fiat.

The exit is Bitcoin.

[Bit Paine ⚡️ @BitPaine]

The four year cycle will diminish in amplitude over time. I thought we had reached the point of market diversification where its amplitude would be insignificant.

I was wrong for two reasons: the meme itself is powerful and likely became a self-fulfilling prophecy to an extent.

Second, and relatedly, OG whales distributed incredibly large quantities of bitcoin at the top - much more than I was expecting them to after holding through 10-15 years of extreme volatility - and enough to overwhelm demand from $IBIT and $MSTR.

NB: it’s also possible that the unique combination of events - Iran war, inflation retread, persistently high interest rates, perpetually imminent oil crisis, AI/SpaceX liquidity suck (and miner capitulation for AI datacenter capex) coincidentally hit at the right time to exacerbate what would otherwise have been a much more muted drawdown.

But not sure how useful it is to cope by saying “well sure, it followed the four year cycle perfectly for completely coincidental reasons.”

One could apply the same argument to the 2021 cycle and say that it only pumped because of COVID money printing and it only dropped because of inflation and rate hikes.

There’s always a reason.
Yet here we are, repeating history.

[ODELL @ODELLXYZ]

i should not have left x

created a vacuum for grifters

i was wrong, that’s on me

elon wanted $50k for my deleted account so i made a fresh handle and kept the bitcoin

[Joe Consorti @JoeConsorti]

Bitcoin isn't crashing below $60k because Saylor sold 32 BTC.

It's crashing because $19 trillion of new AI market cap got created in 12 months... 13x the size of Bitcoin.

The most liquid risk asset on earth is being drained to fund the biggest IPO cycle since 2000.

[Murray Rothbard @MurraySuggests]

The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began.

The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start.

Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have.

If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.

[AA ⚡️ @AAStack]

Bitcoin just touched the 200 week moving average for the 5th time in history.

Here's what happened the previous 4 times.

1/ The 200-week MA is Bitcoin's most respected long-term level.

Every major cycle bottom in BTC history has formed on or around it.

No exceptions. Ever.

2/ The 4 prior touches:

📍 Aug 2015 — $200 → Rallied to $20K = 100x
📍 Dec 2018 — $3,200 → Rallied to $69K = 21x
📍 Mar 2020 — $3,800 → Rallied to $69K = 18x
📍 Nov 2022 — $15,500 → Rallied to $125K = 8x
📍 Jun 2026 — $61,800 → ???

4 for 4. Perfect record.

3/ The pattern is clear.

The multipliers are compressing as the market matures:
100x → 21x → 18x → 8x → next = ?

Nobody is promising 100x anymore.

But recovery happened EVERY. SINGLE. TIME.

4/ The honest caveat:

All 4 prior touches happened when the Fed was cutting rates or holding at zero.

Today the Fed is restrictive at 3.50–3.75% with no cuts planned.

This is the first 200 week MA test in the ETF era.

New variables. Same level.

5/ What else is happening right now:

→ Fear & Greed Index: 12 — Extreme Fear
→ $822M in liquidations in 24hrs
→ 200-week MA at ~$61,800
→ 50-month MA at $59,314
→ BTC down 51% from ATH

Maximum pain. Maximum fear.

Exactly what every prior touch felt like.

6/ The bottom line:

5/5 would be the most powerful confirmation in Bitcoin's history.

The pattern says buy.
The macro says be careful.
Both are true.

Stack accordingly⚡️

But don't say nobody told you where the level was. 🟠

[Cole Walmsley @Cole_Walmsley]

I ran a test.

Buying Bitcoin every day

vs

Buying Bitcoin only when it crashes

The results:

Same $45,260 invested into both strategies over 2014–2026.

Buying only the crash years (2014, 2018, 2022, 2026) left you with: 29.91 BTC

Buying every day left you with: 31.96 BTC

The main reason:

Buying Bitcoin only when it crashes misses out on the boring bottoms.

2015 ($273 avg), 2016 ($568), 2019 ($7,365), 2023 ($28,859) are considered "non-crash" years, but those were prime times to buy.

Two morals of the story:

1) Consistent DCA continues to be the simplest, most effective strategy

2) You still turned $45k into roughly $2 million