The oil supply situation in the Middle East is deteriorating again, and Kpler projects that a full recovery of supply may take until early 2027.
"Full recovery to 27 Mbd pushed to early 2027; July averaged 19.4 Mbd, August set at 16.6 Mbd"
The U.S. is backing another rare earths project in Africa, committing funding to Madagascar's Ampasindava deposit as it works to reduce dependence on China's supply chain. The project targets 4,000 metric tons of rare earth oxides annually. #RareEarths#CriticalMinerals#Mining #Energy
https://t.co/xvUkbpY4nS
Maritime traffic remains resilient
A total of 53 confirmed vessel crossings were recorded across the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb on 28 July, with 12 transits through Hormuz, an increase of 50% from the previous day, and 41 through Bab el-Mandeb, up 5%. Traffic through Hormuz remained highly concentrated, with 10 of 12 vessels using the Iranian Unilateral Scheme and none using the Hormuz Traffic Separation Scheme. In Bab el-Mandeb, the latest data identified 4 dark transits, 4 sanctioned vessel crossings and 8 shadow fleet movements, reinforcing that while commercial traffic continues, routing behaviour and vessel transparency remain the key indicators of operational, compliance and geopolitical risk.
Traffic rises, risks persist
Daily monitoring shows stronger transit volumes across the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb, with 12 and 41 confirmed crossings respectively on 28 July. Yet higher traffic should not be mistaken for lower risk. Hormuz routing remains concentrated outside traditional traffic separation patterns, while Bab el-Mandeb continues to present elevated operational and compliance challenges through dark transits, sanctioned vessels and shadow fleet movements. With 62 confirmed maritime security incidents recorded by the IMO as of 27 July and geopolitical tensions still unresolved, vessel behaviour remains a more meaningful indicator than crossing volumes alone. For operators and markets alike, transparency, routing choices and emerging disruptions remain the key signals to watch over the coming days.
Stay ahead of the market with #Kpler Insight: https://t.co/4ERuprALER
إحراجات،،
الرئاسة المصرية ترد على رسالة التهنئة المرسلة من مهدي المشاط
وتعلن رفضها استلامها بشكل مباشر
مشددة على ضرورة احترام البروتوكولات الدبلوماسية
وتوجيه أي مراسلات عبر الحكومة اليمنية المعترف بها دولياً
رضوخ ترامب للضغوطات الاسرائيلية فيما يتعلق بالتطبيع كشرط لاتمام الاتفاق النووي السعودي الامريكي لا يّلزم المملكة بشيء، ولا يعني أن السعودية ستقبل بالتطبيع دون دولة للفلسطينيين.
سجلو كلامي هذا وباذكركم
الحوثي سينتصر في هذه المواجهة مع السعودية سيخرج منتصراً واحفظوا تغريدتي هذه عندكم
يعلم الله اني اعرف الكثير والكثير مما أعدت الجماعة لهذه المعركة بالذات في البحر ومنذ 2015 والتي كنا ننوي القيام بها في ذلك التوقيت وبعطي الحوثيون الان شفرة وسوف يستغربون من كمية المعلومات واين كنت في مكان جدا حساس .. [أ ب و ه ا ي د ×_+ا ل ث و ي ح]هذه شفرة لن يستطيع فكها غير العاملين في نفس المجال.
ستصبر السعودية على معتوه صعدة عبدالملك الحوثي وجماعته لحين من الزمن، وستستخدم كل الوسائل السلمية والدبلوماسية، وستوسط سلطنة عمان وإيران، حتى يرى العالم أنها عملت ما عليها وزيادة، وبعدها ستتدخل للمعتوه وجماعته إلى صعدة وصنعاء وتسقط سلطته وتجعله عبرة لغيره.
لا تفسروا صبر آل سعود ضعف، ولا هدوئهم عجز، ولا سعيهم للسلام هروب من المواجهة، فعندما يروا أن خصمهم متعنت، ويواصل الاعتداء على المملكة، ولا يجدوا حلًا معه إلا القوة، سترى حتى الأمراء في مقدمة المقاتلين.
احفظوا هذه التغريدة جيدًا، وموعدنا -إذا استمروا- صعدة وصنعاء.
تحركات عسكرية وتعزيزات بالعتاد والإمداد في جبهات الصلو حيفان القبيطة كرش وحدود ماوية تعز مع المسيمير لحج .
نوكد موقفنا الثابت ضد اي تصعيد وندعوا للسلام وان اي معركة لايوجد فيها منتصر سوى تجار الحرب والمهزوم هو الشعب .
Strait of Hormuz over the last 72 hours: escalation continues.
Visible vessel traffic fell off a cliff. Only the Iran lane has vessels with AIS on, nothing in the Oman lane. We know there were still transits because UKMTO reported vessels being attacked and IRGC said 4 vessels were attacked yesterday. One tanker, Kavomaleas, was hit and caught on fire. You can see that in the video time-lapse.
The Oman lane will remain heavily contested. Bloomberg reported that tanker owners are offering 6 months' worth of pay if the crews make the voyage in and out of the Strait of Hormuz. How much is your life worth?
I guess we will see how long this continues, but what's obvious is that this conflict remains all-or-nothing.
Video from @MarineTraffic
إيران استخدمت الحوثيين كدرع رخيص عشان مصالحها في البحر الأحمر. ولما صارت الدنيا ضيقة عليها وخافت على نفسها.. رمتهم في البحر بدون تردد.
الحوثي ما كان حليف أبداً، كان أداة بس.
اليوم اليمنيين هم اللي يدفعون الثمن، أهالي ومقاتلين، بينما قيادة طهران جالسة في أمان وتودّع "حلفاءها.
The Saudi Arabia-flagged oil products tanker Encelia (IMO 9240172) was impacted by a projectile. TradeWinds cited Vanguard as confirming the Encelia. The Houthis named a second tanker - but as always, and since 2023, I wait for independent maritime authorities to confirm all details before adding to our map below that tracks maritime attacks in the MENA region since 2017.
Here's the link to the Encelia ( initially uploaded as 'Merchant Vessel'): https://t.co/ITMBJITIAZ
#Shipping #OOTT #Houthis #Encelia
1/7 As trackers of maritime attacks in the MENA region since 2017, we've updated the map with confirmed incidents in the Persian Gulf & surrounding waterways amid the war. All in one place, with data aggregated.
Here’s the link to the map: https://t.co/4MzZWmLc0m
(Use on a computer monitor; not yet adapted for phone screens.)
We're doing the work that will benefit others and putting things in context. It's free to access.
#Shipping #OOTT #Hormuz
@WashInstitute
We've added all the details we have so far on the latest ship attack in the Red Sea. The map below tracks maritime attacks in the MENA region since 2017. Ship by ship, we've been documenting the Houthi maritime campaign since 2023.
In the video below, I highlight some of the Saudi-flagged vessels that have been involved in incidents in the Red Sea/Bab al-Mandeb since 2018. And this also shows you how to search the map.
Link to the latest attack here: https://t.co/ITMBJITaLr
(Use on a computer monitor; not yet adapted for phone screens.)
#OOTT #Shipping #Houthis #RedSea