The Obsidian Owl

Obsidian Owl | Sharp Analytical insights on geopolitics, politics, conflict, and markets.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@StephenM @StephenM
Define golden era....

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@TomFitton @TomFitton
While I dont agree with Zohran Mamdani on everything...nothing he said was closely related to communism...apart from the part about elon musk

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@Fordlmt
1. I do agree with you on the fact that if a politician, regardless of party, betrays the state...they should be removed from office.

2. Holding different economic beliefs and being of a different religion should not be considered betrayal to the state. What should be considered a betrayal to the state is using public office to give foreign nations influence over your home state.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@jkdewease
1. I am not saying that I am a democrat. Nor am I saying I am a republican

2. President Biden pardoning his family was an extremely corrupt move...however this is not what my core argument was. My core argument was that...if President Trump wants to further solidify his position of being a transparent president...he wouldve called all 6 people out in his truth social post, to make it a bit more personal for the 6.

[Department of State @StateDept]

From the hardy pioneers on the Oregon Trail to astronauts transcending the limits of Earth itself, America has always been a frontier nation.

We are the greatest nation on Earth. That has been true for 250 years.

And with God’s grace, it will be true for the next 250 as well.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@elonmusk @FoxNews @elonmusk
Now do i admire or like democratic socialist candidates...no, however..
Technically Mamdanis political career has just begun and he hasn't had enough time to prove himself (he's only been in power for ~1 year).

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@LauraLoomer @LauraLoomer
Technically Hasan Piker hasn't broken any laws. While he is railing against the American state...he is simply practicing his full American rights.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@TheLeoTerrell @TheLeoTerrell
While there is nothing wrong with protesting against a foreign nation...wishing for cruelty against a civilian population is.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@tedcruz @elonmusk
1. just because there's jihadists posing with what looks like a tarp labeled as USAID, does not mean USAID founded jihadism.

2. Did USAID funding get out of hand, yes. However, should it have been removed...no. USAID should've been reduced and funneled to nations that have a favorable relationship with the US whether the relationship is economic or military based

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@bennyjohnson @bennyjohnson
How was upholding birthright citizenship a betrayal of the American people...who's citizenship is protected by it in the first place?

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@KevinRobertsTX
If you are born in the US or on American soil...you are technically an American. What the 14th amendment does not enable newborns to become Americans if they are not born in America or on American soil.

Thoughts? If being born in the US doesnt dictate you being an American citizen, what does?

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@grok
1. What will be the political effects stemming from this decision?

2. What will be the social effects stemming from this decision?

3. Was this case ever a threat to the 14th amendment?

3.1. If so...how would birthright citizenship most likely be defined if the 14 amendment were to be removed?

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@ShabbosK @marklevinshow @ShabbosK @marklevinshow
Foreign aid is a soft power technique of influencing foreign nations to act in ways that benefit the US. If we are going to end all foreign aid...we should include military aid to all foreign nations, including Israel and Ukraine, as well

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@business @business
This was a shortsighted move by the courts and Republicans, if the Republicans want to win. This wont just allow Republicans to spend excessively on their campaigns but also the democrats as well.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@heraldmage @IranObserver0
In regards to your four comments
1. Within the next 30 days, the US must withdraw assets in proximity to Iran. These include naval assets involved in the embargo and close proximity forward deployed assets. Its not about withdrawing from the region entirely.

1.1. The Iranian military was hemorraging on a far larger scale than that of the US...again, Iran not being able to scale their capabilities when compared to the US.

1.2. Also the MOU is an agreement to meet together in a future date to come to a primary agreement. Essentially its clauses are not sedentary nor are they enforceable. Also, rulings by the ICJ aren't enforceable either...besides Hamas leaders were also convicted by the ICJ. So if we're going to bring in the 2024 ICJ ruling, don't utilize part of the ruling to support your argument.

2. I am not making an assumption of anything regarding Israel. As of now, Israel is coming off the hill of being in a waritime state from the hot phase of the Iran war. If Israel feels as if their rivalry with Iran and its proxies is becoming an existential threat, they will most likely be compelled to go back to a waritime/fortified state. If Israel in this state feels as if the fortress is about to come down, they will most likely execute the samson option and go scorched earth on the entire middle east.

2.1. Even if Israel were to lean towards prefering peace over war...existential threats to the Israeli state would override the desire for peace.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@NEWSMAX @NEWSMAX
Americans technically already had the ability to repair their own cars. The primary factors that are serving as roadblocks are the increasing complexity of newer vehicle designs and lack of basic car maintenance knowledge.

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@Republicans
1. This is an impressive design...lets see if President Trump follows through on this design scheme. So far his record of following through with these types of promises hasn't been a good one...most notably the DC arch

2. Despite iit being an impressive design, it wont help the American state or its populace in the long run...it will just make the White House look more grandeur

[The Obsidian Owl @ObsidianOwlX]

@heraldmage @IranObserver0
In regards to all 5 of your comments...

1. If the US were to abandon Israel, the process of abandonment would be slow and ardous. Multiple interest groups would attempt to fight the abandonment, plus the US would have to move thousands of troops and equipment out of the region.

1.1. The Israeli state is not incompetent...you have to give them that. They would not sit by twidling their thumbs while their most powerful ally in the region begins packing up to leave the region. They will most likely begin transforming the Israeli state into a fortified bunker state. This fortification of the state will most likely include more aggressive stances with their nuclear arsenals, both land-based and sea-based.
- Iran may be able to eliminate some land-based nuclear positions, however, they wont be able to eliminate all land-based positions. They also wont be able to eliminate the sea-based positions, since their navy is based around area-deniability, not projection.

2. There have been no signals pointing to the fact that China and Russia are forming a new regional security architecture. Russia's capabilities are currently being degraded to a significant point at this time. China's primary focus has been on building up its own regional position, not aiding Iran's war effort...although they have helped out some in that area.

3. There have been no signals being generated from the Gulf states that they are leaning towards the influence of Asian nations, since the war began.

4. The US did manage to defend their gulf allies and Israel fairly well. Did Iran manage to strike a sizeable portion of key critical assets througout the Middle East, yes...which is to be expected in war, since your defense systems can't be everywhere at once.